比特币 (BTC) 9 月 6 日暴跌至 52,568 美元，自月初以来跌幅高达 10.85%

在关于惩罚比特币投资者的“九月效应”的讨论中，一位著名分析师对比特币达到“下行目标”表示乐观。

Bitcoin (BTC) crashed to $52,568 on September 6, up to 10.85% losses since the start of the month. Amid discussions about the “September Effect” punishing Bitcoin investors, a prominent analyst shows optimism as BTC reaches the “downside target.”

9 月 6 日，比特币 (BTC) 暴跌至 52,568 美元，自本月初以来跌幅高达 10.85%。在关于惩罚比特币投资者的“九月效应”的讨论中，一位著名分析师对比特币达到“下行目标”表示乐观。

The analyst is Credible Crypto, a Bitcoin long-term bull who signals his current bias through the X alias CrediBULL Crypto. Notably, the trader had previously shown a bearish bias in the past few months, warning of an impending BTC retracement.

这位分析师是 Credible Crypto，一位比特币长期看涨者，他通过 X 别名 CrediBULL Crypto 表明了他当前的偏见。值得注意的是，该交易员此前在过去几个月中曾表现出看跌倾向，警告比特币即将回调。

This recent crash has now changed Credible Crypto's short-term Bitcoin price prediction, and he believes in an incoming bullish reversal. Moreover, the analyst explained that given how fast BTC crashed, the “full bull gear” may come “sooner than expected.”

最近的这次崩盘现在改变了 Credible Crypto 的短期比特币价格预测，他相信即将到来的看涨逆转。此外，分析师解释说，考虑到比特币崩盘的速度，“全面牛市”可能会“比预期更早”到来。

As observed in the chart, Bitcoin could soon target the $100,000 psychological level as BTC's fifth impulse wave. The analyst refers to this wave according to the Elliott Wave Theory and believes it would mark this cycle's top.

正如图表中所观察到的，比特币可能很快就会瞄准 100,000 美元的心理水平，作为 BTC 的第五波冲击波。分析师根据艾略特波浪理论引用了这一波，并认为它将标志着本周期的顶部。

Well, my downside target on $BTC has been hit, and the original idea shared below looks to have played out, despite us not getting any relief in between (like I was most recently expecting). By skipping the "relief rally" in between and just heading straight down, we may have… https://t.co/ObW2GkgRPn

好吧，我对 BTC 的下行目标已经达到，下面分享的最初想法似乎已经实现，尽管我们没有得到任何缓解（就像我最近预期的那样）。通过跳过中间的“救济集会”并直接向下，我们可能会...... https://t.co/ObW2GkgRPn

What other analysts say about Bitcoin (BTC) price

其他分析师对比特币（BTC）价格的看法

As of this writing, BTC trades at $54,480, down 7.90% in a week.

截至撰写本文时，BTC 交易价格为 54,480 美元，一周内下跌 7.90%。

Notably, the recent crash also reached other analysts' downside targets before a forecasted higher time frame bull rally. In particular, Finbold reported CrypNuevo's trading plan for the week last Sunday, which played out as expected.

值得注意的是，在预测的更长时间范围的牛市反弹之前，最近的崩盘也达到了其他分析师的下行目标。特别是，Finbold 上周日报道了 CrypNuevo 本周的交易计划，结果符合预期。

The trader predicted Bitcoin would go through a “run for liquidity” up to $61,300 – partially accomplished at $59,799. And then crashing back to a range between $51,500 and $56,600, chasing imbalances created by long-position traders.

该交易员预测比特币将经历高达 61,300 美元的“流动性争夺”——部分达到 59,799 美元。然后又跌回 51,500 美元至 56,600 美元之间的区间，追逐多头交易者造成的失衡。

On September 6, before the crash, Finbold also published another analyst's warning of “a bear trap before the spike.” On that note, the expert who goes by The ForexX Mindset on TradingView predicted BTC would briefly break out of a bull diamond chart pattern to the downside, trapping Bitcoin short-sellers.

9 月 6 日，崩盘前，Finbold 还发表了另一位分析师的警告，称“暴涨前是熊市陷阱”。在这一点上，TradingView 上的 The ForexX Mindset 专家预测 BTC 将短暂突破牛市菱形图表模式并下跌，从而困住比特币卖空者。

The analyst projected a target between $50,000 and $55,000 for this bear trap, which BTC successfully achieved.

分析师预计该熊市陷阱的目标价为 50,000 美元至 55,000 美元，BTC 成功实现了这一目标。

Should Bitcoin continue meeting these three analysts' projections, the cryptocurrency market could see a drastic shift in the following days. Interestingly, the predominant bearish sentiment from retail validates what professional traders see as a local bottom and an incoming rally.

如果比特币继续满足这三位分析师的预测，加密货币市场可能会在接下来的几天内发生巨大变化。有趣的是，散户的主要看跌情绪证实了专业交易员所认为的局部底部和即将到来的反弹。

Nevertheless, cryptocurrencies are hard to predict, are influenced by different factors, and are also highly volatile assets. Investors should remain cautious and properly weigh their risks despite the reported positive forecasts.

然而，加密货币难以预测，受到不同因素的影响，而且也是波动性很大的资产。尽管有乐观的预测，投资者仍应保持谨慎并适当权衡风险。