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市场分析揭示了资产轨迹的几种可能性,尤其是随着零售交易者参与度的下降和鲸鱼变得更加活跃。
Avalanche [AVAX] observed a 4.12% dip over the past 24 hours. This trend has been consistent over the past month, with the highest cumulative gain recorded at 5.32%.
雪崩[avax]在过去24小时内观察到4.12%的下降。在过去的一个月中,这种趋势一直保持一致,累计收益最高为5.32%。
As retail trader engagement drops and whales become more active, several possibilities arise for the asset’s trajectory.
随着零售交易者参与度的下降和鲸鱼变得更加活跃,资产轨迹发生了几种可能性。
What’s behind AVAX’s recent trend?
Avax最近趋势的背后是什么?
According to a report by Nansen, AVAX finds itself in a paradoxical market position caused by the contrasting actions of whales and retail traders.
根据Nansen的一份报告,Avax发现自己处于鲸鱼和零售商人的对比行动引起的矛盾市场地位。
The analysis highlights a recent 74% drop in Active Addresses—now at 414,234—and a 34% decline in transactions to 2,990,667, showcasing diminishing retail interest.
该分析强调,最近的主动地址下降了74%(现在为414,234),交易下降了34%,至2,990,667,显示零售利息降低。
Source: Nansen
资料来源:南森
Interestingly, transaction fees have surged, with analysis suggesting that whales—likely institutions—are fueling this spike.
有趣的是,交易费用激增,分析表明,鲸鱼(非常可能是机构)正在助长这一尖峰。
The fees generated on the blockchain over the last seven days have soared by 116%, reaching $243,280, a significant portion of which is attributed to these institutions.
在过去的七天中,区块链上产生的费用飙升了116%,达到243,280美元,其中很大一部分归因于这些机构。
Typically, increased whale activity bodes well for a market rally, signaling heightened confidence. AMBCrypto previously monitored the market impact of this trend.
通常,增加的鲸鱼活动在市场集会上良好,信号提高了信心。 Ambcrypto先前监测了这一趋势的市场影响。
What does whale presence mean?
鲸鱼的存在是什么意思?
That shift was further confirmed in spot markets.
这种转变在现货市场得到了进一步的确认。
In a 24-hour period, whale wallets absorbed $10.62 million worth of AVAX, closely trailing the year’s highest single-day accumulation of $10.63 million on the 6th of April.
在24小时的时间内,鲸鱼钱包吸收了价值1,062万美元的avax,在4月6日的最高单日累积量紧密落后于1,063万美元。
Source: CoinGlass
资料来源:小店
This week alone, traders have bought $22.96 million worth of AVAX, indicating that buyers on centralized exchanges view the current price as a significant discount.
仅本周,贸易商就购买了价值2296万美元的avax,这表明集中交易所的买家将当前价格视为可观的折扣。
Source: Artemis
资料来源:Artemis
Furthermore, on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), AVAX trading activity is escalating. Currently, DEX volume has reached $161 million.
此外,在分散的交易所(DEX)上,avax交易活动正在上升。目前,DEX量已达到1.61亿美元。
If this upward trajectory continues, the asset could reclaim its market high above $200 million, which may contribute to a stronger price performance for the asset.
如果这种向上的轨迹继续进行,资产可以将其市场高达2亿美元收回,这可能会导致资产的价格更高。
How has AVAX reacted?
avax的反应如何?
AVAX’s presence on the chart remains substantial, but it may encounter significant resistance at $26.47.
Avax在图表上的存在仍然很大,但可能会遇到26.47美元的明显阻力。
If this resistance holds, AVAX could revert to the ascending triangle pattern, highlighted by the purple line, and continue trading within this range.
如果这种阻力具有,Avax可能会恢复到上升的三角形模式,以紫色线突出显示,并继续在此范围内进行交易。
However, a successful breakout above this level could propel the asset from $26.47 to $41.90—a 58% gain.
但是,超过此水平的成功突破可以将资产从$ 26.47提高到41.90美元,增长了58%。
Source: TradingView
资料来源:TradingView
This outlook depends on two factors: if whale buying persists and spot markets continue to absorb the asset, then the upper target for AVAX seems more likely to be achieved.
该前景取决于两个因素:如果购买鲸鱼的购买持续并且现货市场继续吸收资产,那么Avax的上层目标似乎更有可能实现。
But if retail investors continue losing interest, it may affect the price movement and increase the possibility of returning to the earlier trading pattern.
但是,如果散户投资者继续失去利息,它可能会影响价格变动并增加返回早期交易模式的可能性。
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