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全球M2货币供应的反弹有可能重新点燃BTC的看涨势头。
As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade in the low $80,000 range, a key macroeconomic development promises to benefit the leading cryptocurrency. If historical patterns hold true, then BTC may not be too far from another massive price rally.
随着比特币(BTC)继续以低价$ 80,000的范围进行交易,这一主要宏观经济发展有望使领先的加密货币受益。如果历史模式成立,那么BTC可能与另一个巨大的价格集会不远。
Rise In M2 Money Supply To Benefit Bitcoin?
M2货币供应量增加以使比特币受益?
According to an X post by crypto analyst Master of Crypto, a rebound in global M2 money supply bodes well for BTC’s bullish momentum. The analyst explained that M2 – a leading indicator – often predicts significant shifts in Bitcoin’s price trajectory.
根据加密分析师Crypto的X帖子的说法,全球M2货币供应量的反弹对BTC的看涨势头非常好。分析师解释说,M2(一个领先的指标)通常可以预测比特币价格轨迹的重大变化。
For the uninitiated, M2 money supply is a measure of the total money circulating in an economy, including cash, checking deposits, savings accounts, and other liquid assets. It’s a key indicator of liquidity, influencing inflation, economic growth, and financial markets, including emerging assets like Bitcoin.
对于初学者,M2货币供应是经济中流传的总货币,包括现金,支票存款,储蓄帐户和其他流动资产。这是流动性,影响通货膨胀,经济增长和金融市场的关键指标,包括比特币等新兴资产。
Master of Crypto noted that historically, M2 movements tend to predict BTC’s price momentum with a 70-day lag. The analyst added:
Crypto大师指出,从历史上看,M2运动往往会以70天的滞后来预测BTC的价格动力。分析师补充说:
“Recently, as M2 began to rise before BTC, it’s now fully recovered and poised to hit new highs suggesting BTC might do the same. Analysts have insights on why this upcoming BTC rally could outpace all previous ones.”
“最近,随着M2在BTC之前开始上升,现在已经完全恢复并准备达到新的高点,这表明BTC可能会做同样的事情。分析师对为什么即将到来的BTC拉力赛能够超过所有以前的比赛。”
Fellow analyst James echoed these views, highlighting that BTC may experience another price rally after a brief period of dip and consolidation.
分析师詹姆斯(James)呼应了这些观点,强调了BTC在短暂的蘸酱和整合后可能会再次举行价格集会。
Crypto analyst The M2 Guy provided further insight, suggesting that if the 70-day lag holds, BTC’s next rally could start around March 24. He added that an alternative scenario – based on a 107-day lag – points to April 30 as the potential breakout date.
加密分析师M2家伙提供了进一步的见解,表明,如果70天的滞后持续存在,BTC的下一次集会可能会在3月24日左右开始。他补充说,基于107天的滞后,另一种替代场景 - 指向4月30日,将其作为潜在的突破日期。
Technicals Point Toward BTC Take-Off
技术指向BTC起飞
Crypto trader Merlijn The Trader identified a possible breakout from a falling wedge pattern – a historically bullish formation for Bitcoin. On average, BTC has delivered 66% returns following a breakout from this pattern on the three-day chart. A similar move now could propel BTC to new all-time highs (ATH).
Crypto Trader Merlijn交易者发现了楔形模式的突破 - 历史上看涨比特币的形成。平均而言,在为期三天的图表中,BTC在此模式中分手后,已提供66%的回报。现在,类似的举动可以推动BTC到新的历史高峰(ATH)。
Moreover, Merlijn noted that BTC is also tracking a megaphone pattern. However, he cautioned that Bitcoin must hold above $72,000 for this bullish structure to remain intact.
此外,Merlijn指出,BTC还在跟踪扩音器模式。但是,他警告说,比特币必须持有超过72,000美元的看涨结构才能保持完整。
Crypto expert Burak Kesmeci pointed out that a recovery in the U.S. stock market may be crucial for Bitcoin’s next surge. He emphasized the strong correlation between cryptocurrencies and traditional equities, suggesting BTC could struggle if stocks remain weak.
加密专家Burak Kesmeci指出,美国股票市场的复苏可能对比特币的下一次激增至关重要。他强调了加密货币与传统股票之间的密切相关性,表明如果股票仍然弱,BTC可能会挣扎。
Meanwhile, well-known American gold advocate Peter Schiff issued a bearish warning. He argued that BTC isn’t out of the woods yet – predicting a potential “catastrophic drop” if the NASDAQ enters a bear market.
同时,著名的美国黄金倡导者彼得·希夫(Peter Schiff)发出了看跌警告。他认为,BTC还没有脱离树林,如果纳斯达克进入熊市,预测潜在的“灾难性下降”。
At press time, BTC trades at $83,826, down 1.7% in the past 24 hours.
发稿时,BTC的交易价格为83,826美元,在过去24小时内下跌1.7%。
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