比特币（BTC）价格预测：BTC/USDT 每周图表分析

9 月 3 日，比特币跌破 58,000 美元，这是 BTC/USDT 4 小时图表上过去 7 天内第四次跌破关键高度。

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) sank below the crucial support height for the fourth time in the last seven days on the BTC/USDT 4-hr chart, as observed on 3rd September.

正如 9 月 3 日观察到的那样，在 BTC/USDT 4 小时图表上，比特币（加密货币：BTC）在过去 7 天内第四次跌破关键支撑位。

The range-bound to bearish price action follows an underwhelming August performance. As per Coinglass data, Bitcoin shed 8.6% over the month, erasing the mild gains from July.

在 8 月份表现平平之后，价格走势出现区间波动至看跌。根据 Coinglass 的数据，比特币本月下跌 8.6%，抹去了 7 月份以来的温和涨幅。

The flagship cryptocurrency extended the decline early Wednesday, the 4th of September, trading as low as $55,673 on Binance amid a contagion from steep losses across U.S. and Asian equity markets.

由于美国和亚洲股市大幅下跌的影响，这一旗舰加密货币在 9 月 4 日周三早些时候延续跌势，币安交易价格低至 55,673 美元。

“Magnificent 7 stocks have now erased $550 BILLION of market cap today. Nvidia, $NVDA, is on track for its largest daily drop since April 2024,” market commentary resources Kobeissi Letter wrote.

“今天，7 只伟大的股票市值已蒸发 5500 亿美元。市场评论资源Kobeissi Letter写道，Nvidia（$NVDA）有望创下2024年4月以来最大单日跌幅。

Meanwhile, the total crypto market dropped below $2 trillion at the height of the slump – for the first time since 4th August.

与此同时，加密货币市场总额在暴跌最严重时跌破 2 万亿美元——这是自 8 月 4 日以来的首次。

The broader market rout has been attributed to comments from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor hinting at more interest rate hikes which rekindled fears regarding the health of the global economy.

更广泛的市场暴跌归因于日本央行行长暗示将进一步加息的言论，这再次引发了人们对全球经济健康状况的担忧。

This week’s crypto and stock market sell-off mirrors the global market crash at the beginning of August due to a similar scare after the BoJ raised the benchmark borrowing cost in late July.

本周的加密货币和股市抛售反映了 8 月初全球市场的崩盘，原因是日本央行在 7 月底提高基准借贷成本后出现了类似的恐慌。

Interestingly, despite the market pullback, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index has moved up to 27 today after being unchanged at 26 points in the first three days of the month.

有趣的是，尽管市场回调，加密货币恐惧与贪婪指数在本月前三天保持 26 点不变后，今天已升至 27 点。

Though September is historically Bitcoin’s worst month, with an average downside of 4.5%, market participants are still betting on a return of upside movement-inspiring volatility.

尽管 9 月份是比特币历史上最糟糕的一个月，平均下跌 4.5%，但市场参与者仍然押注于刺激上行波动的回归。

A fresh wave of US economic data releases this month, starting with the nonfarm payrolls data for August expected on 6th September, could strengthen or undermine the prevailing narrative of a slowing U.S. economy.

本月将发布新一轮美国经济数据，首先是预计将于 9 月 6 日公布的 8 月份非农就业数据，这可能会强化或削弱美国经济放缓的普遍说法。

July’s NFP report in early August revealed a rise in the U.S. unemployment rate from 4.1% to 4.3% exerting downward pressure on global markets.

8月初的7月非农就业报告显示，美国失业率从4.1%上升至4.3%，给全球市场带来下行压力。

Outside the US, the Bank of Japan policy decision is another factor worth closely tracking. The BoJ’s decision to increase interest rate in late July, combined with a poor US jobs report for July, raised concerns about the Fed lagging in its rate-cutting efforts to the detriment of risk assets in early August.

在美国之外，日本央行的政策决定是另一个值得密切关注的因素。日本央行7月底加息的决定，加上美国7月份就业报告不佳，引发了人们对美联储8月初降息行动滞后而损害风险资产的担忧。

Consequently, in his 23rd August speech on the US economic outlook, the Federal Reserve Chair asserted that the time for policy adjustment had come.

因此，美联储主席在8月23日关于美国经济前景的讲话中断言，政策调整的时机已经到来。

Expectations are for a 25-basis point cut at the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on 18th September. An outcome in line with this projection would birth a potentially favorable monetary environment for riskier assets like crypto.

预计 9 月 18 日即将召开的联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 会议将降息 25 个基点。符合这一预测的结果将为加密货币等风险较高的资产创造一个潜在有利的货币环境。

That said, a weak August US jobs report could compel an aggressive 50-basis point cut, which might escalate recession concerns and lead to a correction.

尽管如此，疲软的 8 月份美国就业报告可能会迫使大幅降息 50 个基点，这可能会加剧衰退担忧并导致回调。

On the other hand, a strong report could entirely influence the Fed’s decision on whether or not to start cutting rates. Nevertheless, both outcomes present an avenue for volatility.

另一方面，一份强劲的报告可能会完全影响美联储是否开始降息的决定。然而，这两种结果都带来了波动。