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著名加密货币分析师 Willy Woo 解释说,最近的比特币价格调整有助于清除市场中的过度杠杆

Bitcoin (BTC) price, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, tumbled below the key $60,000 support level at $59,000 earlier today, later bouncing back above the level. Well-known cryptocurrency analyst Willy Woo said that the recent Bitcoin price correction has helped clear excess leverage in the market, but the flushing out process is not yet complete. Here are the details…
全球最大的加密货币比特币 (BTC) 价格今天早些时候跌破 60,000 美元的关键支撑位 59,000 美元,随后反弹至该水平上方。知名加密货币分析师Willy Woo表示,近期比特币价格调整有助于清除市场中的过剩杠杆,但冲出过程尚未完成。详细信息如下……
Bitcoin price benefited long positions
比特币价格有利于多头头寸
Bitcoin price dropped further on Monday, June 24, following the announcement of the Mt. Gox Bitcoin refund. Woo observed that the market began clearing out excess leverage, moving past the initial target of $62,500. Despite this, speculators continued adding new long positions, causing further liquidations in a slow motion long squeeze, bringing BTC to lows of $58,000 earlier today.
在 Mt. Gox 宣布退款后,比特币价格在 6 月 24 日星期一进一步下跌。 Woo 观察到,市场开始清理多余的杠杆,超过了 62,500 美元的初始目标。尽管如此,投机者继续增加新的多头头寸,导致缓慢的多头挤压进一步清算,使 BTC 今天早些时候跌至 58,000 美元的低点。
After that, BTC is not out of the woods, we just need to see how much speculation got cleared out of the system. Without purging futures open interest the system is not ready to move up.I do think there's a good chance we have price lows. https://t.co/CAGX7ir81c
此后,BTC并没有走出困境,我们只需要看看有多少投机行为被系统清除了。如果不清除期货未平仓合约,系统还没有准备好上涨。我确实认为价格很有可能处于低点。 https://t.co/CAGX7ir81c
Woo also noted that in addition to the liquidation squeeze, the post-halving Bitcoin miner capitulation is still in effect. As reported by us at Kriptokoin.com, Bitcoin miners were selling heavily to fund hardware upgrades as mining difficulty increased significantly, forcing the weakest miners to shut down their operations, leading to the liquidation.
Woo还指出,除了清算挤压之外,比特币减半后矿工的投降仍然有效。据 Kriptokoin.com 报道,随着挖矿难度大幅增加,比特币矿商大量抛售比特币,为硬件升级提供资金,迫使实力最弱的矿商关闭运营,导致清算。
BTC is expected to drop to 54,000 in the short term
BTC短期预计将跌至54000
Woo stated that technical indicators are now calling for a reversal in the Bitcoin price movement. Bitcoin moved down from the lows below $59,000, following Woo’s predictions and currently trading at $61,500. However, the analyst warned that Bitcoin is not completely in the clear just yet. The market has yet to realize how much speculative excess has been flushed out of the system so far. Without a substantial reduction in BTC futures open interest, the Bitcoin price will fail to rally sustainably.
Woo 表示,技术指标现在表明比特币价格走势将出现逆转。按照 Woo 的预测,比特币从 59,000 美元以下的低点回落,目前交易价格为 61,500 美元。然而,分析师警告称,比特币目前尚未完全明朗。市场尚未意识到迄今为止有多少投机过剩已被清除出系统。如果比特币期货未平仓合约大幅减少,比特币价格将无法持续上涨。
Woo anticipates that Bitcoin could hit fresh lows and the next critical level will be at $54,000, where another round of liquidations will occur. A drop to this level will put BTC trading below the entry price point of short-term investors, usually putting it in a bear market. Woo also highlighted that this level acts as a key boundary between bullish and bearish market regimes and considering the current macro setup, a break below will be crucial.
Woo 预计比特币可能会触及新低,下一个关键水平将是 54,000 美元,届时将发生另一轮清算。跌至这一水平将使比特币交易低于短期投资者的入场价,通常会进入熊市。 Woo还强调,这一水平是看涨和看跌市场格局之间的关键界限,考虑到当前的宏观环境,跌破该水平将至关重要。
The factors that will shape the future of Bitcoin
塑造比特币未来的因素
According to Ki Young Ju, Founder and CEO of CryptoQuant, three main buying liquidity channels are currently impacting Bitcoin’s price movements: fiat, stablecoins, and exchange-based ETFs. These factors are influencing the market trend and will continue to influence the cryptocurrency price movements throughout June. Recent statistics show that the stablecoin market cap is rising but is still relatively close to previous ATHs compared to the BTC market cap. Stablecoin exchange reserve ratio is also showing levels very similar to these ATHs, according to market analyst Ki Young Ju.
CryptoQuant 创始人兼首席执行官 Ki Young Ju 表示,目前三种主要的购买流动性渠道正在影响比特币的价格走势:法定货币、稳定币和基于交易所的 ETF。这些因素正在影响市场趋势,并将继续影响整个六月的加密货币价格走势。最近的统计数据显示,稳定币市值正在上升,但与 BTC 市值相比,仍相对接近之前的 ATH。市场分析师 Ki Young Ju 表示,稳定币外汇准备金率也显示出与这些 ATH 非常相似的水平。
This suggests that stablecoins are already being utilized in buying liquidity and further large price movements might require larger inflows of stablecoins to spark another الكبير rally. At the same time, the Coinbase premium has been negative over the past week, which could be attributed to the overall market sentiment and a lack of strong fiat inflows to push the Bitcoin price higher.
这表明稳定币已经被用来购买流动性,进一步的大幅价格波动可能需要更多的稳定币流入才能引发另一次价格上涨。与此同时,Coinbase 溢价在过去一周一直为负,这可能是由于整体市场情绪以及缺乏强劲的法定资金流入来推高比特币价格的原因。
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