比特币 (BTC) 看起来有望达到 10 万美元，但需要突破 6.8 万美元阻力位

比特币 (BTC) 在 2024 年初创下 73,000 美元以上的历史新高后，大多数投资者将下一个目标定为 100,000 美元大关。

Bitcoin (BTC) has been showing signs of strength in recent weeks, and as the asset builds on the current bullish momentum, most investors have set their target on the $100,000 mark as the next record valuation for the maiden cryptocurrency.

比特币 (BTC) 最近几周一直显示出走强的迹象，随着该资产在当前看涨势头的基础上不断发展，大多数投资者已将目标定为 10 万美元大关，作为这种首次加密货币的下一个创纪录估值。

Now, a trading expert has offered a blueprint to push Bitcoin toward this milestone.

现在，一位交易专家提供了推动比特币迈向这一里程碑的蓝图。

In particular, the expert, Peter DiCarlo, noted that Bitcoin looks solid to reach $100,000 but needs to breach the $68,000 resistance level to confirm the path to a new record high, he said in an X post on September 28.

特别是，专家 Peter DiCarlo 在 9 月 28 日的 X 帖子中表示，比特币看起来有望达到 100,000 美元，但需要突破 68,000 美元的阻力位才能确认通往新纪录高点的道路。

DiCarlo observed that Bitcoin is currently in a bull flag formation, a classic indicator of bullish momentum, but warned that this pattern has “faked a lot of traders out” in recent months.

迪卡洛观察到，比特币目前处于牛市旗形，这是看涨势头的经典指标，但他警告说，这种模式在近几个月“欺骗了很多交易者”。

He noted that the key to breaking through lies in the “bx” indicator, representing a bullish accumulation zone. This bx zone below $68,000 suggests that institutional investors have steadily accumulated Bitcoin. DiCarlo believes Bitcoin is primed for a breakout as long as this bullish accumulation continues.

他指出，突破的关键在于“bx”指标，代表看涨积累区域。低于 68,000 美元的 bx 区域表明机构投资者正在稳步积累比特币。迪卡洛认为，只要这种看涨积累持续下去，比特币就准备好突破。

“BTCUSD looking solid for a run up to $100k in the coming months. That said, we need to clear $68K before we confirm! This bull flag has faked a LOT of traders out over the past couple of months,” he said.

“BTCUSD 在未来几个月内有望上涨至 10 万美元。也就是说，我们需要先清算 68K 美元才能确认！在过去的几个月里，这面牛市旗帜欺骗了很多交易者，”他说。

Bitcoin’s key fundamentals

比特币的关键基本面

Moreover, the analysis highlighted an accumulation zone around $52,000, where institutional buying has been particularly strong. This accumulation provides a solid foundation for Bitcoin’s potential to move higher.

此外，分析还强调了 52,000 美元左右的积累区域，该区域机构买盘尤其强劲。这种积累为比特币的上涨潜力提供了坚实的基础。

As things stand, Bitcoin could build on the current bullish momentum to reclaim the $68,000 mark as the asset prepares for one of the strongest finishes to September. To this end, investors are looking to the ‘Uptober’ phenomenon, where the maiden cryptocurrency tends to surge in October.

就目前情况而言，比特币可能会在当前看涨势头的基础上重回 68,000 美元大关，因为该资产正在为 9 月份最强劲的收盘做准备。为此，投资者正在关注“Uptober”现象，这种首次出现的加密货币往往会在 10 月份飙升。

However, this momentum is not guaranteed, as Bitcoin still has several barriers to clear before having a solid chance of rallying in October. For instance, as reported by Finbold, BTC has notable liquidity to the downside, and the asset needs to clear retail’s long positions before rallying in the coming month.

然而，这种势头并不能保证，因为比特币在 10 月份有可靠的反弹机会之前仍然有几个障碍需要清除。例如，据 Finbold 报道，比特币在下行方面具有显着的流动性，该资产需要在下个月反弹之前清除散户的多头头寸。

Indeed, Bitcoin has set its target at $70,000 during a period of influx of stablecoin liquidity and a recovery in the crypto market. In this line, a report by 10x Research indicated that ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate cut, nearly $10 billion in stablecoins were issued, driving market liquidity up. The high volume is key since stablecoins are usually leveraged to shift positions in the crypto market.

事实上，在稳定币流动性涌入和加密市场复苏期间，比特币将其目标定为 70,000 美元。在此方面，10x Research的报告显示，在美联储降息之前，发行了近100亿美元的稳定币，推动市场流动性上升。高交易量是关键，因为稳定币通常被用来转移加密货币市场的头寸。

Bitcoin’s cautious outlook

比特币前景谨慎

Amid the prevailing bullish sentiment, crypto trading expert Ali Martinez noted in an X post on September 27 that investors should anticipate a possible price correction. The warning is based on Bitcoin’s TD Sequential indicator, which has signaled a sell on the four-hour chart.

在普遍的看涨情绪中，加密货币交易专家 Ali Martinez 在 9 月 27 日的 X 帖子中指出，投资者应该预期可能的价格调整。该警告基于比特币的 TD 顺序指标，该指标在四小时图表上发出了卖出信号。

Historically, such signals have been associated with price corrections, and traders may expect some downward pressure on Bitcoin in the short term. With Bitcoin trading at the $65,000 mark, the indicators suggest the asset will likely drop further.

从历史上看，此类信号一直与价格调整相关，交易者可能预计比特币短期内会面临一些下行压力。随着比特币交易价格达到 65,000 美元大关，指标表明该资产可能会进一步下跌。

Bitcoin was trading at $65,665 at press time, having dropped by about 0.1% in the last 24 hours. On the weekly chart, BTC is up almost 4%.

截至发稿时，比特币交易价格为 65,665 美元，在过去 24 小时内下跌了约 0.1%。从周线图来看，BTC 上涨了近 4%。

In summary, while Bitcoin shows strong bullish momentum, it faces significant resistance at the $68,000 level, which is key to hitting $100,000. Despite the positive indicators, caution is warranted as market volatility and potential corrections could disrupt its upward trajectory.

综上所述，虽然比特币显示出强劲的看涨势头，但其在 68,000 美元水平面临重大阻力，这是冲击 100,000 美元的关键。尽管有积极的指标，但仍需谨慎，因为市场波动和潜在的调整可能会扰乱其上升轨迹。