比特币（BTC）快速恢复超过$ 104,000，在加密cirtles中引发了一波乐观

在遵循美国 - 中国贸易协定之后的新市场热情中，众所周知的加密分析师Planb（用于开发股票对流量（S2F）模型的名人）表明，比特币的集会可能远离结束。

Bitcoin’s rapid recovery beyond $104,000 has sparked a wave of optimism in crypto circles, but the bigger question remains: is this just the beginning?

比特币的迅速恢复超过$ 104,000激发了加密圈子的乐观浪潮，但更大的问题仍然存在：这仅仅是开始吗？

Amid renewed market enthusiasm following the U.S.-China trade agreement, well-known crypto analyst PlanB—famous for developing the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model—has suggested that Bitcoin’s rally may be far from over. Rather than signaling the top, current market behavior could point to a bullish continuation phase that mirrors earlier bull cycles.

在遵循美国 - 中国贸易协定之后的新市场热情中，众所周知的加密分析师Planb（用于开发股票对流量（S2F）模型的名人）表明，比特币的集会可能远离结束。当前的市场行为不是发出顶部的信号，而是指看反映早期牛周期的看涨延续阶段。

Drawing from historical data, PlanB believes Bitcoin is approaching a phase of accelerated growth that may push it past its previous all-time high near $110,000. Once that milestone is broken, he anticipates a series of new highs to follow in relatively quick succession.

Planb认为，比特币正在接近加速增长的阶段，可能会将其推向以前的历史高度接近110,000美元。一旦这一里程碑被打破，他预计将有一系列新的高潮来遵循相对较快的继承。

A key indicator supporting this outlook is Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI), which currently sits around 66. According to PlanB, the RSI tends to climb above 80 during strong bull runs—and he expects that same pattern to emerge in the coming months. A sustained RSI above that level would suggest increased buying momentum and heightened investor confidence.

支持这种前景的一个关键指标是比特币的相对强度指数（RSI），目前位于66。根据Planb的说法，在强力跑步的情况下，RSI倾向于攀升80以上，他希望在未来几个月内出现这种模式。持续的RSI高于该级别，这表明购买势头增加并提高了投资者的信心。

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Adding to the bullish case, Bitcoin’s 200-week moving average has ticked up from $46,000 to $47,000—an upward shift that has often preceded periods of fear-of-missing-out (FOMO) behavior in past cycles.

除了看涨的案件外，比特币的200周移动平均线从46,000美元上升到47,000美元，这是一个向上的转变，在过去的周期中，通常已经在害怕失误（FOMO）行为之前。

If the S2F model continues to hold, PlanB argues that Bitcoin could be headed toward the $400,000 to $500,000 range by the time this halving cycle concludes.

如果S2F模型继续保持下去，Planb认为比特币可能会朝着$ 400,000至500,000美元的范围前进，到了本减半周期的结束时。

Whether that plays out or not, one thing is becoming clearer to market watchers: Bitcoin’s recent bounce may not be a peak, but a prelude.

不管是否播放，对市场观察家来说，一件事变得更加清晰：比特币最近的反弹可能不是顶峰，而是前奏。