比特币 (BTC) 价格可能很快就会攀升至 70,000 美元，原因如下

比特币（BTC）是全球最大的加密货币，目前正处于看涨势头，因为它突破了 61,000 美元以上的重要心理关口。

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing bullish momentum by breaking above the psychologically important level of $61,000. As global macroeconomic trends shift, here are three reasons why BTC prices may climb toward $70,000 soon.

比特币 (BTC) 突破 61,000 美元的重要心理关口，显示出看涨势头。随着全球宏观经济趋势的转变，以下是 BTC 价格可能很快攀升至 70,000 美元的三个原因。

The Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates remains a major factor that could push Bitcoin toward $70,000. In recent years, the US and global financial ecosystem has grappled with the uncertainty of inflation. The uncertainties were also fueled by the responses of central banks, such as the Federal Reserve rate hikes.

美联储降息的决定仍然是可能推动比特币升至 7 万美元的主要因素。近年来，美国和全球金融生态系统一直在应对通胀的不确定性。美联储加息等央行的反应也加剧了不确定性。

To combat the inflation associated with the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak, the Federal Reserve was prompted to implement rate hikes. The Fed’s priority was to maintain inflation at a level close to 2%, which they believe will benefit the masses.

为了应对与 COVID-19 大流行爆发相关的通货膨胀，美联储被迫加息。美联储的首要任务是将通胀维持在接近2%的水平，他们认为这将使大众受益。

Now, following a series of interest rate increases over the past few years to combat inflation, there are signs of improvement in the economy. This milder inflation is evident in the recently released US economic data, which indicates a readiness for interest rate cuts.

现在，随着过去几年一系列加息以对抗通货膨胀，经济出现了改善的迹象。最近公布的美国经济数据显示通胀温和，表明降息准备就绪。

Market experts had projected a possible rate cut by September. Notably, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Summit on August 23 confirmed the speculations. “We do not seek or welcome further cooling in labor market conditions. The time has come for policy to adjust. The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks,” Powell stated.

市场专家预计九月份可能降息。值得注意的是，美联储主席鲍威尔8月23日在杰克逊霍尔峰会上的讲话证实了这一猜测。 “我们不寻求也不欢迎劳动力市场状况进一步降温。政策调整的时候到了。前进的方向是明确的，降息的时机和步伐将取决于传入的数据、不断变化的前景以及风险的平衡，”鲍威尔表示。

An eventual rate cut will inject massive cash into circulation, which will devalue the dollar in the short term. This is a positive twist that could benefit Bitcoin. If this scenario unfolds, BTC’s status as a hedge and store of value may attract more people to adopt it.

最终降息将向流通注入大量现金，这将导致美元在短期内贬值。这是一个可能有利于比特币的积极转变。如果这种情况发生，比特币作为对冲和价值储存的地位可能会吸引更多人采用它。

When interest rates rise, companies typically find it more expensive to raise capital. For example, they will have to pay higher interest rates on the bonds they issue. As a result of rising interest rates, expectations for future profits may be revised downward.

当利率上升时，公司通常会发现筹集资金的成本更高。例如，他们将不得不为其发行的债券支付更高的利率。由于利率上升，未来利润预期可能会下调。

On the other hand, a possible US Fed rate cut might provide a lasting boost to tech stocks. Top AI companies like NVIDIA may lock in their remarkable valuations as a key confluence between the stock market and the crypto industry.

另一方面，美联储可能降息可能会给科技股带来持久提振。像英伟达这样的顶级人工智能公司可能会锁定其非凡的估值，作为股票市场和加密货币行业之间的关键汇合点。

Cryptocurrencies are generally highly correlated to stocks, bonds, and commodities. As a result, their prices or valuations tend to follow the same trajectory. If the stock market rallies on an expected rate hike, Bitcoin’s price might rise to $70,000.

加密货币通常与股票、债券和大宗商品高度相关。因此，它们的价格或估值往往遵循相同的轨迹。如果股市因预期加息而上涨，比特币的价格可能会上涨至 70,000 美元。

As interest rates fall, legacy financial products usually lose their appeal. This paves the way for the Bitcoin spot ETFs to take center stage. This investment vehicle tracks Bitcoin’s price, allowing investors to gain exposure in a regulated manner.

随着利率下降，传统金融产品通常会失去吸引力。这为比特币现货 ETF 占据中心舞台铺平了道路。这种投资工具跟踪比特币的价格，使投资者能够以受监管的方式获得投资。

Over time, Bitcoin has outperformed the S&P 500 and other Treasury Bills. As a result, spending will increase significantly if the Fed rate cut materializes. Consequently, inflation will accelerate, making Bitcoin a more attractive hedge.

随着时间的推移，比特币的表现优于标准普尔 500 指数和其他国库券。因此，如果美联储降息成为现实，支出将大幅增加。因此，通货膨胀将会加速，使比特币成为更具吸引力的对冲工具。

Earlier, it was reported that mainstream entities like the State of Wisconsin Investment Board (SWIB) and Morgan Stanley are already hedging their bets with BTC. Over time, the number will rise

此前有报道称，威斯康星州投资委员会（SWIB）和摩根士丹利等主流实体已经在用 BTC 进行对冲。随着时间的推移，这个数字将会上升

According to the latest market data, the BTC price was $61,617, up 1.7% in 24 hours and 5.8% in the last seven days. However, trading volume decreased by 31.9% to $24 billion, while the market capitalization stands at $1.2 trillion.

最新市场数据显示，BTC价格为61,617美元，24小时上涨1.7%，近7天上涨5.8%。然而，交易量下降 31.9% 至 240 亿美元，而市值为 1.2 万亿美元。