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加密货币新闻

NVT指标表明,比特币(BTC)的价格上涨超过100,000美元,表明抛物线拉力板可能即将到来

2025/05/11 09:30

加密分析师Burak Kesmeci透露,对交易的比特币高级网络价值(NVT)度量已超过关键阈值。

NVT指标表明,比特币(BTC)的价格上涨超过100,000美元,表明抛物线拉力板可能即将到来

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Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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Ad discliamer

向披露

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狮子和球员的足球价格有些柔和。每个arcu lorem,超级儿童或ullamcorper的足球仇恨。

Following another impressive weekly performance, the price of Bitcoin is now trading above the psychologically relevant $100,000 mark. The flagship cryptocurrency jumped as high as $103,800, its highest price level since January 2025. However, the latest on-chain data suggests that the BTC price might be in a make-or-break season.

在每周一次令人印象深刻的每周表现之后,比特币的价格现在超过了与心理相关的100,000美元的交易。旗舰加密货币高达103,800美元,即自2025年1月以来的最高价格水平。但是,最新的链上数据表明,BTC的价格可能是在制造或破产季节。

Is A BTC Parabolic Rally On The Horizon?

BTC抛物线集会是否在地平线上?

Crypto analyst Burak Kesmeci took to the social media platform X to reveal that the Bitcoin Advanced Network Value to Transaction (NVT) metric has surpassed a critical threshold. According to the online pundit, this on-chain development suggests a potential shift in market dynamics, which could ultimately impact the price of BTC.

加密分析师Burak Kesmeci带到了社交媒体平台X,以揭示比特币高级网络价值(NVT)度量已超过关键阈值。根据在线专家的说法,这种链上的开发表明市场动态可能会发生变化,这最终可能会影响BTC的价格。

This Advanced NVT metric is a refined version of the traditional NVT indicator, which calculates the ratio of Network Value (market cap) by the volume (in USD) transferred through the blockchain daily. This Advanced Network Value to Transaction metric helps to better capture extreme valuation conditions.

该高级NVT指标是传统NVT指标的精制版本,该版本将网络值(市值)的比率算出通过区块链每天传输的数量(美元)。交易度量的高级网络价值有助于更好地捕获极端的估值条件。

Hence, when the Advanced NVT metric surges above its long-term moving average by more than two standard deviations (2xSD), it indicates that the BTC market cap growth does not correlate with its blockchain volume. Historically, this phenomenon often precedes either an extended price rally or sometimes a severe market correction.

因此,当高级NVT度量飙升以上超过两个标准偏差(2xSD)时,它表明BTC市值增长与其区块链量无关。从历史上看,这种现象通常在价格延长的集会之前或有时是严重的市场纠正之前。

According to the data shared by Kesmeci, the Bitcoin Advanced NVT is above the 2xSD threshold, even though it might not persist above this level. The analyst mentioned that the indicator does not spend an extended period above 2xSD unless Bitcoin is on the verge of a parabolic price rally.

根据KESMECI共享的数据,比特币高级NVT高于2xSD阈值,即使它可能不持续到此级别上。分析师提到,除非比特币处于抛物线价格集会的边缘,否则该指标不会在2xSD以上的长期延长。

Kesmeci noted:

Kesmeci指出:

However, with a parabolic rally, it is possible that it could move much higher than 4xSD. This has happened before with the ETF rally after the approval of Spot ETFs.

但是,通过抛物线集会,它可能会移动高于4xSD。在批准现场ETF之后,ETF集会以前发生了。

Furthermore, Kesmeci highlighted that while history suggests that Bitcoin Advanced NVT being above 2xSD is an anomaly that often precedes a rally, it is not set in stone that the indicator must lose the 2xSD level. Hence, investors might want to closely watch this BTC metric above this, as the premier cryptocurrency is currently at a critical juncture, which could define its long-term trajectory.

此外,Kesmeci强调,尽管历史表明比特币高于2xSD的NVT是一种异常,通常在集会之前进行了反常,但并非没有石头设定指标必须损失2xSD水平。因此,投资者可能希望密切关注此BTC指标,因为当前主要的加密货币目前处于关键时刻,这可以定义其长期轨迹。

Bitcoin Price At A Glance

比特币价格一目了然

Over the past week, the price of BTC regained a six-figure valuation for the first time since losing the $100,000 level in February. As of this writing, the market leader sits just above the $103,100 mark, reflecting 0.5% jump in the past 24 hours. On the weekly timeframe, though, Bitcoin’s value is up by more than 6%.

在过去的一周中,自2月份失去100,000美元的水平以来,BTC的价格首次恢复了六位数的估值。截至撰写本文时,市场领导者位于103,100美元以上,反映了过去24小时内的0.5%的增长。但是,在每周的时间范围内,比特币的价值增长了6%以上。

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