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加密货币新闻
Bitcoin (BTC) price hovers at $97,000, inches away from its historic $100k milestone ahead of today's Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP).
2025/05/02 13:34
Nonfarm payrolls (NFP) figures are due today at 12:30 GMT, with economists forecasting the addition of 130k new jobs in April, a sharp decrease from the previous month's 228k. The US jobs report threatens to expose deepening cracks in the labor market due to Trump's tariff war.
Key Market Movers to Watch Ahead of US Jobs DataNonfarm payrolls in the US are expected to come in at 130k in April, down sharply from 228k in March, according to the latest market consensus. Economists at YU Technologies anticipate a smaller addition of 100k to the payrolls, while the official estimate from Trading Economics is 137k.
The unemployment rate is seen remaining unchanged at 3.8%, while average hourly earnings are expected to rise 0.3% and 4.0% year-over-year.
What to Expect From the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) Today?The Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report is a monthly snapshot of labor market conditions in the United States, focusing on the net change in employment, defined as the total number of employees, in the private sector.
The NFP is a crucial indicator for assessing the health of the US economy. A strong NFP report can boost the US dollar and equity markets, while a weak report can have the opposite effect. The report is also closely watched by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which uses it to guide monetary policy decisions.
The NFP report is highly anticipated by investors and economists alike. Any surprises in the report can lead to significant market reactions. For example, if the NFP report is weaker than expected, it could increase pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates, which in turn can support Bitcoin and other risky assets.
How Will Bitcoin, US Dollar and the Fed React to the Highly Anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls Today?Bitcoin price hovers around $97k with a large negative funding rate, hinting that investors are preparing for a correction ahead of the Nonfarm Payroll report today.
The current consensus is the addition of 130k new jobs in April, which is far lower than March’s 228k. A weak jobs report would confirm that Trump’s tariff war and global economic tensions are now strangling Main Street.
Apart from the usual volatility, investors can expect a short-term correction in Bitcoin but a sustained rally in the long run, while the US dollar could undergo a steep correction.
Bitcoin Price at $97k: Negative Funding Rates Signal Short Squeeze RiskDespite BTC's 30% surge in 14 days from $74k to $97k, signals a large negative funding rate for BTC perpetual futures. This indicates that investors are preparing for a potential correction as Bitcoin price approaches the $100k psychological level.
A weak NFP report, ideally lower than the 130k expectation, could further fuel this Bitcoin rally after a minor correction. This correction could be a perfect opportunity for short-sellers to open new positions. However, with BTC price attempting to retest the $100k mark, it could lead to a squeeze on these shorts.
Here's how Bitcoin price could react to NFP.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: $100k or $92k? NFP Will DecideBitcoin price prediction remains skewed in favor of bulls. Here are some key levels to watch.
According to the technical analysis, if BTC price breaks through the $99k resistance, it could continue towards the $105k-$110k range. However, if support at $92k is breached, it might open doors for a deeper decline to $88k.
Furthermore, if the price stays above the 50-SMA on the 4-hour chart, it could promote another leg of the uptrend towards the $100k psychological level.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)1. What is the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, and why is it important?The Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report is a monthly snapshot of labor market conditions in the United States, focusing on the net change in employment, defined as the total number of employees, in the private sector.
The NFP is a crucial indicator for assessing the health of the US economy. A strong NFP report can boost the US dollar and equity markets, while a weak report can have the opposite effect. The report is also closely watched by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which uses it to guide monetary policy decisions.
2. How might the NFP report affect Bitcoin's price?The NFP report can influence Bitcoin's price in several ways. For example, if the report is weaker than expected, it could increase pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates, which in turn can support Bitcoin and other
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