2024-2025 年比特币 (BTC) 价格预测

比特币 [BTC] 预计将在 2024 年第四季度达到 85,000 美元至 100,000 美元的新高。不断增长的需求、历史季节性走势和链上指标正在推动价格上涨。

Bitcoin (BTC) price is expected to reach new highs in the range of $85,000-$100,000 in Q4 2024. Several factors are converging to drive this price march upwards, including growing demand, historical seasonal movements, and on-chain metrics.

比特币 (BTC) 价格预计将在 2024 年第四季度达到 85,000 美元至 100,000 美元的新高。多种因素共同推动比特币价格上涨，包括不断增长的需求、历史季节性波动和链上指标。

Historically, Bitcoin has performed well during halving years, and 2024 will be no exception. Rising demand boosts Bitcoin’s rally potential.

从历史上看，比特币在减半年份表现良好，2024 年也不例外。需求上升增强了比特币的上涨潜力。

Bitcoin’s current momentum is a result of demand that has gradually piled on throughout the year 2024.

比特币目前的势头是 2024 年全年需求逐渐增加的结果。

The latest insights released by Cryptoquant suggest that BTC is approaching significant price levels where short-term traders usually tend to take profits from after a rally.

Cryptoquant 发布的最新见解表明，BTC 正在接近重要的价格水平，短期交易者通常倾向于在反弹后获利了结。

A trend that points to potential profit-taking between the range of $85,000 and $100,000, but overall, the market is optimistic.

这一趋势表明潜在获利回吐范围在 85,000 美元至 100,000 美元之间，但总体而言，市场持乐观态度。

Institutional interest has played a key role in this price surge. Most market participants increasingly see it as a hedge against inflation and a safe asset in times of uncertainty. Such demand could very well push Bitcoin to $85k-100k in Q4 2024.

机构利益在这次价格飙升中发挥了关键作用。大多数市场参与者越来越多地将其视为对冲通胀的工具以及不确定时期的安全资产。这种需求很可能将比特币推至 2024 年第四季度的 8.5 万至 10 万美元。

Halving trends signal more gains

减半趋势预示着更多收益

So far, the 2024 performance of Bitcoin is in lockstep with that of previous halving years.

到目前为止，比特币 2024 年的表现与之前减半年份的表现一致。

In 2012, the price appreciated 9% in Q4, while in 2016, it moved upwards by 59%. The best year to this day, however, has been 2020, when Bitcoin rallied 171%.

2012年第四季度价格上涨了9%，而2016年则上涨了59%。然而，迄今为止最好的一年是 2020 年，当时比特币上涨了 171%。

With 2024 being a halving year, this very movement of the cryptocurrency’s price has put it in a position for an explosive finish in Q4.

2024 年是减半年，加密货币价格的这种变动使其有可能在第四季度出现爆炸性的收尾。

This historical trend is strong support for the argument that Bitcoin might hit the range of $85,000-100,000 since several times its performance peaks toward the end of the halving year.

这一历史趋势有力地支持了比特币可能会触及 85,000-100,000 美元区间的论点，因为它的表现在减半年末时多次达到顶峰。

Is Bitcoin edging for a milestone move?

比特币即将迎来里程碑式的走势吗？

As Bitcoin approaches $85k–$100k price levels, most of the short-term traders tend to start cashing out after such rallies.

随着比特币价格接近 8.5 万至 10 万美元，大多数短期交易者往往会在反弹后开始套现。

While this might lead to some short-term volatility, it does not signal a long-term downtrend.

虽然这可能会导致一些短期波动，但这并不意味着长期下降趋势。

In fact, this reflects healthy market activity as long-term holders continue to maintain upward pressure.

事实上，这反映出市场活动健康，长期持有者继续保持上行压力。

With the upward demand, strong on-chain metrics, and supportive historical patterns converging. Bitcoin is positioned for a move into the range between $85,000 and $100,000 by the end of Q4 2024.

随着需求的上升、强大的链上指标和支持性的历史模式的融合。到 2024 年第四季度末，比特币价格有望升至 85,000 美元至 100,000 美元之间。