比特币（BTC）的预测变得越来越黯淡，因为价格可能会大幅下跌

比特币网络增长的停滞令 Jurrien Timmer 感到担忧。 Peter Brandt 表示，比特币可能会跌至 48,000 美元。

The recent bitcoin forecasts are painting a gloomy picture. According to fresh analyses, the crypto could be headed for a substantial price drop. This alarming prospect is already starting to instill doubt among investors, especially with the increased volatility and troubling market signals that continue to raise questions about bitcoin's immediate future.

最近的比特币预测描绘了一幅悲观的景象。根据最新的分析，加密货币的价格可能会大幅下跌。这种令人担忧的前景已经开始在投资者中引起疑虑，特别是随着波动性的增加和令人不安的市场信号继续引发人们对比特币近期前景的疑问。

Stagnation in Bitcoin network growth worries Jurrien Timmer

比特币网络增长停滞令 Jurrien Timmer 感到担忧

According to Jurrien Timmer of Fidelity Investments, bitcoin’s valuation is closely tied to the dynamics of its network, which he describes as “exponential gold.” This metaphor highlights the digital scarcity of bitcoin and its potential as a store of value. The analyst explains that the increase in bitcoin’s price generally follows the power curve of its network's growth, reflecting a development pattern observed in various technological innovations.

富达投资公司的 Jurrien Timmer 表示，比特币的估值与其网络的动态密切相关，他将其描述为“指数黄金”。这个比喻强调了比特币的数字稀缺性及其作为价值储存手段的潜力。这位分析师解释说，比特币价格的上涨通常遵循其网络增长的功率曲线，反映了各种技术创新中观察到的发展模式。

However, Timmer has recently observed a worrying slowdown in this growth. While bitcoin’s price continues to rise, he notes a notable divergence between the crypto’s value and its network expansion. For him, this situation is concerning and could hinder bitcoin’s ability to reach new heights. He asserts that for the queen of cryptos to return to a solid bullish dynamic, a significant acceleration in its network growth is indispensable.

然而，蒂默最近发现这种增长出现令人担忧的放缓。尽管比特币的价格持续上涨，但他指出加密货币的价值与其网络扩张之间存在显着差异。对他来说，这种情况令人担忧，并可能阻碍比特币达到新高度的能力。他断言，要使加密货币女王恢复强劲的看涨动态，其网络增长的显着加速是必不可少的。

Bitcoin could drop to $48,000 according to Peter Brandt

Peter Brandt 表示，比特币可能会跌至 48,000 美元

While Jurrien Timmer merely expresses concerns, Peter Brandt, an experienced analyst, presents a much more pessimistic outlook for bitcoin. Contrary to those predicting a spectacular rise, Brandt asserts that the current bullish cycle for bitcoin might already be over. Based on previous bullish cycles, he observes a trend of diminishing gains. For instance, the 2011/2013 cycle saw an 82% reduction in gains compared to the 2010/2011 cycle, and this trend continued with similar decreases of 79% and 82% in subsequent cycles.

虽然 Jurrien Timmer 只是表达了担忧，但经验丰富的分析师 Peter Brandt 对比特币的前景却持悲观得多。与那些预测比特币会大幅上涨的人相反，布兰特断言，当前比特币的看涨周期可能已经结束。根据之前的看涨周期，他观察到收益递减的趋势。例如，与 2010/2011 周期相比，2011/2013 周期的收益下降了 82%，并且这一趋势在后续周期中延续了类似的下降 79% 和 82%。

For Brandt, if this trend persists, the peak of $73,777 recently reached could very well represent the pinnacle of this cycle. Additionally, Brandt has issued clear warnings of a potential price drop in bitcoin. Currently, the flagship crypto is struggling to maintain the $70,000 threshold. The expert estimates that if bitcoin falls below $65,000, it could quickly drop to $60,000, and if this level does not hold, a descent to $48,000 is conceivable.

对于 Brandt 来说，如果这种趋势持续下去，最近达到的 73,777 美元的峰值很可能代表这个周期的顶峰。此外，布兰特还对比特币价格可能下跌发出明确警告。目前，旗舰加密货币正在努力维持 70,000 美元的门槛。专家估计，如果比特币跌破 65,000 美元，它可能会迅速跌至 60,000 美元，如果这个水平不维持，则可能跌至 48,000 美元。

This perspective starkly contrasts with the optimistic forecasts of some experts like Mike Novogratz and Robert Kiyosaki, who envision prices reaching $100,000 or more. Investors are therefore called upon to exercise caution in the face of these bearish perspectives.

这种观点与迈克·诺沃格拉茨 (Mike Novogratz) 和罗伯特·清崎 (Robert Kiyosaki) 等一些专家的乐观预测形成鲜明对比，他们预计价格将达到 10 万美元或更高。因此，投资者在面对这些看跌观点时应保持谨慎。

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A graduate of Sciences Po Toulouse and holder of a blockchain consultant certification issued by Alyra, I joined the Cointribune adventure in 2019. Convinced of blockchain's potential to transform many sectors of the economy, I made the commitment to raise awareness and inform the general public about this constantly evolving ecosystem. My objective is to enable everyone to better understand blockchain and grasp the opportunities it offers. I strive each day to provide an objective analysis of the news, to decipher market trends, to relay the latest technological innovations and to put the economic and societal challenges of this unfolding revolution into perspective.

我是图卢兹政治学院的毕业生，持有 Alyra 颁发的区块链顾问认证，于 2019 年加入了 Cointribune 冒险之旅。我坚信区块链具有改变许多经济部门的潜力，我承诺提高认识并让公众了解区块链这个不断发展的生态系统。我的目标是让每个人更好地了解区块链并抓住它提供的机会。我每天都努力对新闻进行客观分析，解读市场趋势，传播最新的技术创新，并正确看待这场正在展开的革命所面临的经济和社会挑战。