比特币从较早的更正中反弹

在特朗普总统90天的关税停顿之后

Bitcoin (BTC) has encountered a setback in its recent rally, with prices pulling back from earlier highs above $85,000. The rebound followed a period of market concern, which was soothed by President Trump’s 90-day tariff pause on all countries except China. The move has also reignited some bullish momentum, which was waning amid the recent pullback.

比特币（BTC）在最近的集会中遇到了挫折，价格从早期高于85,000美元以上的价格撤回。反弹之后是市场关注的时期，特朗普总统在中国以外的所有国家 /地区的90天关税停顿舒适。此举也重新点燃了一些看涨的势头，这在最近的回调中逐渐减弱。

While retail investors and algos are showing activity, there’s an unusual lack of activity from Bitcoin whales, especially on Binance. On-chain metrics suggest that these large holders are neither selling in droves nor accumulating in force. The question now is whether their restraint signals confidence, caution, or a setup for a bigger market move ahead.

虽然散户投资者和algos正在展示活动，但比特币鲸的活动不寻常，尤其是在Binance上。链上指标表明，这些大型持有人既没有卖在斗争，也没有有效积累。现在的问题是，他们的约束信号是信心，谨慎还是设置，以实现更大的市场前进。

Chart: TradingView

图表：TradingView

New analysis from CryptoQuant shows that Binance whales are keeping a low profile. The Exchange Whale Ratio (EWR), which tracks the proportion of large inflows compared to total exchange inflows, reveals a mixed picture. In the long term, the 365-day moving average is rising, suggesting that whales have been more influential over time. However, in the short term, the 30-day trend is falling. This drop points to a pause in active trading or distribution.

加密量的新分析表明，二鲸保持低调。与总交换流入相比，跟踪大量流入比例的交换鲸比（EWR）揭示了混合的情况。从长远来看，365天移动平均线正在上升，这表明鲸鱼随着时间的流逝而变得更加影响力。但是，在短期内，30天的趋势正在下降。该下降表明在主动交易或分销中停了下来。

The Whale-to-Exchange Flow metric also supports this, showing a notable $3 billion decline in whale inflows to Binance over the last month. This pattern matches behavior seen during market corrections in 2024, where whales held positions rather than selling into weakness. The current data implies that whales are observing, not panicking, possibly positioning for a more strategic entry or waiting for clearer macro signals.

鲸鱼到交换的流量指标也支持这一点，显示上个月鲸鱼流入鲸鱼流入下降了30亿美元。这种模式与2024年在市场校正期间看到的行为相匹配，鲸鱼担任职位而不是卖给弱点。当前的数据表明，鲸鱼正在观察而不是惊慌，可能会定位以进行更具战略意义或等待更清晰的宏信号。

Meanwhile, separate data highlights strong buy-side activity from retail and mid-size players. With Bitcoin whales on the sidelines and persistent buying strength visible, the market may be primed for a larger move once uncertainty clears. Let’s take a look at Bitcoin price predictions to see how these developments impact the price of Bitcoin.

同时，单独的数据突出了零售和中型玩家的强大购买端活动。由于比特币鲸在场外并可见持续的购买强度，一旦不确定，市场可能会采取更大的举动。让我们看一下比特币价格预测，以了解这些发展如何影响比特币的价格。

Bitcoin Price Prediction for April 15, 2025

比特币价格预测2025年4月15日

The 1-hour chart of BTC/USDT displays consolidation just below the $86,000 resistance zone, with strong support near $83,000. The Bitcoin breakout recently bounced from deeper support levels around $75,000 and $79,000, climbing steadily to reclaim lost ground. However, momentum has slowed near resistance, resulting in sideways movement. The RSI stands at 51.72, reflecting neutral sentiment with no immediate overbought or oversold signals. Notably, prior overbought conditions around April 10 preceded minor corrections, while earlier oversold readings signaled upward rallies.

BTC/USDT的1小时图表显示合并位于86,000美元的电阻区，大量支持接近83,000美元。比特币的突破最近从更深层次的支持水平弹起了75,000美元和79,000美元，稳步攀升以恢复失落的地面。然而，动量已经放慢了接近阻力，从而导致侧向运动。 RSI为51.72，反映了中性的情绪，没有立即超买或超售信号。值得注意的是，4月10日左右的先前过度条件进行了较小的修正，而较早的读数则表示向上的集会。

Chart 1: Analysed by vallijat007, published on TradingView, April 15, 2025

图1：由Vallijat007分析，于2025年4月15日在TradingView上发布

On April 11 and 13, the MACD displayed multiple death crosses, suggesting waning bullish momentum and the possibility of brief declines. The flat histogram indicates that there isn’t a clear trend direction. To validate fresh upward momentum, bulls would need to see a breakthrough over $86,000. On the other hand, a decline below $83,000 may lead to a test of lower supports. Although the structure of the Bitcoin breakout is still positive overall, with higher lows, prudence is advised as the market tests a significant resistance level with waning momentum.

4月11日至13日，MACD展示了多个死亡十字架，这表明看涨的动力和短暂下降的可能性。平面直方图表示没有明确的趋势方向。为了验证新鲜的动力，公牛队需要看到超过86,000美元的突破。另一方面，低于$ 83,000的下降可能会导致对较低支持的测试。尽管比特币突破的结构总体上仍然是积极的，但由于市场测试的势头降低，因此建议审慎，因为市场测试具有显着的阻力水平。

Market Eyes Whales as Key to Next BTC Move

市场眼鲸是下一个BTC移动的关键

Bitcoin’s recovery has sparked renewed optimism, but a key missing piece is the behavior of Bitcoin whales. Large holders on Binance are unusually quiet, with data showing a pullback in inflows and reduced exchange activity. This pause suggests strategic patience rather than panic selling. If macro conditions stabilize and buying pressure from smaller players holds, whales may soon re-enter. Until then, the market is treading cautiously, waiting to see whether these quiet giants will confirm or disrupt the next bullish leg.

比特币的恢复激发了人们的乐观兴趣，但关键的缺失是比特币鲸的行为。大型二进制者非常安静，数据显示流入和减少的交换活动的回调。此停顿表明战略性耐心而不是恐慌销售。如果宏观条件稳定并从较小的玩家那里购买压力，鲸鱼可能很快就会重新进入。在此之前，市场一直在谨慎行事，等待这些安静的巨人是否会确认或破坏下一个看涨的腿。