现在避免的三个被打击的加密货币

全年，加密货币全年都会下降。实际上，今年的一些大型市值加密货币降低了45％。

Cryptocurrencies have been broadly stellar performers for much of 2025. Indeed, some large-market-cap cryptocurrencies are down as much as 45% for the year.

在2025年的大部分时间里，加密货币一直是出色的表演者。的确，今年的一些大型市场股加密货币降低了45％。

Just because they're on sale, though, doesn't mean that you should buy them.

不过，仅仅因为它们发售并不意味着您应该购买它们。

Three beaten-down cryptos to avoid for now are Cardano (ADA -4.46%), Dogecoin (DOGE -3.89%), and Litecoin (LTC -4.77%). All have rallied at some point this year, mostly on hype and speculation, but all are destined to fall this year. Here's why.

目前要避免的三个被打击的加密货币是Cardano（ADA -4.46％），Dogecoin（Doge -3.89％）和Litecoin（LTC -4.77％）。在今年的某个时候，所有人都集会了，主要是在大肆宣传和猜测上，但所有人注定今年都将倒塌。这就是原因。

Cardano

卡达诺

On March 2, President Donald Trump mentioned Cardano in a single Truth Social post about the potential creation of a national crypto strategic reserve, and the price of Cardano shot through the roof for a huge one-day gain. You can see this very easily in the chart below.

3月2日，唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）总统在一个真理社会帖子中提到了卡尔达诺（Cardano），讲述了国家加密战略储备的潜在创建，而卡达诺（Cardano）的价格则在屋顶上射出，以获得巨大的一日利收益。您可以在下面的图表中很容易地看到这一点。

But, ever since then, Cardano has been selling off. On March 6, the reserve morphed into the U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile, and there's no longer any guarantee that the U.S. government will be buying Cardano. Any Cardano it has already confiscated, of course, will be part of the Stockpile. But at least for now, the federal government isn't going to start buying Cardano on the open market anytime soon.

但是，从那以后，卡尔达诺一直在卖出。 3月6日，保护区变成了美国数字资产库存，并且不再保证美国政府将购买Cardano。当然，它已经没收的任何Cardano都将成为库存的一部分。但是至少到目前为止，联邦政府将很快就不会在公开市场上购买卡尔达诺。

As a result, I'm not buying Cardano right now. Keep in mind, too, that the all-time high for Cardano is just $3.10, and it's now down almost 80% from that figure, so the upside is very limited for the amount of risk you're taking on. For now, I'm ignoring all the hype and speculation from crypto traders suggesting that Cardano might soar to a price of $10. In my opinion, that's just wishful thinking.

结果，我现在不购买Cardano。还要记住，Cardano的历史最高水平仅为3.10美元，现在它比该数字下降了几乎80％，因此，对于您承担的风险，上升空间非常有限。目前，我忽略了加密货币交易者的所有炒作和猜测，这表明Cardano可能飙升至10美元。我认为，这只是一厢情愿。

Dogecoin

狗狗

The world's most popular meme coin, Dogecoin, is in the headlines primarily because of Elon Musk and the Department of Government Efficiency, referred to as DOGE. But here's the thing: Dogecoin has absolutely no direct relationship with Musk, DOGE, or any government cost-cutting initiative of any kind. So if you're expecting the price of Dogecoin to soar in response to government belt-tightening, you're mistaken.

世界上最受欢迎的模因硬币Dogecoin在头条新闻中，主要是因为埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）和政府效率部，被称为“大道”。但这是事实：Dogecoin与Musk，Doge或任何形式的任何政府削减成本倡议绝对没有直接关系。因此，如果您期望Dogecoin的价格飙升以响应政府的皮带紧密，那么您就会误会。

Heading into 2025, crypto investors were talking up meme coins as the key to building generational wealth. Some were talking about a "meme coin supercycle" that would send meme coins soaring to multibillion-dollar market caps. Instead, we got the Official Trump meme coin (down 85% from its highs), and a lot of animal-themed meme coins down anywhere from 70% to 90% for the year.

进入2025年，加密投资者正在谈论模因硬币，这是建立世代财富的关键。有些人在谈论“模因硬币超级循环”，这将使模因硬币飙升至数十亿美元的市值。取而代之的是，我们获得了官方的特朗普模因硬币（比其高点下降了85％），并且许多以动物为主题的模因硬币下跌了70％至90％。

The meme coin bubble has officially burst, so do yourself a favor and resist the temptation to buy more Dogecoin at a steep discount. For the year, Dogecoin is down more than 45%, and I think it has further to fall. In its entire history, Dogecoin has never once traded above $1. And I don't think the situation will change in 2025, with Dogecoin currently trading at just $0.16.

模因硬币泡沫已正式破裂，因此请帮自己一个忙，并抵制以巨大折扣购买更多Dogecoin的诱惑。在这一年中，Dogecoin下降了45％以上，我认为它还会进一步下降。在整个历史上，Dogecoin从来没有超过1美元的交易。而且我认为情况不会在2025年发生变化，而Dogecoin目前的交易仅为0.16美元。

Litecoin

莱特币

In February, analysts at Bloomberg suggested that Litecoin had a 90% chance of getting a new spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in 2025. That was big news, since many crypto investors had largely forgotten about Litecoin.

2月，彭博社的分析师建议，莱特币有90％的机会获得2025年证券交易委员会（SEC）批准的新现货交易所交易基金（ETF）。

At the time, the conventional wisdom was that, even if the new spot Litecoin ETFs attracted just a fraction of the amount of money that the spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted, it might be enough to send Litecoin soaring.

当时，传统的观点是，即使新的位置Litecoin ETF仅吸引了比特币ETF吸引的一小部分钱，也可能足以使litecoin飙升。

But there are just two things wrong with that thinking. First of all, the SEC may not approve anything if current volatility in the crypto market persists. And second, there may not be that much demand for a Litecoin ETF after all, if crypto prices keep falling. Even Bloomberg acknowledged that demand for any spot Litecoin ETF would be "comparatively low."

但是这种想法只有两件事。首先，如果加密市场中的当前波动率持续存在，SEC可能不会批准任何事情。其次，如果加密价格不断下跌，毕竟对莱特币ETF的需求可能不会太多。甚至彭博社也承认，对莱特币ETF的任何位置的需求“相对较低”。

And that means investors might be too optimistic about how much higher Litecoin could go. Litecoin briefly soared past $130 in February and looked to be one of the top performers of the year. But there was no mention of Litecoin by Trump in his Truth Social post on March 2, and no mention of future Litecoin buying by the U.S. government at the White House Crypto Summit on March 7. As a result, Litecoin is now back down to less than $90.

这意味着投资者对莱特币的发展可能太乐观了。莱特币在2月份短暂飙升了130美元，看上去是年度最佳表现者之一。但是，特朗普在3月2日的真相社会职位上没有提及莱特币，也没有提及美国政府在3月7日在白宫加密赛峰会上购买的未来莱特币。结果，莱特币现在又回到了90美元以下。