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加密货币新闻

比特币 (BTC) 价格分析:是否会跌至 87,000 美元?

2025/01/14 13:00

比特币(BTC)本周开始出现亏损,跌至一个多月以来的最低水平。在这种表现下,一些分析师认为 BTC 的价格可能会上涨

比特币 (BTC) 价格分析:是否会跌至 87,000 美元?

Bitcoin (BTC) price fell to its lowest level in over a month on Monday, as the world’s largest cryptocurrency dropped below $91,000 amid a broader sell-off in the crypto market.

周一,比特币 (BTC) 价格跌至一个多月以来的最低水平,在加密市场广泛抛售的背景下,全球最大的加密货币跌破 91,000 美元。

BTC price dropped 5.8% to $90,300, its lowest since November 18, in the past 24 hours. The token ended last week with an overall positive performance, coming close to $96,000 and closing Friday above $94,000.

过去 24 小时内,BTC 价格下跌 5.8%,至 90,300 美元,为 11 月 18 日以来的最低点。该代币上周整体表现积极,接近 96,000 美元,周五收于 94,000 美元以上。

This performance was sustained throughout the weekend, with Bitcoin moving between the $93,700 and $95,900 price range over the past two days. The week began with seven consecutive red 1-hour candles, dropping below $91,000 for the first time since the December 19 correction and dipping lower than the December 5 pullback.

这种表现持续了整个周末,过去两天比特币的价格区间在 93,700 美元到 95,900 美元之间波动。本周以连续七根红色 1 小时蜡烛开始,自 12 月 19 日调整以来首次跌破 91,000 美元,并低于 12 月 5 日回调。

However, Bitcoin recovered after dropping below this key level, quickly bouncing back to reclaim the recently lost mark. According to crypto analyst Rekt Capital, BTC’s daily close will determine its next move, suggesting it needs a close above $91,000 to confirm the reclaim.

然而,比特币在跌破这一关键水平后迅速反弹,收复了最近失去的关口。加密货币分析师 Rekt Capital 表示,BTC 的每日收盘价将决定其下一步走势,这表明 BTC 需要收盘价高于 91,000 美元才能确认回升。

“Last week, BTC was deviating above the Range High resistance of $101,000. This week, BTC is potentially deviating below the Range Low support of $91,000,” the analyst explained.

“上周,BTC 偏离了 101,000 美元的区间高点阻力位。本周,BTC 可能会偏离 91,000 美元的区间低点支撑位,”该分析师解释道。

He noted that BTC closed above the $101,000 range high last Monday but failed to retest it into new support after the breakout, reverting to the $91,000-$101,000 range.

他指出,BTC 上周一收于 101,000 美元区间高点之上,但未能在突破后重新测试新的支撑位,回到 91,000 美元至 101,000 美元区间。

For this week, Rekt Capital added that even if Bitcoin closes the day below the $91,000 range low, it will likely need to turn that level into resistance for its price to drop into the $87,000-$91,000 range.

Rekt Capital 补充道,本周,即使比特币收盘价低于 91,000 美元区间低点,它也可能需要将该水平转变为阻力位,使其价格跌至 87,000 美元至 91,000 美元区间。

“Generally speaking though, BTC needs to be closing above this level to continue staying within the current range. Having said that, a lot can change through the day,” the analyst stated.

“但一般来说,比特币需要收于该水平之上才能继续保持在当前区间内。话虽如此,一天中可能会发生很多事情,”分析师表示。

Is a dip to $87,000 coming?

是否会跌至 87,000 美元?

Rekt Capital highlighted that BTC’s monthly returns tend to be “patchy and predominately bearish” in January. As CoinGlass data shows, Bitcoin’s performance has been mostly bearish in January.

Rekt Capital 强调,1 月份 BTC 的月度回报往往“参差不齐,且主要看跌”。正如 CoinGlass 数据显示,一月份比特币的表现大多看跌。

Since 2013, BTC has started the year in red seven times, including 2025’s current performance. According to the post, the market usually “picks up” in February.

自 2013 年以来,BTC 已经七次出现年初亏损,其中包括 2025 年目前的表现。该帖子称,市场通常在二月份“回暖”。

“The higher timeframe levels that are teasing to be lost as support are likely to be turned into resistance in the future,” the analyst added.

这位分析师补充道:“作为支撑,即将失去的较高时间框架水平可能会在未来转变为阻力。”

Meanwhile, Altcoin Sherpa believes “1 last liquidation wick” is due before “we reverse for BTC.” The analyst also suggested that Altcoins are likely to drop another 30%-50% before the Altseason.

与此同时,山寨币夏尔巴认为,在“我们逆转比特币”之前,“最后一个清算灯芯”将会到来。该分析师还表示,山寨币在山寨季到来之前可能会再下跌 30%-50%。

Similarly, Daan Crypto Trades pointed out that a “bunch of shorts have entered the market in the past few hours.” The trader noted that “price just keeps slowly dribbling back down” as these positions are usually “punished” when bulls are in control.

同样,Daan Crypto Trades 指出,“过去几个小时内,大量空头进入了市场”。该交易员指出,“价格一直在缓慢回落”,因为当多头掌控局面时,这些头寸通常会受到“惩罚”。

“At some point, the shorts will have to close out, but they probably won’t do so before pushing the market down further, combined with the spot selling from Coinbase,” Daan explained, adding that “the slow grinds down end in a violent wick, after which shorts take profit, and we see a (local) bottom.”

Daan 解释道:“在某个时候,空头将不得不平仓,但在加上 Coinbase 的现货抛售,他们可能不会这样做,否则就会进一步推低市场。”他补充道,“缓慢的下跌最终会导致市场进一步下跌。猛烈的灯芯,之后空头获利了结,我们看到了(局部)底部。”

Additionally, the trader highlighted the similarities between BTC’s performance between December 2023 and January 2024 and December 2024 and January 2025.

此外,该交易员还强调了 2023 年 12 月至 2024 年 1 月以及 2024 年 12 月至 2025 年 1 月 BTC 表现的相似之处。

If history were to repeat, Bitcoin’s next move could be a correction to the $87,000 support, followed by a consolidation period in the new range.

如果历史重演,比特币的下一步走势可能是回调至 87,000 美元的支撑位,然后在新的区间内进行盘整。

At the time of writing, BTC price is trading at $91,700, down 2.9% on the daily timeframe.

截至撰写本文时,BTC 价格交易价格为 91,700 美元,较每日时间范围下跌 2.9%。

原文来源:newsbtc

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