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加密货币新闻

比特币(BTC)拉力赛在市场价值与已实现价值(MVRV)比率的势头势头 - 历史上看涨指标

2025/05/01 21:00

根据撰稿人Yonse_dent的一个隐性QuickTake帖子的说法,比特币(BTC)最近的集会重新点燃了市场价值与已实现价值(MVRV)比率(MVRV)的势头,这是一个历史上看涨的指标,通常在主要价格上涨之前。

比特币(BTC)拉力赛在市场价值与已实现价值(MVRV)比率的势头势头 - 历史上看涨指标

Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent rally has seen a resurfacing of momentum in the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, a noted indicator that has often moved in anticipation of major price surges, according to CryptoQuant contributor Yonsei_dent.

据隐性贡献者Yonsei_dent称,比特币(BTC)最近的集会在市场价值(MVRV)比率(MVRV)比率(MVRV)比率上浮出水面,这是一个著名的指标,经常在预期重大价格上涨时转移。

Bitcoin Rally Gives Momentum To MVRV Ratio

比特币集会给予MVRV比率的动力

Having formed a potential local bottom at $74,508 on April 6, BTC has since rebounded over 15%, now trading in the mid-90,000s. Following this bullish price action, several analysts suggest that BTC could be setting the stage for a new all-time high (ATH) soon.

BTC自4月6日以74,508美元的价格形成了一个潜在的本地底部,此后已反弹超过15%,现在在90,000年代中期交易。在这种看涨的价格行动之后,几位分析师认为,BTC可能很快就会为新的历史高(ATH)奠定基础。

In their analysis, Yonsei_dent notes that as BTC hovers near $94,000, the MVRV ratio (orange line) has shown a sharp recovery, approaching the critical 365-day moving average (MA) at 2.15. This level indicates that BTC investors are currently sitting on an average unrealized gain of 112%, a historically strong positioning level during bullish cycles.

在他们的分析中,Yonse_dent指出,随着BTC徘徊在接近94,000美元的左右,MVRV比率(橙线)显示出急剧的恢复,接近了2.15的关键365天移动平均线(MA)。该水平表明,BTC投资者目前正处于平均未实现的收益112%,这是看涨周期期间历史上强大的定位水平。

Further breakdown by the analyst reveals that if the 30-day MA (red line) manages to cross above the 365-day MA (blue line) decisively, it could signal a “golden cross” – a well-known bullish formation.

分析师进一步的细分表明,如果30天的MA(红线)果断地设法超过了365天的MA(蓝线),则可能标志着“ Golden Cross” - 众所周知的Bullish形成。

As highlighted in the green box on the chart, this same setup in prior cycles was followed by massive rallies. For instance, the last golden cross in November 2024 was part of a substantial BTC rally, during which it broke multiple all-time highs (ATHs).

正如图表上的绿色框中突出显示的那样,在先前的周期中相同的设置随后是大规模集会。例如,2024年11月的最后一个金十字架是BTC大力集会的一部分,在此期间,它打破了多个历史最高的高点(ATHS)。

However, the analyst cautions against getting ahead of ourselves and focusing too much on the golden cross. Instead, Yonsei_dent emphasizes the importance of continuing to monitor the MVRV trend to “confirm the strength and sustainability of the move.”

但是,分析师警告不要领先于自己,并过于关注黄金十字架。取而代之的是,Yonsei_dent强调了继续监视MVRV趋势以“确认此举的实力和可持续性”的重要性。

BTC Heading To New ATH As ETF Interest Returns

BTC前往新ATH,因为ETF利息返回

In a separate X post, crypto analyst Ali Martinez pointed out that Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are once again seeing massive inflows. According to his data, BTC ETFs have seen nearly 6,900 BTC in inflows so far this week.

在单独的X帖子中,加密分析师阿里·马丁内斯(Ali Martinez)指出,比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)再次看到大量流入。根据他的数据,本周到目前为止,BTC ETF的流入量已有近6,900 BTC。

Martinez highlighted $97,530 as the next key resistance level that BTC must overcome before making a move towards a new ATH. For context, Bitcoin’s current all-time high is $108,786, which was reached on January 20, 2025.

马丁内斯(Martinez)强调了97,530美元,这是BTC在迈向新ATH之前必须克服的下一个关键阻力水平。对于上下文,比特币目前的历史最高高价为108,786美元,该高价于2025年1月20日达到。

Meanwhile, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto noted that BTC has bounced off the orange line of the Golden Ratio Multiplier in the chart below. The next target, marked by the blue line, could propel the leading digital currency to $125,000.

同时,加密货币的加密分析师泰坦(Titan)指出,BTC在下图中脱离了黄金比率乘数的橙色线。以蓝线为标志的下一个目标可以将领先的数字货币推向125,000美元。

Other analysts have also forecasted even more ambitious targets for BTC, with one such prediction stating that BTC can reach $450,000 by Q4 2025, if it follows gold’s recent price momentum.

其他分析师还预测了BTC的更雄心勃勃的目标,其中一个预测表明,如果遵循Gold最近的价格势头,BTC到4 2025年就可以达到450,000美元。

At press time, BTC is trading at $93,922, down 1% in the past 24 hours.

发稿时,BTC的交易价格为93,922美元,在过去24小时内下跌了1%。

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