关键指标显示比特币（BTC）价格尚未见顶

比特币价格最近升至 7.7 万美元的历史新高，引发了人们对其牛市是否已达到顶峰的猜测。

Bitcoin’s recent surge to an all-time high of $77K has sparked discussions about whether the bull run is nearing its peak.

比特币最近飙升至 7.7 万美元的历史新高，引发了有关牛市是否已接近顶峰的讨论。

On August 29, blockchain analytics platform Lookonchain highlighted five key indicators suggesting that BTC still has room to grow.

8 月 29 日，区块链分析平台 Lookonchain 强调了五个关键指标，表明 BTC 仍有增长空间。

Today, these indicators remain crucial in assessing Bitcoin’s current and potential trajectory.

如今，这些指标对于评估比特币当前和潜在的轨迹仍然至关重要。

One of the key tools used by Lookonchain is the Bitcoin Rainbow2023 Chart, which indicates that Bitcoin is still undervalued.

Lookonchain 使用的关键工具之一是比特币 Rainbow2023 图表，该图表表明比特币仍然被低估。

This chart uses a logarithmic growth curve to evaluate long-term price potential, showing Bitcoin as still relatively cheap compared to its historical highs. Analysts interpret this signal as a potential for further price appreciation.

该图表使用对数增长曲线来评估长期价格潜力，显示比特币与其历史高点相比仍然相对便宜。分析师将此信号解读为价格进一步升值的潜力。

BTC’s RSI and The 200-Week Moving Average

BTC 的 RSI 和 200 周移动平均线

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 70.38, which, though high, does not yet confirm a peak in Bitcoin’s price.

相对强弱指数（RSI）目前为 70.38，虽然很高，但尚未确认比特币价格达到峰值。

An RSI above 70 often suggests an overbought status, potentially signaling a price correction.

RSI 高于 70 通常表明处于超买状态，可能预示着价格调整。

However, Bitcoin’s historical performance suggests that it could climb further despite this level, which Lookonchain believes may still reflect upward potential.

然而，比特币的历史表现表明，尽管处于这一水平，它仍可能进一步攀升，Lookonchain 认为这可能仍反映出上涨潜力。

The 200-Week Moving Average (200W MA) Heatmap provides another bullish signal, showing Bitcoin’s current price point in blue, an indication that the asset is still not overvalued.

200 周移动平均线（200W MA）热图提供了另一个看涨信号，以蓝色显示比特币当前的价格点，表明该资产仍未被高估。

Traditionally, blue represents buying zones, where holding Bitcoin is often encouraged among investors who seek long-term gains, further suggesting that Bitcoin has not yet reached a market top.

传统上，蓝色代表购买区域，寻求长期收益的投资者经常鼓励持有比特币，这进一步表明比特币尚未达到市场顶部。

CVDD and 2-Year MA Multiplier: No Clear Peak

CVDD 和 2 年 MA 乘数：无明显峰值

The Cumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) and 2-Year Moving Average (MA) Multiplier indicators also reinforce the analysis.

累积价值销毁天数 (CVDD) 和 2 年移动平均线 (MA) 乘数指标也强化了分析。

The CVDD currently positions Bitcoin’s price below the peak threshold, suggesting there’s still potential for growth.

CVDD 目前将比特币的价格定位在峰值以下，表明仍有增长潜力。

Similarly, the 2-Year MA Multiplier shows Bitcoin trading between the green and red bands, a mid-point zone that further suggests a non-peak phase in Bitcoin’s market cycle.

同样，2 年均线乘数显示比特币在绿色和红色带之间交易，这是一个中点区域，进一步表明比特币市场周期处于非峰值阶段。

Profitability Index Remains Below Previous Peaks

盈利指数仍低于之前的峰值

Onchain analyst, Axel Adler Jr. reported that the Bitcoin Profitability Index currently shows a 221% profit margin, lower than previous cycle highs of 460% and 395%.

Onchain 分析师 Axel Adler Jr. 报告称，比特币盈利指数目前显示利润率为 221%，低于之前周期高点 460% 和 395%。

With current users seeing returns 121% above initial investments, BTC’s profitability levels suggest there’s potential for higher returns, considering previous peaks were significantly higher.

当前用户的回报率比初始投资高出 121%，考虑到之前的峰值要高得多，BTC 的盈利水平表明有可能获得更高的回报。

According to CoinGecko, Bitcoin’s price is currently $76,442.83, reflecting a 0.62% increase over the last 24 hours and a 10.10% rise over the past week.

根据 CoinGecko 的数据，比特币价格目前为 76,442.83 美元，过去 24 小时上涨 0.62%，过去一周上涨 10.10%。

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