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比特币(BTC)价格预测:比特币在2025年将在哪里?

2025/05/01 21:27

世界上最大的加密货币比特币(BTC)以强大的动力和投资者的关注增加了2025年5月。在一年开始的动荡之后

比特币(BTC)价格预测:比特币在2025年将在哪里?

Bitcoin (BTC) enters May 2025 in a bright light, having rebounded sharply from a spring drawdown and now drawing heightened attention from investors. After a volatile start to the year, Bitcoin is trading at around $95,000—not far from its all-time high of around $109,000, which was set in January.

比特币(BTC)于2025年5月以明亮的灯光进入,从春季缩减中急剧反弹,现在引起了投资者的更加关注。经过一年的动荡,比特币的交易价格约为95,000美元,远离其历史上的高点约109,000美元,这是一月份设定的。

Following a period of heightened volatility in the first quarter of 2025, the world’s leading cryptocurrency is showing signs of stabilization, setting the stage for what could be an interesting second half of the year.

在2025年第一季度的波动率提高之后,世界领先的加密货币表现出稳定的迹象,为可能是有趣的下半年奠定了基础。

As we reach the midpoint of 2025, let's take a look at the latest Bitcoin price predictions from Wall Street institutions, crypto industry figures, and analysts. We'll also examine the current market sentiment, the impact of newly launched Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, and the key factors that could drive prices higher or lower. The goal is a clear, objective outlook on Bitcoin’s trajectory in 2025, with insights grounded in data and expert analysis.

当我们到达2025年中点时,让我们看一下华尔街机构,加密行业人物和分析师的最新比特币价格预测。我们还将研究当前的市场情绪,新推出的比特币交易所交易资金的影响以及可能推动价格更高或更低价格的关键因素。该目标是2025年对比特币轨迹的清晰,客观的前景,其见解基于数据和专家分析。

Bitcoin’s Price in May 2025

比特币的价格在2025年5月

Bitcoin’s price in early May reflects a remarkable recovery and growth trend. The cryptocurrency started the year strong, quickly recovering from the December 2024 crypto crash that saw Bitcoin drop below $40,000.

比特币在早期的价格反映了出色的恢复和增长趋势。加密货币开始了一年,从2024年12月的加密货币撞车事故中迅速恢复,该崩溃使比特币下降到40,000美元以下。

At the beginning of the year, Bitcoin was trading at around $74,000. However, the cryptocurrency saw a “slump” in Q1 2025 after hitting a high of $109,000 in January. Afterward, profit-taking and macroeconomic jitters triggered a pullback that saw Bitcoin drop to its lowest price of the year on April 8, at around $74,000.

在年初,比特币的交易约为74,000美元。但是,加密货币在一月份达到109,000美元的高价后,在2025年第1季度的“低迷”。之后,获利和宏观经济的烦恼引发了回调,使比特币下降到4月8日的年度最低价格,约为74,000美元。

This drop marked a nearly 30% drawdown from the peak, but the decline proved short-lived. Within a few weeks, Bitcoin surged by 24% from that low, climbing back to the mid-$90,000 level.

这次下降标志着峰值近30%,但事实证明下降是短暂的。在几周之内,比特币从那低点飙升至24%,攀升至90,000美元的中高水平。

As of the first week of May, BTC is now at around $95K, up roughly 15% from a month ago and well above key support levels established during the spring correction. This rebound has put Bitcoin firmly back in bull-market territory.

截至5月的第一周,BTC现在的价格约为95,000美元,比一个月前高约15%,远高于春季校正期间确定的关键支持水平。这种反弹使比特币牢固地重新回到了公牛市场领土。

Year-to-date, BTC is significantly higher, a testament to the post-halving cycle momentum and renewed institutional interest. Market observers note that Bitcoin has “shaken off” recent bearish signals and is showing resilience even in the face of mixed economic data.

BTC年初至今,BTC明显更高,这证明了后期周期的势头并更新了机构利益。市场观察家指出,比特币“震撼”了最近的看跌信号,即使面对混合经济数据,比特币也表现出弹性。

The $95,000 level has emerged as a crucial overhead resistance, with buyers and sellers battling for control around this zone. A decisive break above this resistance could pave the way for a continuation of the bull market, potentially setting the stage for a move toward the $100,000 psychological barrier.

$ 95,000的水平已成为至关重要的高架阻力,买方和卖家正在为该区域争夺控制。超越这种抵抗力的决定性突破可能为牛市的延续铺平道路,有可能为迈向100,000美元的心理障碍的舞台奠定基础。

How High Can Bitcoin Go In May 2025? Seasonality

比特币在2025年5月能有多高?季节性

From a seasonality perspective, May might not be Bitcoin’s strongest month historically, but it still delivers, on average, positive returns.

从季节性的角度来看,可能不是比特币历史上最强大的一个月,但平均而言,它仍然可以带来积极的回报。

Looking at the performance of the oldest cryptocurrency from 2013 to 2024, the average return for May was 7.4%, while the median return was just under 1%. Last year, May was especially favorable for Bitcoin, with the cryptocurrency climbing 11%. However, in the previous three years—from 2021 to 2023—a downward trend dominated this period.

从2013年到2024年的最古老的加密货币的表现,5月的平均收益率为7.4%,中位收益率不到1%。去年,五月对比特币特别有利,加密货币攀升11%。但是,在过去的三年中(从2021年到2023年),这一时期占据了下降的趋势。

Of course, seasonality data should be treated more like an interesting tidbit than a reliable indicator of future results. We need to remember that, in markets, even the most robust statistics based on historical data never guarantee future performance.

当然,季节性数据应更像是有趣的花絮,而不是将来结果的可靠指标。我们需要记住,在市场中,即使是基于历史数据的最强大的统计数据,也无法保证未来的绩效。

Zooming out to the entire second quarter, Bitcoin’s average growth during this part of the year typically reaches 60%, with a median of 12%.

缩小到整个第二季度,比特币在今年的这一部分的平均增长通常达到60%,中位数为12%。

“There is no crystal ball in crypto but if we look at data in the options market it seems fair to me we have price upside to come and some short liquidations in the coming month,” said Paul Howard, Senior Director at Wincent. “I would like to christen the phrase, buy in May and go away. However I anticipate the biggest growth this month will be in the new TVL within the stablecoin segment. This could have net upside for DeFi in the coming months relative to Bitcoin alone.”

Wincent高级总监Paul Howard说:“加密货币中没有水晶球,但是如果我们在期权市场中查看数据,对我来说似乎很公平,我们将有价格上涨,并且在下个月中有一些短暂的清算。” “我想为这句话举行准备,在五月购买并消失。但是,我预计本月的增长最大的增长将在Stablecoin细分市场内的新TVL中。这可能在接下来的几个月中相对于比特币而言,Defi的上涨空间。”

Bitcoin Technical Analysis: May 2025 Outlook

比特币技术分析:2025年5月Outlook

Based on my technical analysis of the Bitcoin to USD chart, the cryptocurrency is entering a new month of narrow consolidation below the resistance level that was set by March highs around $95,000. Most importantly, the bounce from April lows at the psychological support of $74,000 has ensured a return to the consolidation zone that has been forming since mid-November—between the support zone of

根据我对比特币到美元图表的技术分析,加密货币正在进入一个狭窄的狭窄月份以下的新月,低于3月高点约95,000美元的阻力水平。最重要的是,四月低点的弹跳在74,000美元的心理支持下确保了自11月中旬以来一直形成的合并区域(之间)

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