比特币（BTC）可以在今年6月之前达到新的高峰

3月15日上传到X的数据为BTC/USD提供了大约两个半月的时间，以击败其109,000美元的记录。

Network economist Timothy Peterson says that Bitcoin (BTC) can hit new all-time highs by June this year if historical patterns repeat.

网络经济学家蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）表示，如果历史模式重复，比特币（BTC）可能会在今年6月之前达到新的历史最高点。

In a series of X posts on March 15, Peterson, known for his independent Bitcoin metrics, began tracking the potential for the flagship cryptocurrency to return to new record levels above $109,000.

在3月15日的一系列X帖子中，彼得森以其独立的比特币指标而闻名，他开始追踪旗舰加密货币的潜力，使其恢复到109,000美元以上的新纪录水平。

April could spark 50% BTC price upside

四月可能会引发50％的BTC价格上涨空间

Bitcoin has declined around 30% after topping out in mid-January. The extent of the drop is characteristic of bull market corrections, and Peterson is among those who keenly sense the potential for a comeback.

在1月中旬上升后，比特币下降了约30％。下降的程度是牛市校正的特征，而彼得森敏锐地感受到了卷土重来的潜力。

“Bitcoin is trading near the low end of its historical seasonal range,” he determined alongside a chart comparing BTC/USD price cycles.

他确定了比较BTC/USD价格周期的图表，“比特币正在其历史季节性范围的低端交易。”

Bitcoin seasonal comparison. Source: Timothy Peterson/X

比特币季节性比较。资料来源：蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）/X

Peterson has created various Bitcoin price metrics over the years. One of them, Lowest Price Forward, has successfully defined levels below which BTC/USD never falls after a crossing above them at a certain point.

多年来，彼得森创建了各种比特币价格指标。其中一个是最低的价格，成功定义了级别，在某个时刻，BTC/USD在超过它们之上后永远不会掉落。

After its recovery from multi-year lows in March 2020, Lowest Price Forward predicted that BTC price would never trade under $10,000 again from September onward.

在2020年3月从多年低点中恢复过来后，最低的价格前进预测，从9月开始，BTC价格将永远不会再交易10,000美元。

Meanwhile, a new likely floor level has appeared this year: $69,000, as Cointelegraph reported, which has a “95% chance” of holding.

同时，今年已经出现了一个新的可能的地板水平：正如Cointelegraph所报道的69,000美元，其持有机会“ 95％”。

Continuing, Peterson stipulated a median target of $126,000 with a deadline of June 1.

继续，彼得森规定了一个中位目标为126,000美元，截止日期为6月1日。

Alongside a chart showing the performance of $100 in BTC, he also revealed that limp bull market performance has always been temporary.

除了显示BTC $ 100的表现的图表外，他还透露，Limp Bull Market的表现一直是暂时的。

“Bitcoin average time below trend = 4 months,” he explained.

他解释说：“比特币的平均时间= 4个月。”

Bitcoin growth of $100 comparison. Source: Timothy Peterson/X

比特币的增长$ 100比较。资料来源：蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）/X

A standard Bitcoin bull market comedown

标准比特币牛市

Other popular market commentators continue to emphasize that Bitcoin’s recent trip to $76,000 is standard corrective behavior.

其他受欢迎的市场评论员继续强调，比特币最近售价76,000美元是标准纠正行为。

“You don’t have to look at the previous BTC bull runs to understand that corrections are a part of the cycle and they get smaller as we go up in price on this биткоин chart,” popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital wrote in part of X analysis of the phenomenon at the start of March.

“您不必看一下以前的BTC公牛跑步来了解校正是周期的一部分，并且随着我们以这个биткоин的价格上涨，它们变得越来越小，”受欢迎的商人和分析师Rekt Capital在3月初对现象的一部分分析中写道。

Rekt Capital counted five of what he called “major pullbacks” in the current cycle alone, going back to the start of 2023.

Rekt Capital仅在当前周期中就算出了他所谓的“重大回调”的五个，可以追溯到2023年初。

BTC/USD 1-week chart. Source: Rekt Capital/X

BTC/USD 1周图表。资料来源：Rekt Capital/X

Analysts at crypto exchange Bitfinex told Cointelegraph this weekend that the current lows mark a “shakeout,” rather than the end of the current cycle.

Crypto Exchange Bitfinex的分析师本周末告诉Cointelegraph，当前的低点标志着“震动”，而不是当前周期的结束。