由于市场情绪仍然低迷，比特币（BTC）寻求突破持续的看跌模式

比特币 (BTC) 在过去 24 小时内飙升 0.72%，寻求突破持续的看跌格局。但整体市场情绪

Bitcoin (BTC) price is up 0.72% in the past 24 hours, seeking to break out from the ongoing bearish pattern. However, overall market sentiments remain low, as the price has declined by 8% in the last seven days and 5.7% in the last 30 days.

比特币 (BTC) 价格在过去 24 小时内上涨 0.72%，寻求突破持续的看跌格局。然而，整体市场情绪依然低迷，价格在过去 7 天内下跌了 8%，在过去 30 天内下跌了 5.7%。

Historically, this month is supposed to be the deadline for the completion of Bitcoin’s post-halving reaccumulation. With that, analysts have highlighted five key talking points that could facilitate the much-expected bullish reversal.

从历史上看，本月应该是比特币减半后重新积累完成的最后期限。由此，分析师强调了五个关键话题，这些话题可能会促进人们期待已久的看涨逆转。

Labour Day Holiday and Federal Reserve Meeting

劳动节假期和美联储会议

According to analysts, the market’s future behaviour largely hinges on the aftermath of the Labour Day Holiday today, September 2, and the Federal Reserve meeting on the interest rates scheduled on September 18. Data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool estimates that the meeting’s outcome could be a minimal rate cut of 0.25%.

分析师表示，市场未来走势很大程度上取决于今天（9 月 2 日）劳动节假期以及定于 9 月 18 日举行的美联储利率会议的后果。芝商所集团 FedWatch 工具的数据估计，会议结果可能是最低降息0.25%。

The US unemployment numbers this week are also expected to affect the market movement, as confirmed by trading resource The Kobeissi Letter.

交易资源 The Koheissi Letter 证实，本周美国失业数据预计也会影响市场走势。

We expect elevated volatility and great trading conditions with a focus on August jobs data.

我们预计波动性将上升，交易条件良好，重点关注 8 月份就业数据。

Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Indicators

比特币（BTC）技术指标

According to popular crypto analyst Skew, sellers have dominated the market, rendering buyers powerless and characterizing the low-timeframe market conditions. Supporting his thesis, the analyst shared a chart to confirm a lack of interest in the derivative market at the current price.

根据流行的加密货币分析师 Skew 的说法，卖家主导了市场，使买家无能为力，并描述了低时间框架的市场状况。为了支持他的论点，这位分析师分享了一张图表，以确认当前价格下人们对衍生品市场缺乏兴趣。

Coinglass data also shows a bulk of bid support concentrating on $56,750. Most traders anticipate another fall into the local lows, including $56,000 and $54,000. In case of a bounce back, analysts expect the asset to hit $60k and proceed to $65k.

Coinglass 数据还显示，大部分出价支持集中在 56,750 美元。大多数交易员预计价格将再次跌至局部低点，包括 56,000 美元和 54,000 美元。如果出现反弹，分析师预计该资产将达到 6 万美元，并进一步升至 6.5 万美元。

it’s more like they will push the price to 56k and sweep Tuesday’s low before moving upward. Remember, they may still want to scam hard by pushing the price to 49k (Monday, August 5 low). If the bounce is going to happen after 56k, then my expectation is 60.5k as the first move, then 65k.

更像是他们会将价格推至 56k 并扫过周二的低点，然后再上涨。请记住，他们可能仍然想通过将价格推至 49k（8 月 5 日星期一的低点）来进行诈骗。如果反弹发生在 56k 之后，那么我的预期是第一步是 60.5k，然后是 65k。

For renowned trader Captain Faibik, a relief could send the Bitcoin price to as high as $68k this month.

对于著名交易员 Captain Faibik 来说，如果比特币价格得到缓解，本月比特币价格可能会高达 6.8 万美元。

The Classic Puell Multiple Metric

经典的 Puell 多重指标

The Puell Multiple metric supports the thesis that Bitcoin is in its transitory phase in the bull market. Currently, Puell is in the neutral zone as it is neither calling a macro top nor bottom. However, it is steadily moving towards the buy zone, marked by a reading of 0.5 or less.

Puell Multiple 指标支持这样的论点：比特币正处于牛市的过渡阶段。目前，普埃尔处于中立区，因为它既没有预测宏观顶部也没有预测宏观底部。然而，它正在稳步向买入区域移动，其读数为 0.5 或更低。

Deep Learning Model Bullish on Bitcoin

深度学习模型看好比特币

According to a recent post, CryptoQuant used the WaveNet deep learning model to make a profound prediction on the Bitcoin price. The outcome was that the price could increase relative to previous forecasts by analysts.

根据最近的一篇文章，CryptoQuant 使用 WaveNet 深度学习模型对比特币价格进行了深刻的预测。结果是价格可能比分析师之前的预测有所上涨。

In June, this experiment accurately predicted a sideways movement to just below $60k in the subsequent month. Supporting this with an accompanying chart, it was predicted that BTC could reach $65k in September.

6 月份，这项实验准确预测了接下来一个月的横盘走势将略低于 6 万美元。附带的图表支持了这一点，预计 BTC 9 月份可能达到 6.5 万美元。

Historical Fall of Bitcoin in September

9月比特币历史性下跌

As we just reported, September historically “spells red” for BTC, as CoinGlass predicts a 4.5% fall. On the contrary, analyst Rekt Capital believes that the Bitcoin price could imitate previous post-halving market behaviours and break out within 150-160 days. Mathematically, this implies that the price could witness a breakout in late September 2024.

正如我们刚刚报道的那样，从历史上看，9 月对 BTC 来说是“红色”，CoinGlass 预测会下跌 4.5%。相反，分析师Rekt Capital认为，比特币价格可能会模仿之前减半后的市场行为，并在150-160天内突破。从数学上讲，这意味着价格可能会在 2024 年 9 月下旬出现突破。

The analyst also observed that the best September in Bitcoin’s history only managed a 6% price surge. This indicates that October could be the month for the expected bull run.

该分析师还观察到，比特币历史上最好的 9 月份价格仅上涨了 6%。这表明十月可能是预期牛市的月份。

After all, October has always historically been a strong month.

毕竟，从历史上看，十月一直是一个强劲的月份。