比特币（BTC）周期峰值可能还很遥远，但短期内会发生什么

在短暂看涨之后，比特币[BTC]再次出现重大价格调整。最近的价格下跌可能再次引发

Bitcoin [BTC] recently faced another major price correction after a brief bullish period. The latest price drop may have once again instilled fear among BTC investors.

在短暂的看涨期之后，比特币 [BTC] 最近面临着另一次重大价格调整。最新的价格下跌可能再次给比特币投资者带来了恐惧。

However, zooming out revealed that BTC was far from reaching the peak of this cycle.

然而，缩小范围后发现，BTC 远未达到本周期的顶峰。

Bitcoin’s upcoming peakCoinMartketCap’s data showed that BTC’s price fell by 13% over the last seven days. During the last 24 hours, the coin’s value dropped by close to 3%.

比特币即将到来的peakCoinMartketCap数据显示，BTC的价格在过去7天内下跌了13%。在过去 24 小时内，代币的价值下跌了近 3%。

At the time of writing, BTC was trading at $55,412.77 with a market capitalization of over $1.09 trillion.

截至撰写本文时，BTC 交易价格为 55,412.77 美元，市值超过 1.09 万亿美元。

AMBCrypto’s analysis of IntoTheBlock’s data showed that after the latest price correction, only 75% of BTC investors were in profit, which accounted for over 40.47 million addresses.

AMBCrypto 对 IntoTheBlock 数据的分析显示，在最新一次价格调整后，只有 75% 的 BTC 投资者获利，而该投资者的地址数量超过 4047 万个。

Source: IntoTheBlockHowever, the entire trend may change in the upcoming years.

来源：IntoTheBlock然而，未来几年整个趋势可能会发生变化。

Milkybull, a renowned crypto analyst, recently took to Twitter to highlight the connection between Bitcoin halvings and its cycle peak.

著名加密货币分析师 Milkybull 最近在 Twitter 上强调了比特币减半与其周期峰值之间的联系。

The analysis showed that BTC’s price has always reached a peak nearly two years after halvings. For example, after the 2012 halving, BTC peaked in 2014.

分析显示，BTC的价格总是在减半后近两年达到峰值。例如，2012年减半后，BTC在2014年达到顶峰。

After BTC’s third halving in 2020, its price reached a cycle peak in 2022. So, if history repeats, investors may see BTC reach a cycle high in 2026, as the 4th halving occurred in 2024.

BTC在2020年第三次减半后，其价格在2022年达到周期峰值。因此，如果历史重演，投资者可能会看到BTC在2026年达到周期高点，因为第四次减半发生在2024年。

Source: XThe latest analysis suggested that investors should remain confident if the king of cryptos chose to HODL, as the profits they may earn in the upcoming years could be massive.

资料来源：X 最新分析表明，如果加密货币之王选择持有，投资者应该保持信心，因为他们在未来几年可能赚取的利润可能是巨大的。

AMBCrypto’s analysis of IntoTheBlock’s data showed that investors were indeed showing a lot of confidence in the coin.

AMBCrypto 对 IntoTheBlock 数据的分析表明，投资者确实对该币表现出了很大的信心。

This seemed to be the case, as more than 70% of BTC holders were long-term holders, meaning that they were holding the coin for more than a year.

情况似乎确实如此，因为超过 70% 的 BTC 持有者是长期持有者，这意味着他们持有该货币超过一年。

Source: IntoTheBlockWhat to expect in the short-termSince things in the long run looked quite optimistic, AMBCrypto aimed to check BTC’s on-chain data to see what to expect in the short term, as it recently saw a correction.

资料来源：IntoTheBlock 短期内的预期由于从长远来看，情况看起来相当乐观，AMBCrypto 旨在检查 BTC 的链上数据，以了解短期内的预期，因为它最近出现了调整。

Our analysis of CryptoQuant’s data showed that BTC’s exchange reserve was dropping, indicating that the selling pressure on the token was reducing.

我们对 CryptoQuant 数据的分析显示，BTC 的外汇储备正在下降，表明该代币的抛售压力正在减轻。

Its binary CDD was green, which meant that long-term holders’ movements in the last seven days were lower than average. They have a reason to be holding their coins.

其二元 CDD 为绿色，这意味着长期持有者在过去 7 天的变动低于平均水平。他们有理由持有他们的硬币。

Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024-2025These metrics suggested that Bitcoin’s price chart may soon turn green.

阅读比特币 [BTC] 价格预测 2024-2025 这些指标表明比特币的价格图表可能很快就会变成绿色。

However, its derivatives metrics were bearish. For example, BTC’s taker buy/sell ratio was red, suggesting that selling sentiment was dominant in the market.

然而，其衍生品指标却看跌。例如，BTC 的接受者买入/卖出比率为红色，表明市场上卖出情绪占主导地位。

Source: CryptoQuant

来源：CryptoQuant