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加密货币新闻

比特币(BTC)价格分析:上升楔形突破暗示进一步修正

2024/07/26 17:00

比特币在最近的反弹后进入了相对较高的流动性区域,这帮助比特币重新回到了 200 日均线之上。

比特币(BTC)价格分析:上升楔形突破暗示进一步修正

Bitcoin entered a zone of relatively high liquidity following its recent rally, which helped the coin reclaim a spot above the 200-day EMA.

比特币在最近的反弹后进入了流动性相对较高的区域,这帮助比特币重新回到了 200 日均线上方。

While the bulls had an edge at its press time price point, any decline below the 20 and 50-day EMAs could delay immediate recovery prospects in the short term.

虽然多头在发稿时的价格点上具有优势,但任何低于 20 日和 50 日均线的跌破都可能会延迟短期内的立即复苏前景。

The king coin recently broke down from a bullish chart pattern after reaching the ‘Point of Control (POC)’ – A level that’s typically characterized by the highest trading levels at specific price points. At press time, the crypto was trading at $64,304, down by nearly 3% in the last 24 hours.

最近,金币在达到“控制点(POC)”后从看涨图表模式中突破——该水平通常以特定价格点的最高交易水平为特征。截至发稿时,该加密货币交易价格为 64,304 美元,在过去 24 小时内下跌了近 3%。

A rising wedge breakdown

上升楔形击穿

Source: TradingView, BTC/USDT

资料来源:TradingView、BTC/USDT

BTC has found an oscillating range between $55.8K and $71.6K for over four months now. The coin’s last rebound from the upper boundary of this range propelled a nearly 21% monthly downturn until 6 July.

四个多月以来,BTC 一直在 5.58 万美元到 7.16 万美元之间波动。直到 7 月 6 日,该代币最后一次从该区间上限反弹导致每月下跌近 21%。

In the meantime, BTC closed below its 200-day EMA after over nine months, indicating a strong bearish edge. However, the bulls re-entered the market and provoked an upturn from the $55.8K support level.

与此同时,BTC 在九个多月后收于 200 日均线下方,表明看跌势头强劲。然而,多头重新进入市场,并引发了 55.8 万美元支撑位的上涨。

Consequently, Bitcoin chalked out a classic rising wedge on its daily chart. Such a pattern often provokes a trend reversal in the short term. Thus, BTC saw an expected breakdown after the pattern approached the POC (red horizontal line) level.

因此,比特币在日线图上描绘出了一个经典的上升楔形。这种模式常常会在短期内引发趋势逆转。因此,在该模式接近 POC(红色水平线)水平后,BTC 出现了预期的崩溃。

The coin would likely see less volatility in the short term since it’s currently trading in a relatively high liquidity zone.

由于该代币目前处于相对较高的流动性区域,因此短期内波动性可能会较小。

Here, it’s worth noting that the price action managed to stay above the 20, 50, and 200-day EMAs at press time. Although this pointed to a slight bullish edge, any decline below the 20 and 50-day EMAs can provoke a downtrend towards the $60.3K support level.

值得注意的是,截至发稿时,价格走势成功保持在 20、50 和 200 日均线上方。尽管这表明有轻微的看涨趋势,但任何跌破 20 日和 50 日均线的下跌都可能引发跌向 60.3 万美元支撑位的下跌趋势。

BTC would likely rebound from this support level, especially given the confluence of the support levels.

比特币可能会从该支撑位反弹,特别是考虑到支撑位的汇合。

The RSI also saw a steep downtrend, but was yet to close below the 50-mark. Any close below this level will confirm an ease in buying pressure. Similarly, buyers should look for a potential bearish cross on the MACD lines to gauge the near-term sentiment.

RSI 也呈现急剧下降趋势,但尚未收于 50 关口下方。任何低于该水平的收盘价都将证实购买压力的缓解。同样,买家应该寻找 MACD 线上潜在的看跌交叉来衡量近期情绪。

Derivatives snapshot

衍生品快照

The increase in options open interest, despite a drop in volume, pointed to new positions being opened for longer-term expectations of volatility.

尽管交易量有所下降,但期权未平仓合约的增加表明,新的头寸是为了长期波动预期而开设的。

The dominance of long positions in the face of recent price drops could indicate that the market sentiment, at least among smaller traders, remains somewhat bullish or hopeful for a recovery.

面对近期价格下跌,多头头寸占据主导地位,这可能表明市场情绪(至少在规模较小的交易商中)仍然对复苏抱有一定的看涨或希望。

原文来源:ambcrypto

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