（arweave）亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）：比特币（BTC）在今年晚些时候达到新的历史最高水平之前已经深入降低了。

海斯在一篇新的博客文章中说，比特币的“更有可能”前进的道路是在大规模集会之前从目前的水平下降32％。

According to BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes, Bitcoin (BTC) is likely to experience a deep drawdown before reaching a new all-time high later this year.

根据Bitmex联合创始人Arthur Hayes的说法，比特币（BTC）可能会在今年晚些时候达到新的历史最高水平之前会经历深层的缩写。

Hayes stated in a recent blog post that the “more probable” scenario for Bitcoin is a drop of up to 32% from its current level before a substantial rally.

海耶斯在最近的博客文章中说，比特币的“更可能”方案在实质性集会之前的目前水平下降了32％。

“I don’t think this bull cycle is over, but looking ahead, I think we’re more likely to see Bitcoin drop to $70,000-$75,000 and then hit $250,000 by year-end than to see it continue climbing with no major pullback.”

“我认为这个公牛的周期没有结束，但是展望未来，我认为我们更有可能看到比特币降至70,000-75,000美元，然后逐年达到250,000美元，而不是看到它继续攀升而没有重大回调。透明

Hayes stated that after being bullish earlier this year, his “excitement has vanished” due to bearish signals from the macroeconomic environment and the crypto industry.

海耶斯说，由于宏观经济环境和加密货币行业的看跌信号，今年早些时候看涨了他的“兴奋消失”。

“Subtle shifts in central bank balance sheet levels, the rate of banking credit expansion, the relationship between the US 10-yr treasury/stocks/Bitcoin prices, and the狂野Official Trump (TRUMP) memecoin price action gave me a gut feeling. It’s similar to what I felt in late 2021, right before the crypto markets crashed.”

“中央银行资产负债表，银行信贷的增长率，美国10年库存/股票/比特币价格之间的关系的细微转变以及狂野官方特朗普官方（特朗普）纪念价格行动给我带来了直觉。这类似于我在加密货币市场崩溃之前的2021年末的感受。”

Another factor contributing to the BitMEX co-founder’s change in sentiment is the slowing rate of money supply increase in the world’s first, second, and fourth-largest economies.

促成Bitmex联合创始人情绪变化的另一个因素是，全球第一，第二和第四大经济体的货币供应率降低了。

“A pullback of this magnitude would be brutal because the level of bullishness right now is so high. Trump keeps saying the right things with these executive orders, whether it’s boosting sentiment by pardoning Ross Ulbricht or stoking the degen crypto spirits with his recent memecoin launch. However, the slowdown in dirty fiat creation in Pax Americana, China, and Japan is not being fully appreciated.”

“这样的回调将是残酷的，因为现在的看涨程度如此之高。特朗普一直在用这些执行命令说正确的话，无论是通过赦免罗斯·乌尔布里希特（Ross Ulbricht）还是通过他最近的成员发射来促进罗斯·乌尔布里希特（Ross Ulbricht）的情感。但是，在Pax Americana，中国和日本，肮脏的菲亚特创建放缓并未得到完全赞赏。”

Bitcoin is currently trading at $102,555.

比特币目前的交易价格为102,555美元。

AI-Generated Image: Midjourney

AI生成的图像：Midjourney