比特币（BTC）历史上最糟糕的一个月可能是迄今为止最好的一个月

BTC 接近 9 月底上涨 9%，为 2013 年以来的最高涨幅，10 月份将迎来季节性看涨。

Bitcoin (BTC) is set to end September at least 9% up, marking its best performance in the historically worst month for the asset.

比特币 (BTC) 预计 9 月底至少上涨 9%，创下该资产历史上最糟糕月份的最佳表现。

BTC rose above $64,000 on Thursday morning in Asia, continuing a rally that began in the second half of the month. The world's largest cryptocurrency began a 24-hour period around $63,800, largely flat on the day. BTC has risen about 36% so far in 2023.

周四上午，比特币在亚洲上涨至 64,000 美元以上，延续了下半月开始的涨势。全球最大的加密货币 24 小时开盘价约为 63,800 美元，当天基本持平。 2023 年至今，BTC 已上涨约 36%。

A bullish September has historically boded well for bitcoin in the fourth quarter. As previously reported, a green September has always led to BTC closing higher in October, November and December.

从历史上看，9月份的看涨对比特币第四季度来说是个好兆头。正如之前报道的那样，绿色的 9 月总是导致 BTC 在 10 月、11 月和 12 月收盘走高。

In contrast, October has seen bitcoin end in the red only twice since 2013, notching gains of as high as 60% and an average of 22%.

相比之下，自 2013 年以来，10 月份比特币仅出现两次亏损，涨幅高达 60%，平均涨幅为 22%。

After clocking an average value depletion rate of 6.56% in September, bitcoin has performed poorly in the ninth month of the year. Traders have generally been defensive about betting on higher prices in the month.

继 9 月份平均价值损耗率为 6.56% 后，比特币在今年第 9 个月表现不佳。交易员普遍对本月价格上涨持防御态度。

However, bitcoin has gained this September amid a slew of global monetary easing policies, a weakening yen, increased institutional investments in bitcoin and both political parties in the U.S. – which influence market movements – showing a favorable sentiment toward the crypto market ahead of November elections.

然而，由于一系列全球货币宽松政策、日元疲软、机构对比特币的投资增加以及影响市场走势的美国两党在 11 月大选之前显示出对加密货币市场的有利情绪，比特币在今年 9 月有所上涨。 。

The trend is widely expected to continue.

人们普遍预计这一趋势将持续下去。

“With crypto correlations staying high to macro assets, particularly against the SPX, we consider the friendly macro background to remain a strong tailwind for crypto prices into Q4,” Augustine Fan, head of insights at SOFA, told CoinDesk in a Telegram message.

SOFA 洞察主管 Augustine Fan 在 Telegram 消息中告诉 CoinDesk：“由于加密货币与宏观资产的相关性保持较高，特别是相对于 SPX，我们认为友好的宏观背景仍将是第四季度加密货币价格的强劲推动力。”

“Furthermore, with the Kamala camp playing lip service to crypto 'support' as part of her campaign rhetoric, we remain bullish on price action in the near term, with targeted put-selling strategies likely to be popular as investors switch into a 'buy-the-dip' mode,” he added.

“此外，卡马拉阵营在竞选言论中口头上对加密货币‘支持’表示支持，我们仍然看好近期的价格走势，随着投资者转向‘买入’，有针对性的看跌策略可能会受到欢迎。 “下跌”模式，”他补充道。