比特币 (BTC) 价格目标将于 2024 年 10 月创历史新高

在向比特币投资 10 亿日元（合 670 万美元）后，总部位于东京的投资公司 Metaplanet 增加了其比特币持有量。

Tokyo-based investment firm Metaplanet has increased its Bitcoin (BTC) holdings after purchasing 108.78 BTC on October 7, 2024. The new acquisition brings their total Bitcoin ownership to over 639 BTC, valued at more than 6 billion Yen ($40.6 million).

总部位于东京的投资公司 Metaplanet 在 2024 年 10 月 7 日购买了 108.78 BTC 后增加了其比特币 (BTC) 持有量。新收购使其比特币总持有量达到超过 639 BTC，价值超过 60 亿日元（4,060 万美元）。

This recent purchase is part of the firm’s aggressive Bitcoin buying strategy, which began in May 2024. The company has been purchasing the cryptocurrency as a reserve asset throughout the year.

最近的这次购买是该公司自 2024 年 5 月开始的积极比特币购买战略的一部分。该公司全年一直在购买加密货币作为储备资产。

Bitcoin Price Targets New All-Time High in October

十月份比特币价格创下历史新高

Analyzing BTC price on a daily time frame reveals that the price is currently trading above the $60,500 support level after bouncing off a recent low.

每日时间范围内的 BTC 价格分析显示，在从近期低点反弹后，目前价格高于 60,500 美元的支撑位。

The breakout level at $68,650 is the next critical resistance to watch for BTC price. If surpassed, BTC could average 30% gains to a psychological resistance of $80,000.

68,650 美元的突破水平是 BTC 价格下一个值得关注的关键阻力位。如果突破，BTC 可能平均上涨 30%，达到 80,000 美元的心理阻力位。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) trades above the neutral 50 level at 56.47, indicating bulls are in charge of momentum. The next target for the price to rally past is the $80,000 psychological mark. If the price stays above the $63k level and breaks through $68,650, the next target would be the $80,000 psychological mark.

相对强弱指数 (RSI) 交投于中性 50 水平之上 56.47，表明多头正在掌控动能。价格反弹的下一个目标是 80,000 美元的心理关口。如果价格保持在 63,000 美元上方并突破 68,650 美元，下一个目标将是 80,000 美元心理关口。

However, if the price cannot hold above $63k, it may plunge back to the $60,500 support level. For signs of overbought conditions, momentum and RSI levels should be monitored closely, too.

然而，如果价格无法保持在 63,000 美元之上，则可能会跌回 60,500 美元的支撑位。对于超买状况的迹象，还应密切监控动量和 RSI 水平。

BTC 2024 Follows Halving Year Trend, Poised for Strong Q4 Surge

BTC 2024 年遵循减半趋势，第四季度有望强劲飙升

Comparing BTC price performance around Q4 of halving years in the chart above reveals that the value of Bitcoin rises significantly each year, especially if we’re near the end of the year.

上图中比较减半年第四季度左右的 BTC 价格表现表明，比特币的价值每年都会大幅上涨，尤其是在接近年底的情况下。

Moreover, Bitcoin’s trajectory just prior to and leading up to the 2024 halving is identical to that of earlier halving cycles, namely a sharp acceleration in price right into the last quarter of that year. Specifically, Bitcoin’s price sprang up an impressive 171% in 2020 alone in Q4, but a 9% increase in 2012 and 59% in 2016.

此外，比特币在 2024 年减半之前和之前的轨迹与之前的减半周期相同，即价格在当年最后一个季度急剧加速。具体来说，比特币的价格仅在 2020 年第四季度就飙升了 171%，但 2012 年增长了 9%，2016 年增长了 59%。

The 2024 trajectory of Bitcoin performance mirrors the 2020 path, with BTC well positioned for a repeat strong tail end-of-the-year run. As the market enters the fourth quarter, BTC price performance is already showing positive movement.

2024 年比特币的表现轨迹与 2020 年的轨迹一致，比特币处于有利地位，有望在年底再次强劲运行。随着市场进入第四季度，BTC价格表现已经呈现积极走势。

The 2024, representing a sharp rise, hints that BTC could be at the cusp of matching or exceeding its past all-time highs.

2024 年代表着比特币的大幅上涨，这暗示着 BTC 可能即将达到或超过其过去的历史高点。

Bitcoin’s Net Realized Profit and Loss metric signals possible bull run

比特币的净已实现损益指标预示着可能的牛市

The Net Realized Profit and Loss (NRPL) metric is another crucial indicator to follow for BTC price movements, which measures the net profits or losses generated by investors.

净实现损益（NRPL）指标是比特币价格走势的另一个重要指标，它衡量投资者产生的净利润或损失。

Although Bitcoin has remained relatively flat over the past six months, the NRPL has declined to a level last seen at the start of the bull market, when BTC traded around $30,000.

尽管比特币在过去六个月中保持相对平稳，但 NRPL 已降至牛市开始时的水平，当时 BTC 交易价格约为 30,000 美元。

The NRPL has decreased here, indicating that BTC could be setting up for a new bullish phase. The data suggests a possible rally in Bitcoin in months to come if external market factors stay the same, with optimism in the community of Bitcoin investors and market participants at large.

NRPL 在此下降，表明 BTC 可能正在为新的看涨阶段做好准备。数据表明，如果外部市场因素保持不变，并且比特币投资者和整个市场参与者都持乐观态度，那么未来几个月比特币可能会上涨。