比特币（BTC）价格预测：下一步是什么？

比特币 [BTC] 已经陷入价格盘整阶段（6 万美元至 7.2 万美元）两个多月了，这是痛苦的，尤其是对于短期持有者来说

Bitcoin [BTC] has been trading within a price consolidation zone ($60K-$72K) for over two months now, a development that has been particularly painful for short-term holders who anticipated massive price upswings.

比特币 [BTC] 已经在价格盘整区域（6 万美元至 7.2 万美元）内交易了两个多月，这一发展对于预计价格大幅上涨的短期持有者来说尤其痛苦。

However, crypto analyst Willy Woo sees this consolidation as “very good” for BTC’s potential to move higher.

然而，加密货币分析师 Willy Woo 认为这种整合对于 BTC 走高的潜力“非常有利”。

“This 2.5 months of consolidation under bullish demand has been very good for #Bitcoin, it means the price has more room to run before topping out.”

“看涨需求下的这 2.5 个月的整合对#Bitcoin 来说非常有利，这意味着价格在触顶之前还有更多的运行空间。”

Woo’s projection was based on the Bitcoin Macro Oscillator (BMO), which indicated that additional upside moves were possible.

Woo 的预测基于比特币宏观振荡器（BMO），该指标表明可能会出现进一步的上行走势。

The BMO is an aggregate momentum metric that incorporates other key indicators like MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value), VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price), CVDD (Cumulative Value Days Destroyed), and the Sharpe ratio.

BMO 是一个总动量指标，包含其他关键指标，如 MVRV（市场价值与已实现价值）、VWAP（成交量加权平均价格）、CVDD（累积价值销毁天数）和夏普比率。

In essence, the BMO filters out short-term price noise and captures whether BTC has bottomed or topped from a long-term perspective.

从本质上讲，BMO 过滤了短期价格噪音，并从长期角度捕捉 BTC 是否已触底或见顶。

During the 2017 and 2021 market cycles, BTC topped after BMO hit 1.8, but the indicator was reading below 1 at press time.

在 2017 年和 2021 年的市场周期中，BTC 在 BMO 触及 1.8 后见顶，但截至发稿时该指标读数低于 1。

Hence, based on the BMO, Woo projected that the indicator could move to 1.8 again, as marked by the white arrow in the chart, giving BTC’s price more room to move higher.

因此，根据 BMO 的数据，Woo 预计该指标可能会再次升至 1.8，如图中白色箭头所示，从而为 BTC 的价格带来更大的上涨空间。

Next BTC price move?

比特币价格下一步走势？

Despite the bullish outlook, resistance around the last cycle high of $69K remained a pivotal hurdle, according to Peter Brandt, a renowned BTC technical chart analyst.

著名 BTC 技术图表分析师 Peter Brandt 表示，尽管前景看涨，但上一个周期高点 6.9 万美元附近的阻力仍然是一个关键障碍。

As per Brandt, BTC must make “new highs to confirm the bull trend.”

根据布兰特的说法，比特币必须“创出新高以确认牛市趋势”。

Meanwhile, a recent AMBCrypto report established that the majority of metrics still painted a bullish scenario for the king coin. Notably, miners were not selling their holdings, and the market sentiment signaled “greed.”

与此同时，最近的一份 AMBCrypto 报告表明，大多数指标仍然描绘了对王币的看涨情景。值得注意的是，矿商并未出售其持有的股份，市场情绪显示出“贪婪”的信号。

However, the only issue for the BTC price was short-term holders. A majority of them were in profit and could book profits, inducing short-term sell pressure.

然而，比特币价格的唯一问题是短期持有者。其中大多数已盈利并可实现盈利，从而引发短期抛售压力。

But another crypto analyst, Cryp Nuevo, predicted that a liquidity hunt could overwhelm short-sellers since most liquidity was positioned near the range-highs at $72K.

但另一位加密货币分析师 Cryp Nuevo 预测，流动性追逐可能会压垮卖空者，因为大多数流动性都位于 7.2 万美元的区间高点附近。

That said, AMBCrypto’s Bitcoin price prediction showed that if BTC manages to clear the month-long range highs, $79K could be the next bullish target for the king coin.

也就是说，AMBCrypto 的比特币价格预测表明，如果 BTC 能够突破一个月的区间高点，7.9 万美元可能成为王币的下一个看涨目标。

The bullish sentiment was further echoed by crypto trading firm QCP Capital.

加密货币交易公司 QCP Capital 进一步呼应了看涨情绪。

In its Telegram update to its community, the firm downplayed recent short-term BTC sell pressure from the Mt Gox update as “blips” for a “higher trend.”

在向社区发布的 Telegram 更新中，该公司淡化了 Mt Gox 更新带来的近期 BTC 短期抛售压力，称其为“更高趋势”的“昙花一现”。

“These bouts of supply anxiety are likely to be blips in a broader trend higher into the end of the year.’

“这些供应焦虑可能只是今年年底更广泛的走高趋势中的短暂现象。”