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研究分析师戴维·普尔(David Puell)在4月24日的报告中设定的新目标与该公司的前牛案案件150万美元相比大幅增加。
Ark Invest has sharply raised its price forecasts for Bitcoin, predicting that the cryptocurrency may reach $2.4 million by the end of 2030 in its most bullish scenario.
ARK Invest急剧提高了对比特币的价格预测,预测,在最看涨的情况下,到2030年底,加密货币可能会达到240万美元。
The new target, set in an April 24 report by research analyst David Puell, is a massive increase from the firm’s former bull case target of $1.5 million.
研究分析师戴维·普尔(David Puell)在4月24日的报告中设定的新目标与该公司的前牛案案件150万美元相比大幅增加。
This would also see Bitcoin's market capitalization hit about $49 trillion based on about 20 million supply of bitcoins until 2030. This will place Bitcoin's market almost on a par with both the U.S. and China's combined GDP, as well as capable of overtaking gold as the largest asset class in the world.
这也将使比特币的市值基于约2000万比特币的供应,直到2030年,比特币的市值达到了约49万亿美元。这将使比特币的市场几乎与美国和中国的总GDP相提并论,并能够将黄金作为世界上最大的资产类别。
The report also takes into account nation-state adoption and corporate treasury strategies as other factors that will contribute to the value of Bitcoin in the future.
该报告还考虑到民族国家的采用和公司国库策略是其他因素,这些因素将有助于将来的比特币价值。
However, despite this bleak outlook, Puell believes that Bitcoin is poised for significant price appreciation in the coming years due to several key factors.
但是,尽管前景黯淡,但普尔认为,由于几个关键因素,比特币在未来几年中有了大量的价格升值。
"Institutions will be a key driver of Bitcoin's future price growth," stated Puell in the report. In the best-case scenario, he estimates that Bitcoin can grab 6.5% of the $200 trillion non-gold global financial market.
Puell在报告中说:“机构将是比特币未来价格增长的主要驱动力。”在最佳情况下,他估计比特币可以占据200万亿美元的非金牌金融市场的6.5%。
This institutional adoption is the backbone of Ark's positive vision for Bitcoin.
这种机构采用是方舟对比特币积极愿景的骨干。
In its report, Ark Invest predicts that Bitcoin could reach between $300,000 and $1.5 million by 2030 under its bear, base, and bull case scenarios. The projections are based on expected capital inflows from institutional investment, adoption as digital gold, demand in emerging markets, and contributions by nation-state and corporate treasury.
ARK Invest在其报告中预测,在其熊,基地和公牛案例下,到2030年,比特币将达到30万至150万美元。这些预测是基于机构投资的预期资本流入,采用数字黄金,新兴市场需求以及民族国家和公司财政部的贡献。
This would be a huge change in investors' perception of the cryptocurrency, placing it in competition with the world's oldest store of value. If this occurs, it would make a huge contribution to the price appreciation of Bitcoin, as stated in the report.
这将是投资者对加密货币的看法的巨大变化,使它与世界上最古老的价值存储竞争。如报告所述,如果发生这种情况,它将为比特币的价格欣赏做出巨大贡献。
According to Puell's estimates, emerging markets' price appreciation being driven by Bitcoin as a "safe haven" may represent up to nearly 14% of the total cost growth in its bull case projection.
根据Puell的估计,新兴市场的价格赞赏是由比特币驱动的,因为“避风港”可能占其公牛案例预测中总成本增长的近14%。
"This has the greatest potential for capital accrual," stated Puell, referring to the fact that Bitcoin can store wealth safe from inflation and devaluation of money in unstable monetary regimes.
普尔说:“这具有最大的资本应计潜力。”他指的是,比特币可以在不稳定的货币制度中存储财富免受通货膨胀和货币贬值的贬值。
The firm's economists expect that in emerging economies, macroeconomic uncertainty will drive capital flows into Bitcoin.
该公司的经济学家预计,在新兴经济体中,宏观经济不确定性将使资本流入比特币。
"The greater the uncertainty about a country's economic outlook, the greater the capital flows into Bitcoin," stated Ark Invest in its report.
方舟投资于报告。
Emerging markets are also expected to contribute to the price growth of Bitcoin as a safe haven asset due to concerns over fiat currency stability and inflation.
由于对法定货币稳定性和通货膨胀的担忧,新兴市场还预计将有助于比特币作为避风港资产的价格增长。
"We expect that emerging markets will largely drive Bitcoin's price appreciation as a safe haven asset due to concerns over fiat currency stability and inflation," stated the firm.
该公司说:“我们预计,由于对法定货币稳定性和通货膨胀的担忧,新兴市场将在很大程度上推动比特币的价格欣赏作为避风港资产。”
Finally, Puell also considers the impact of nation-state adoption and corporate treasury strategies on Bitcoin's future value.
最后,Puell还考虑了民族国家采用和公司国库策略对比特币未来价值的影响。
As more nation-states integrate Bitcoin into their reserves and macroeconomic frameworks, it is likely to contribute to its overall stability and legitimacy in the global financial system.
随着越来越多的民族国家将比特币整合到其储备和宏观经济框架中,它很可能有助于其在全球金融体系中的整体稳定性和合法性。
This involvement could lead to increased confidence in Bitcoin as a global monetary asset, which in turn, might drive further price appreciation.
这种参与可能会导致对比特币作为全球货币资产的信心,从而推动进一步的价格升值。
At the same time, the report also highlights the role of corporate treasury strategies in investing in Bitcoin.
同时,该报告还强调了公司国库在投资比特币中的作用。
As companies allocate portions of their treasury holdings to digital assets, such as Bitcoin, it could be a significant factor in driving up demand and, consequently, price growth.
随着公司将部分财政股份分配给比特币等数字资产,这可能是提高需求并因此增长价格增长的重要因素。
However, even in the bear case, which saw a slight increase from $300,000 to $500,000, and the base case, which went up from $710,000 to $1.2 million, there is still a huge potential for growth in the next five years.
但是,即使在熊案中,从300,000美元略有增加到500,000美元,而基本案例也从71.1万美元增加到120万美元,在未来五年中,增长仍然具有巨大的潜力。
These targets would mean Bitcoin would need to increase at compound annual rates of 32% to 53% over to 2030. Such prolonged growth rates would be rare for an asset that has already reached trillion-dollar market capitalization.
这些目标将意味着比特币需要以32%至2030年的复合率增加32%至53%。对于已经达到数万亿美元市值的资产而言,这种延长的增长率将很少。
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