比特币可能已经触底了，可以反弹到90,000美元

在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）表示愿意放松关税之后

Crypto analyst Markus Thielen at 10x Research says Bitcoin may have finally bottomed and could rebound toward $90,000 after US President Donald Trump signaled a willingness to ease tariffs and the Federal Reserve resisted short-term pressure last week.

Crypto分析师Markus Thielen在10倍研究中说，比特币可能终于触底了，并且在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）表示愿意缓解关税的意愿，而美联储上周抵制短期压力。

“Bitcoin is attempting to form a bottom, supported by Trump’s recent shift toward ‘flexibility' on the upcoming April 2 reciprocal tariffs, softening his earlier rhetoric,” Thielen said in a March 23 report.

Thielen在3月23日的报告中说：“比特币正试图形成一个底部，这是特朗普最近在即将4月2日的互惠关税上向'灵活性'转向'灵活性'的支持，从而减轻了他早期的言论。”

The Federal Reserve signaled in its March 18-19 meeting that it would also “look past short-term inflationary pressures, laying the groundwork for potential future easing,” he added.

他在3月18日至199日的会议上表示，它也将“审视过去的短期通货膨胀压力，为潜在的未来缓解奠定基础，”他补充说。

As a result, 10x Research’s Bitcoin reversal indicators have turned bullish, with Bitcoin’s (BTC) 21-day moving average now at $85,200, Thielen noted.

结果，Thielen指出，10倍研究的比特币逆转指标已转为看涨，比特币（BTC）21天移动平均线现在为85,200美元。

Bitcoin’s bottoming formations over the last two years. Source: 10x Research

在过去两年中，比特币的底层形成。资料来源：10倍研究

He said these weekly reversal indicators have pulled back to levels where past bull markets have resumed, such as in September 2023 — spurred on by the Bitcoin exchange-traded fund narrative — and August 2024 as the US election neared.

他说，这些每周的逆转指标已恢复到过去的牛市恢复的水平，例如2023年9月 - 由比特币交易所交易的基金叙述刺激 - 随着美国大选的接近。

“Several altcoins are also breaking out of their downtrend channels and trading at more attractive levels,” the analyst noted.

这位分析师指出：“几个山寨币也正在爆发其下降渠道，并以更具吸引力的水平进行交易。”

Bitcoin is currently trading at $85,720, up 2.1% over the last 24 hours, according to CoinGecko data.

根据Coingecko数据，比特币目前的交易价格为85,720美元，在过去24小时内增长了2.1％。

Meanwhile, Ether (ETH), Tron (TRX), and Avalanche (AVAX) have rebounded 4.3%, 6.4 and 8.9% respectively over the last week.

同时，在上周，Ether（ETH），TRON（TRX）和Avalanche（Avax）分别为4.3％，6.4和8.9％反弹。

However, Thielen expects to see “significant resistance” at the $90,000 mark for Bitcoin, should it reach that level.

但是，蒂伦（Thielen）预计如果达到该水平，比特币的“明显阻力”以90,000美元的成绩为90,000美元。

Despite the more positive outlook, “no clear catalyst exists for an immediate parabolic rally” is in sight, he added.

他补充说，尽管有更积极的前景，但“直接进行抛物线集会尚无明确的催化剂”。

Related: Bitcoin ‘in position’ for first key RSI breakout in 6 months at $85K

相关：6个月内首次钥匙RSI突破的比特币“位置”，$ 85K

Initially, Thielen said he expected Bitcoin to avoid dropping below $73,000 — thereby avoiding a “deep bear market” — because the largest sum bracket of Bitcoin holders (wallets with 100-1000 Bitcoin) are likely family offices and wealth managers who are invested in Bitcoin for the long term.

最初，蒂伦（Thielen）表示，他希望比特币避免跌至73,000美元以下，从而避免了“深熊市” - 因为最大的比特币持有人（拥有100-1000个比特币的钱包）可能是家庭办公室和财富经理，他们长期投资了比特币。

He also noted that the US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs returned inflows for the first time last week since the last week of January.

他还指出，自1月份最后一周以来，上周上周首次流入了美国现货比特币ETF。

“We expect Bitcoin ETF selling from arbitrage-focused investors to wind down, as the arbitrage opportunities have primarily been closed for weeks,” Thielen added.

Thielen补充说：“我们预计比特币ETF从以套利为中心的投资者出售，因为套利机会主要被关闭了数周，”