比特币（BTC）价格预测：涨势会持续吗？

11 月 14 日星期四，比特币 (BTC) 交易价格为 91,200 美元，今年迄今涨幅达到 115%。

Bitcoin (BTC) continued to trade in a tight range on Thursday, Nov. 14, showing little directional bias after a strong rally earlier this week. However, several analysts remain bullish on the apex coin, expecting it to hit new all-time highs in the coming months.

11 月 14 日星期四，比特币 (BTC) 继续窄幅波动，在本周早些时候强劲反弹后几乎没有出现方向性偏差。然而，一些分析师仍然看好这款顶级代币，预计其在未来几个月内将创下历史新高。

BTC was trading at $91,200 on Thursday, up 1.65% in the past 24 hours and showing a year-to-date gain of 115%. It outperformed popular assets like the Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100, and S&P 500 indices, which were all down on the day.

BTC 周四交易价格为 91,200 美元，过去 24 小时内上涨 1.65%，年初至今涨幅达 115%。它的表现优于道琼斯指数、纳斯达克 100 指数和标准普尔 500 指数等热门资产，这些指数当天均下跌。

Bitcoin’s price has surged over 40% since the US election on Nov. 8. Pro-crypto candidates performed well in the election, and several crypto-friendly officials were appointed by President Donald Trump. These include Matt Gaetz, J.D. Vance, Vivek Ramaswamy, Elon Musk, and Tulsi Gabbard.

自 11 月 8 日美国大选以来，比特币价格已飙升超过 40%。支持加密货币的候选人在选举中表现出色，唐纳德·特朗普总统任命了几位对加密货币友好的官员。其中包括 Matt Gaetz、JD Vance、Vivek Ramaswamy、Elon Musk 和 Tulsi Gabbard。

Moreover, several newly elected officials in the House of Representatives made pro-crypto statements.

此外，众议院几位新当选的官员发表了支持加密货币的声明。

“The crypto narrative is gaining steam in the mainstream.”

“加密货币叙事正在成为主流。”

Earlier this week, several analysts predicted that Bitcoin’s price could continue to rally and hit new all-time highs in the coming months.

本周早些时候，几位分析师预测，比特币的价格可能会继续上涨，并在未来几个月内创下新的历史高点。

Matthew Sigel, the head of digital assets at VanEck, told CNBC that the Bitcoin price rally had more room to run. He noted that several top indicators his firm tracks were still flashing green.

VanEck 数字资产主管 Matthew Sigel 向 CNBC 表示，比特币价格上涨还有更大的上涨空间。他指出，他所追踪的几个主要指标仍然呈绿色闪烁。

“We expect that the coin will make repeated all-time highs in the next few quarters now that the election is over.”

“我们预计，既然选举已经结束，代币将在未来几个季度屡创新高。”

Sigel added that several key indicators had not yet turned bearish, despite Bitcoin’s price surging over 40% in the past week. He predicted that the coin’s price could rise to $180,000, almost double its current trading value.

Sigel 补充说，尽管比特币价格在过去一周飙升了 40% 以上，但一些关键指标尚未转为看跌。他预测该代币的价格可能会上涨至 180,000 美元，几乎是当前交易价值的两倍。

A poll by Polymarket with over 724,000 in assets shows that BTC has a 56% chance of hitting $100,000 this month.

Polymarket 对超过 724,000 名资产进行的民意调查显示，BTC 本月有 56% 的机会达到 100,000 美元。

Still, not everyone is bullish on Bitcoin. In an X post, Ali, who has over 81,000 followers, predicted that the coin could see a short-term pullback. He attributed this to the TD Sequential indicator, which has a sell signal on the daily chart.

尽管如此，并不是所有人都看好比特币。拥有超过 81,000 名粉丝的阿里在 X 帖子中预测，该代币可能会出现短期回调。他将此归因于 TD 顺序指标，该指标在日线图上有卖出信号。

Similarly, Ki Young Ju, the founder of CryptoQuant, warned that the perpetual market was overleveraged, which could lead to a sharp retracement.

同样，CryptoQuant 创始人 Ki Young Ju 警告称，永续市场杠杆率过高，可能导致大幅回调。

“$BTC-USDT perp market is overleveraged—2.7x higher than early this year, hitting an all-time high. I double-checked the data; it’s accurate. Stay cautious.”

“$BTC-USDT 永续市场杠杆率过高，比今年年初高出 2.7 倍，创下历史新高。我仔细检查了数据；这是准确的。保持谨慎。”

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC-USDT Daily Chart

比特币价格分析：BTC-USDT 日线图

BTC-USDT Daily Chart

BTC-USDT 日线图

The daily chart suggests more Bitcoin upside in the near term. It has already crossed the important resistance level at $73,777, the previous all-time high, and the neckline of the inverse head and shoulders pattern.

日线图显示，比特币短期内还有更多上涨空间。它已经突破了重要的阻力位 73,777 美元，这是之前的历史高点，也是反向头肩形态的颈线。

Bitcoin has formed a golden cross pattern, which often leads to substantial gains. Most notably, the MVRV indicator has risen to 2.7. Sell signals are usually triggered when the MVRP indicator jumps to 3.5.

比特币已经形成了黄金十字形态，这往往会带来可观的收益。最值得注意的是，MVRV 指标已升至 2.7。当 MVRP 指标跳至 3.5 时，通常会触发卖出信号。

Therefore, the path of least resistance for Bitcoin’s price is higher, with the next target being $100,000. This outlook will become invalid if the price falls below the support at $85,000.

因此，比特币价格阻力最小的路径是更高，下一个目标是 10 万美元。如果价格跌破 85,000 美元的支撑位，该展望将失效。