比特币（BTC）价格预测：BTC会触及65000美元还是跌至50000美元？

比特币（BTC）在经历短期波动导致价格下跌至 53,761 美元后，目前余额接近 60,000 美元。

Bitcoin (BTC) price today is $58,541.13 with a 24-hour trading volume of $26,983,493,337. Bitcoin has risen by 1.5% in the past 24 hours. It is currently ranked no.1 with a live market cap of $1.1 trillion.

比特币 (BTC) 今天的价格为 58,541.13 美元，24 小时交易量为 26,983,493,337 美元。比特币在过去24小时内上涨了1.5%。目前它以 1.1 万亿美元的实时市值排名第一。

Top cryptocurrencies like Binance coin (BNB) and XRP saw price increases of 1.3% and 1.1%, respectively, within 24 hours, as per data from MarketCap.

根据 MarketCap 的数据，币安币 (BNB) 和 XRP 等顶级加密货币的价格在 24 小时内分别上涨了 1.3% 和 1.1%。

Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, predicted in a report that BTC could rise to $60,000, although the rally will be short.

10x Research 创始人 Markus Thielen 在一份报告中预测，BTC 可能会升至 60,000 美元，尽管涨势会很短暂。

Thielen’s prediction is based on Bitcoin’s technical analysis, which shows a price range of between $55,000 and $56,000 forming a base. Given the medium-term technical damage, the founder foresees only a short-term tactical bullish countertrend rally. He added that Bitcoin could fall to a lower range at $50,000 after climbing towards $60,000.

Thielen 的预测基于比特币的技术分析，该分析显示价格范围在 55,000 美元至 56,000 美元之间形成了基础。鉴于中期技术损害，创始人预计只会出现短期战术性看涨反趋势反弹。他补充说，比特币在攀升至 60,000 美元后可能会跌至 50,000 美元的较低区间。

Vetle Lunde, a senior analyst at K33 Research, added to the projection, stating that seasonal trends have contributed to BTC’s downward outlook.

K33 Research 的高级分析师 Vetle Lunde 补充了这一预测，称季节性趋势导致了 BTC 的下行前景。

According to Lunde, the third quarter of 2024 has offered the lowest return for the digital asset. Lunde raised other issues including the ongoing distribution of Bitcoin by trustees of the now-defunct Mt.Gox exchange and the large token sell-off by German authorities.

Lunde 表示，2024 年第三季度的数字资产回报率最低。 Lunde 提出了其他问题，包括现已解散的 Mt.Gox 交易所的受托人持续分配比特币，以及德国当局大规模抛售代币。

As mentioned in our previous brief, the German government sold 282.74 BTC to the Bistamp exchange. Before this transaction, the government sold Bitcoin worth $55 million to Coinbase and Kraken exchanges as highlighted in our previous update. Note that these BTC were those seized from illegal activities. A government spokesperson said the government doesn’t hold onto cryptocurrency and sells them for euros upon conclusion of a related case.

正如我们之前的简报中提到的，德国政府向 Bistamp 交易所出售了 282.74 BTC。在此次交易之前，政府向 Coinbase 和 Kraken 交易所出售了价值 5500 万美元的比特币，正如我们之前的更新中强调的那样。请注意，这些比特币是从非法活动中查获的。一位政府发言人表示，政府不会持有加密货币，而是在相关案件结束后将其出售以换取欧元。

As summarized in our earlier story, Mt.Gox transferred 137,890 BTC from its wallet to repay its creditors about $9.4 billion. This movement has increased the amount of BTC in circulation, leading to price declines for the cryptocurrency.

正如我们之前的报道中所总结的，Mt.Gox 从钱包中转移了 137,890 BTC，以偿还债权人约 94 亿美元。这一运动增加了比特币的流通量，导致加密货币的价格下跌。

K33 Research estimated that it will take the market the whole of Summer to absorb 75,000 BTC ($4.3 billion) to 118,000 BTC ($6.8 billion) of sales from Saxony and Mt.Gox customers.

K33 Research 估计，整个夏季市场将吸收 Saxony 和 Mt.Gox 客户的 75,000 BTC（43 亿美元）至 118,000 BTC（68 亿美元）销售额。

“We expect these flows to burden performance in the months to come and the choppy market conditions to last until October,” Lunde noted.

伦德指出：“我们预计这些资金流入将给未来几个月的业绩带来负担，而动荡的市场状况将持续到十月份。”

On the contrary, Skybridge’s Anthony Scaramucci has predicted a $100,000 price target for Bitcoin by the end of 2024. Investors should note that this prediction is not cast in stone as the crypto market is volatile.

相反，Skybridge 的 Anthony Scaramucci 预测，到 2024 年底，比特币的目标价格将达到 10 万美元。投资者应注意，由于加密市场波动较大，这一预测并非一成不变。