比特币（BTC）价格预测：BTC/USD是否会恢复到8.9万美元以维持看涨的势头？

比特币在周二四处奔波，打出了一个新鲜的四个月低点，但结束了大约5％的比赛，赢得了为期五天的损失。

Crypto traders are used to seeing Bitcoin wildly change direction, but even by the token's standards, Tuesday's price action was noteworthy.

加密交易者习惯于看到比特币发生了大幅改变的方向，但是即使按照令牌的标准，周二的价格行动也值得注意。

Bitcoin price dropped to a four-month low on Tuesday before rebounding to post a 5% gain for the session, snapping a five-day losing streak.

比特币的价格在周二下降到四个月的低点，随后反弹以发布5％的会议，赢得了五天的连胜纪录。

Bitcoin was down 0.3% in the past 24 hours to $79,270.2 by 01:00 ET (05:00 GMT).

在过去的24小时内，比特币下跌了0.3％，至$ 79,270.2，乘01:00 ET（GMT 05:00）。

The world’s biggest cryptocurrency had hit $76,600 earlier in the session, sliding to a four-month low. But it recovered steadily from those levels through the session.

全球最大的加密货币在本次会议早些时候上涨了76,600美元，滑到了四个月的低点。但是它通过会议从这些级别稳步恢复。

Bitcoin recovered above the $83,000 level, which is critical for sustaining bullish momentum. Otherwise, the token risks sliding to $74,000 or $62,400, possibly marking the final leg of the bull cycle.

比特币以高于83,000美元的水平回收，这对于维持看涨的势头至关重要。否则，代币的风险滑到$ 74,000或62,400美元，可能标志着牛周期的最后一圈。

At least that is according to Martin Leinweber, Director of Digital Asset Research & Strategy at MarketVector Indexes and author of "Mastering Crypto Assets."

至少这是根据MarketVector指数数字资产研究与战略总监Martin Leinweber的说法，也是“掌握加密资产”的作者。

"The price has yet to establish a bottom; further decline is plausible through April-May 2025," Leinweber said.

莱因韦伯说：“价格尚未确定底部；直到2025年4月至5月，进一步的下降都是合理的。”

Crypto tokens saw distress as over 95% of the top 100 cryptocurrencies were trading below their 90-day moving average.

加密代币感到困扰，因为前100名加密货币中有95％以下的交易低于其90天的移动平均线。

This was a situation last seen during the Yen carry trade unwinding in August 2024 and June 2023, when Bitcoin was around $30,000 and the market was beginning to rise.

这是在2024年8月和2023年6月日元携带贸易中最后一次出现的情况，当时比特币约为30,000美元，市场开始上涨。

These values typically indicate capitulation ahead of a reversal.

这些值通常表明逆转之前的投降。

Another sea of red as tariffs trump ceasefire hopes

当征收税率的另一片红色海王特朗普停火希望

The story was no different for the S&P 500.

标准普尔500指数没有什么不同。

Q1 weakness was common in election years and risk assets such as the S&P 500, which is down 9% from its peak, were struggling now as Quantitative Tightening (QT) continued to play out.

Q1弱点在选举年很普遍，随着定量收紧（QT）继续发挥作用，诸如S＆P 500的风险资产（例如标准普尔500号）正在挣扎。

Unless the Fed pivots on QT early, which may be spurred by a 20% decline in the S&P to 5100 or 4,900, then expect more volatility until March options expiry, with April bringing some reprieve.

除非美联储早期枢纽，否则QT可能会因标准普尔至5100或4,900的20％下降而刺激，然后期望在3月期权到期之前有更多的波动性，而四月会带来一些缓刑。

A decline in exchange volume and $1 billion in liquidations (mainly longs) indicated a lack of strength.

交换量的下降和10亿美元的清算（主要是渴望）表明缺乏强度。

Uncertainty was heightened by recent news regarding Donald Trump (tariffs, strategic reserve delays) and upcoming economic data like CPI & PPI.

关于唐纳德·特朗普（Tarriffs）（关税，战略储备延迟）以及即将到来的经济数据（如CPI＆PPI），最近的新闻加剧了不确定性。

If past trends were any indication, we should expect a downturn in March and a possible upturn in April.

如果过去的趋势有任何迹象，我们应该期望三月的经济下滑，并可能在四月进行上涨。

A more optimistic setup could occur if Bitcoin manages to stay above the $74,000 level and the S&P 500 rebounds.

如果比特币设法保持高于74,000美元的水平和标准普尔500篮板，可能会发生更乐观的设置。

But for Bitcoin's bullish momentum to be confirmed, the price had to regain the $89,000 mark.

但是要确认比特币的看涨势头，价格必须重新获得89,000美元的成绩。

Similarly, for the S&P 500 to avoid a steeper decline, it needed to close above 5,900.

同样，为了避免急剧下降，标准普尔500指数需要关闭5,900以上。

For now, though, market mood was more glum as the threat of escalating trade wars and recession risks remained in the mix.

但是，目前，由于贸易战和衰退风险的威胁仍然存在，市场情绪更加沮丧。

US President Donald Trump's volatile new tariff threats and reversals pushed stock prices deeper into the red.

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）挥发了新的关税威胁和逆转，将股价更深地推向了红色。

The president's economic broadsides had investors largely dumping shares, and the market hue remained negative as US trading wrapped up on Tuesday.

总统的经济范围内，投资者在很大程度上倾倒了股票，并且随着美国交易在周二结束时，市场色调仍然是负面的。

Wall Street stocks continued their steep slide, adding to the biggest monthly loss as investors grew increasingly concerned about the potential effects of fresh tariff threats on international trade.

华尔街的股票继续陡峭的滑梯，随着投资者越来越关注新的关税威胁对国际贸易的潜在影响，每月最大的损失。

Progress toward a truce between Russia and Ukraine briefly helped stocks, but trading remained choppy amid shifting statements on tariffs.

俄罗斯和乌克兰之间停战的进展短暂地帮助了股票，但由于关税的变化声明，交易仍然有些不稳定。

At one point, the Nasdaq rose more than 1% as investors cheered the announcement.

有一次，随着投资者的欢呼，纳斯达克上涨了1％以上。

But traders saw mostly red on their screens by the time the day ended, with Trump's decision to raise taxes on Canada's steel and aluminum imports to 50% being a key factor.

但是交易者在一天结束时大部分屏幕上的红色大部分是红色的，特朗普决定将加拿大钢铁和铝进口税提高到50％是关键因素。

That was after Trump took to social media to post in all-caps that Canada was planning more tariffs on U.S. steel, to which he responded that he would "terحدثات

那是在特朗普上到社交媒体上发布的全力以赴之后，加拿大正在计划对美国钢铁的征收更多的关税，他回答说他将“