比特币（BTC）价格预测：市场底部很快就会结束吗？

比特币 [BTC] 在过去 7 天的表现并不令人印象深刻，其价格跌破了 6.5 万美元大关。价格调整引发恐慌

Bitcoin’s (BTC) seven-day performance was lackluster, with the price dropping below the $65K mark and sparking fear among investors. However, historical trends hint at a possible market bottom.

比特币 (BTC) 7 天表现平淡，价格跌破 6.5 万美元大关，引发投资者恐慌。然而，历史趋势暗示市场可能触底。

A closer look at the market reveals that BTC’s price had dropped by nearly 4.5%. Furthermore, in the last 24 hours alone, the king of cryptos’ price decreased by over 2%. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $63,931.44 with a market capitalization of over $1.26 trillion.

仔细观察市场就会发现，BTC 的价格下跌了近 4.5%。此外，仅在过去24小时内，加密货币之王的价格就下跌了2%以上。截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 63,931.44 美元，市值超过 1.26 万亿美元。

Meanwhile, Santiment recently highlighted an interesting development. According to the tweet, the market was mainly fearful or disinterested in Bitcoin, as prices ranged from $65K to $66K.

与此同时，Santiment 最近强调了一个有趣的发展。根据该推文，市场主要对比特币感到恐惧或不感兴趣，因为比特币的价格在 6.5 万美元到 6.6 万美元之间。

“This extended level of FUD is rare as traders continue to capitulate. BTC trader fatigue, combined with whale accumulation, generally leads to bounces that reward the patient.”

“随着交易员继续投降，这种长期的 FUD 水平是罕见的。比特币交易者的疲劳，加上鲸鱼的积累，通常会导致反弹，从而奖励耐心。”

To determine whether Bitcoin was indeed close to its market bottom, we analyzed Glassnode’s data.

为了确定比特币是否确实接近市场底部，我们分析了 Glassnode 的数据。

The Pi Cycle Top indicator showed that BTC’s price had dropped from its perceived market bottom of $66.5k, indicating a possible price increase in the coming days.

Pi 周期顶部指标显示，BTC 的价格已从 6.65 万美元的市场底部回落，表明未来几天价格可能上涨。

For context, the Pi Cycle indicator is calculated using the 111-day moving average and a multiple of 2x the 350-day moving average of Bitcoin’s price.

就上下文而言，Pi 周期指标是使用比特币价格的 111 天移动平均线和 2 倍 350 天移动平均线计算的。

If the bull case plays out, BTC could be eyeing its market top of $91k in the coming weeks or months.

如果牛市得以实现，BTC 可能会在未来几周或几个月内达到 9.1 万美元的市场顶部。