这就是为什么比特币 (BTC) 价格在 9 月份可能会陷入困境

YouTube 频道 Crypto Tips 的一段 YouTube 视频解释了为什么比特币在 9 月份可能会陷入困境甚至看跌。原因基于历史因素、价格指标和政治事件。

A YouTube video from Crypto Tips addressed why Bitcoin could struggle or even be bearish in September. The reasons are based on historical factors, price metrics, and political happenings.

Crypto Tips 的 YouTube 视频解释了为什么比特币在 9 月份可能会陷入困境甚至看跌。原因基于历史因素、价格指标和政治事件。

Based on the video, September has historically been a challenging month for Bitcoin. This requires short-term traders and those who want to make quick profits to be very cautious with their strategies.

根据该视频，从历史上看，九月对比特币来说是充满挑战的月份。这要求短线交易者和那些想要快速获利的人对其策略非常谨慎。

The analyst stated that he has seen the potential for more pullbacks in BTC price to around the mid-$50,000 range. This is against many analysts’ projections of a bullish price for Bitcoin.

这位分析师表示，他认为 BTC 价格有可能进一步回调至 50,000 美元左右的区间。这与许多分析师对比特币价格看涨的预测背道而驰。

Less Leveraged Traders and More Liquidations

杠杆较低的交易者和更多的清算

BTC price has started to go down as the crypto analyst suggested. Some of the reasons behind this, according to the video, are that open interest remains high, although there has been decreasing leverage within the Bitcoin space.

正如加密货币分析师所说，比特币价格已经开始下跌。根据视频，这背后的一些原因是，尽管比特币领域的杠杆率一直在下降，但未平仓合约仍然很高。

Meet PandaWorld, the new meme coin currently selling at discounted presale prices! The project was inspired by the adventures of six panda siblings, utilizing their unique abilities to bring together gaming, staking, and other features.

来认识一下 PandaWorld，这是一种新的模因硬币，目前以折扣预售价出售！该项目的灵感来自于六只熊猫兄弟姐妹的冒险经历，利用他们独特的能力将游戏、质押和其他功能结合在一起。

There have been various liquidation activities for Bitcoin, and analysts think this is positive for crypto, discouraging leveraged trading activities. The analyst sees holding and buying Bitcoin for the long term as a preferred strategy.

比特币出现了各种清算活动，分析师认为这对加密货币有利，抑制了杠杆交易活动。分析师认为长期持有和购买比特币是首选策略。

September Has Been a Bad Month

九月是糟糕的一个月

Historically, September has been the worst-performing month for Bitcoin over the past decade. According to data shared by Lark Davis, Bitcoin has only seen positive returns in September three times in the last ten years.

从历史上看，九月是过去十年来比特币表现最差的月份。根据 Lark Davis 分享的数据，过去十年来，比特币仅在 9 月份出现了 3 次正收益。

Read Also: Is Investing in Presale Coins Smarter Than Buying Bitcoin ($BTC) or Cardano ($ADA)?

另请阅读：投资预售代币是否比购买比特币（$BTC）或卡尔达诺（$ADA）更明智？

However, the analyst notes that this bull market differs from previous cycles, as Bitcoin reached all-time highs before the halving event. He attributes this to increased institutional involvement rather than purely retail-driven price action.

然而，分析师指出，本次牛市与之前的周期不同，因为比特币在减半事件之前达到了历史新高。他将此归因于机构参与的增加，而不是纯粹零售驱动的价格行为。

The analyst suggests that significant price movements typically occur around 130 to 160 days after the BTC halving. Currently, Bitcoin has been trading within a range for about 36 days post-halving. While cautioning short-term traders, he reassures long-term spot holders that their position remains strong.

分析师表示，重大价格变动通常发生在 BTC 减半后 130 至 160 天左右。目前，比特币减半后约36天一直在区间内交易。在警告短期交易者的同时，他向长期现货持有者保证他们的头寸仍然强劲。

Geopolitical Tensions Between France and UAE

法国和阿联酋之间的地缘政治紧张局势

The analyst also mentions recent geopolitical events affecting the crypto space, including tensions between France and the UAE involving Telegram’s founder, and allegations of Binance seizing Palestinian crypto assets at Israel’s request.

这位分析师还提到了最近影响加密货币领域的地缘政治事件，包括法国和阿联酋之间涉及 Telegram 创始人的紧张关系，以及币安应以色列要求扣押巴勒斯坦加密资产的指控。

The analyst thinks that during these trying periods, it is better to keep Bitcoin using a self-custody method rather than with exchanges to reduce the risk associated with geopolitical factors.

这位分析师认为，在这些艰难时期，最好采用自我托管的方式而不是通过交易所来保留比特币，以减少与地缘政治因素相关的风险。

The presenter thinks that Bitcoin remains positive and bullish in the long term, especially for those holding Bitcoin without leverage.

主持人认为，从长远来看，比特币仍然是积极和看涨的，特别是对于那些没有杠杆地持有比特币的人来说。

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Captain 刚刚在众多 2-5 次中完成了他的第一个 100 次。想要成为盈利社区的一员？加入我们的免费 Telegram 群组即可接听我们未来的所有电话。