市值: $2.8479T -3.100%
成交额(24h): $60.1297B -13.210%
  • 市值: $2.8479T -3.100%
  • 成交额(24h): $60.1297B -13.210%
  • 恐惧与贪婪指数:
  • 市值: $2.8479T -3.100%
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加密货币新闻

比特币(BTC)在看涨激增后停止了:找到我们的完整分析和当前的技术前景。

2025/05/06 23:05

自从4月23日激增以来,比特币已合并约94,192美元,引发了显着的恢复。

比特币(BTC)在看涨激增后停止了:找到我们的完整分析和当前的技术前景。

Bitcoin (BTC) took a pause for consolidation after a bullish surge, aiming for new highs in 2024. The weekly change was +0.53%, marking a slowdown after the strong +10% rebound the previous week, as the market took a breather.

比特币(BTC)在看涨后的激增后停下来进行巩固,目标是2024年新高点。每周的变化为 +0.53%,这标志着上周强劲的 +10%反弹后,由于市场呼吸了一口气。

Weekly volumes decreased to $32 billion (-28%), reflecting a slowdown in activity. Trends remained bullish on all three horizons: long term (SMA 200) with intact momentum, medium term (SMA 50) in a bullish reversal, and short term (SMA 20) confirming a recent bullish trend. However, momentum was declining, calling for short-term caution.

每周卷下降至320亿美元(-28%),反映了活动的放缓。趋势在所有三个范围内仍然是看好的:长期(SMA 200),具有完整动量,中等程度(SMA 50)的看涨逆转,而短期(SMA 20)(SMA 20)确认了最近的看涨趋势。但是,势头正在下降,需要短期谨慎。

Bitcoin Technical Levels (BTC)

比特币技术水平(BTC)

Bitcoin was trading between key technical levels. Major resistances were between $99,000 and $100,000, extending to $102,500, critical distribution zones. Main supports at $91,700 and $82,800 were defense and probable accumulation zones.

比特币在关键技术水平之间进行交易。主要阻力在99,000美元至100,000美元之间,延长至102,500美元,即关键分销区。主要支援为91,700美元和82,800美元,是国防和可能的累积区。

The recent break above $88,745 on the daily chart relaunched a bullish bias. The monthly pivot at $88,177, now below price, confirmed this positive momentum.

最近的休息时间高于每日图表的88,745美元,重新推出了看涨的偏见。每月的枢纽为88,177美元,现在低于价格,证实了这一积极的势头。

In volume, the high value area at $96,500 marked an upper equilibrium boundary, while the low value area at $67,340 (easily covered by FIB levels) represented a threshold for imbalance in case of a pullback.

在数量上,高价值面积为96,500美元,标志着上平衡边界,而低价值面积为67,340美元(易于覆盖FIB级别)表示在回调时的失衡阈值。

Market Sentiment

市场情绪

Market sentiment remained marked by greed, confirming a return of risk appetite. Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded significant net inflows, highlighting institutional support for the ongoing trend.

市场情绪仍然以贪婪为标志,证实了风险食欲的回报。比特币现场ETF记录了大量的净流入,突出了对正在进行的趋势的机构支持。

The current technical analysis was conducted in partnership with Elyfe, and 0xhugzer, investors and educators in the cryptocurrency market.

当前的技术分析是与Elyfe合作进行的,0xhugzer,加密货币市场的投资者和教育者。

Derivatives Analysis (BTC/USDT)

衍生物分析(BTC/USDT)

Market sentiment indicators remained neutral and uncommitted. Open interest was stable, reflecting limited speculative positioning and no marked conviction. The CVD showed balanced buying and selling flows, with no clear directional signal. Liquidation levels remained low, unbiased, and without signs of capitulation. Finally, the funding rate was neutral, close to balance, indicating a market without apparent tension between buyers and sellers.

市场情绪指标仍然是中立的和没有承诺的。开放兴趣是稳定的,反映了有限的投机定位,没有明显的定罪。 CVD显示出平衡的买卖流,没有明确的方向信号。清算水平保持较低,无偏见,没有投降迹象。最后,资金率是中性的,几乎是平衡,表明买卖双方之间没有明显张力的市场。

The main liquidation zones for short positions were between $98,000 and $100,900, then between $107,200 and $110,551. Breaching these critical levels could strengthen a bullish acceleration. Conversely, buyer liquidation zones extended from $92,600 to $89,300, then between $88,500 and $87,700, as well as at $85,570, and finally between $84,000 and $80,000, the latter range representing a strategic threshold in case of prolonged correction without buying support.

短职位的主要清算区为98,000美元至100,900美元,然后在107,200美元至110,551美元之间。违反这些关键水平可以加强看涨的加速。相反,买方清算区从$ 92,600延长至89,300美元,然后在88,500至87,700美元之间,最终在85,570美元之间,最终在84,000美元和80,000美元之间,后者范围代表了在不购买支持的情况下进行战略性阈值。

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Forecasts

比特币(BTC)价格预测

Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the $99,000 resistance could propel Bitcoin towards the next key resistance at $102,500, with potential intermediate pivots at $99,900 and $100,900.

看涨的情况:超过99,000美元的电阻的突破可能会使比特币的下一个关键阻力为102,500美元,潜在的中间枢轴为99,900美元,100,900美元。

Bearish Scenario: A break below the $91,700 support could lead to further declines towards the next support at $82,800, with potential pivots at $88,745 and the monthly pivot at $88,177.

看跌方案:低于91,700美元的支持可能会导致下一次支持的进一步下降,为82,800美元,潜在的枢轴为88,745美元,每月枢纽为88,177美元。

Comment: The bias currently remained bullish, but macroeconomic indicators (FOMC conference, FED interest rate decisions, etc.) will be decisive in validating this scenario.

评论:目前的偏见仍然是看好的,但是宏观经济指标(FOMC会议,美联储利率决策等)将在验证这种情况方面具有决定性的作用。

Conclusion

结论

Bitcoin maintained a bullish momentum, despite a pause after its recent surge. The momentum was slowing down and activity was declining, calling for short-term caution.

尽管比特币在最近的激增后停了下来,但比特币保持了看涨的势头。势头正在放缓,活动正在下降,需要短期谨慎。

Sentiment remained favorable, supported by investor interest, in a stable market. Short-term future variations will depend on the expected economic news.

在稳定的市场中,在投资者利益的支持下,情绪保持良好。短期未来的变化将取决于预期的经济新闻。

In this context, it will be essential to closely monitor price reactions at strategic levels to confirm or adjust current forecasts.

在这种情况下,必须密切监视战略层面的价格反应以确认或调整当前预测至关重要。

Finally, let us remind you that these analyses are based solely on technical criteria, and that cryptocurrency prices can rapidly change depending on other more fundamental factors.

最后,让我们提醒您这些分析仅基于技术标准,而加密货币价格可能会根据其他更基本的因素迅速变化。

Did you find this study interesting? Check out our latest Solana analysis.

您觉得这项研究很有趣吗?查看我们最新的Solana分析。

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