Arweave (AR) 价格预测 2025-2030：AR 加密货币会爆炸吗？

尽管 Arweave 与比特币的相关性很小，但它在不断发展的加密货币领域引起了广泛关注。其创新的数据存储解决方案无疑有所帮助。

Arweave (AR) price has been struggling to keep up with the rest of the crypto market. Despite Bitcoin (BTC) rallying to nearly $66,000 this week, lifting most cryptocurrencies, AR price failed to show the same optimism.

Arweave (AR) 的价格一直在努力跟上加密货币市场的其他部分。尽管比特币 (BTC) 本周上涨至近 66,000 美元，提振了大多数加密货币，但 AR 价格却未能表现出同样的乐观情绪。

However, several factors could influence Arweave crypto’s future trajectory and determine its direction.

然而，有几个因素可能会影响 Arweave 加密货币的未来轨迹并决定其方向。

Arweave’s Strategical Move to Push AR Price Higher?

Arweave 的战略举措是推高 AR 价格？

Arweave 的战略举措是推高 AR 价格？

According to a recent Arweave retweet, over 2 million AO tokens have been minted for a 100% fair launch, becoming transferable in February 2025.

根据 Arweave 最近的转发，已经铸造了超过 200 万个 AO 代币，以 100% 公平发布，并于 2025 年 2 月开始可转让。

This strategic move aims to boost Arweave’s market presence by granting AO tokens entirely to AR holders. With this move, the AR price might gain a boost before the minting completes in Q1,2025.

这一战略举措旨在通过将 AO 代币完全授予 AR 持有者来提高 Arweave 的市场影响力。通过这一举措，AR 价格可能会在 2025 年第一季度铸造完成之前获得提振。

Fundamental Overview Highlights Optimism in the AR Crypto

基本面概述凸显了 AR 加密货币的乐观情绪

基本面概述凸显了 AR 加密货币的乐观情绪

Arweave has a solid presence on X (formerly Twitter). Its X account is 7 years and 4 months old with 100.182K followers. It gained 4 followers in just one day, sparking curiosity about its future trajectory. This article explores the factors that could influence the Arweave crypto price and determine its direction.

Arweave 在 X（以前的 Twitter）上有着稳固的影响力。其 X 账户已有 7 年零 4 个月的历史，拥有 100,182K 关注者。它在短短一天内就增加了 4 名粉丝，引发了人们对其未来发展轨迹的好奇。本文探讨了可能影响 Arweave 加密货币价格并确定其方向的因素。

With 4.435K posts, Arweave has established itself in the crypto community. On GitHub, Arweave’s account has been active for over 7 years and has earned 1800 stars from developers. That indicates it has a robust development activity.

Arweave 拥有 443.5 万个帖子，已在加密货币社区中站稳了脚跟。在 GitHub 上，Arweave 的账户已经活跃了 7 年多，并获得了开发者的 1800 颗星。这表明它具有强劲的开发活动。

The project is fundamentally sound, boasting a security score of 73.03 and a BBB tier security class rating. Overall, Arweave’s development activity and social dominance are on the incline. This growing social presence could positively impact the Arweave price. That’s because increased user participation may drive demand and boost the value of AR crypto.

该项目基本健全，安全评分为73.03，安全等级为BBB级。总体而言，Arweave 的开发活动和社会主导地位呈上升趋势。这种不断增长的社交存在可能会对 Arweave 的价格产生积极影响。这是因为用户参与度的增加可能会推动需求并提升 AR 加密货币的价值。

Similarly, further on-chain data highlights that the Arweave crypto’s address count has skyrocketed in recent years. Before the last quarter of 2020, it was below 30K. However, over the next four years, it saw phenomenal growth. As of now, the total address count has reached 211.366K. That showcases a massive adoption rate for this cryptocurrency.

同样，进一步的链上数据突显出 Arweave 加密货币的地址数量近年来猛增。 2020 年最后一个季度之前，该数字低于 30K。然而，在接下来的四年里，它出现了惊人的增长。截至目前，总地址数已达到211.366K。这展示了这种加密货币的巨大采用率。

Additionally, Arweave’s transaction growth in 2024 has been remarkable. In September alone, there were 898.344 million transactions. This surge in transaction count underscores the increasing trust and confidence investors have in AR crypto.

此外，Arweave 2024 年的交易增长也十分引人注目。仅9月份，交易笔数为89834.4万笔。交易数量的激增凸显了投资者对 AR 加密货币日益增长的信任和信心。

Despite Optimism On-chain, What’s Hindering AR Price Potential?

尽管链上乐观，但是什么阻碍了 AR 价格潜力？

尽管链上乐观，但是什么阻碍了 AR 价格潜力？

According to Coinglass, AR crypto’s OI-weighted funding rates have climbed to a positive 0.0104%. This is signaling a shift towards market optimism and traders betting on the increased potential for the AR price to rise.

据 Coinglass 称，AR 加密货币的 OI 加权融资利率已攀升至 0.0104%。这标志着市场转向乐观，交易者押注 AR 价格上涨的潜力更大。

Similarly, AR crypto’s open interest has reached $94.92 million, marking an 11.52% increase from the previous session. In the past 24 hours, derivatives volume surged by 150.28%, bringing the total traded value to $282.03 million. This increase reflects the growing demand for AR crypto in the derivatives market.

同样，AR加密货币的持仓量也达到了9492万美元，较上一交易日增长了11.52%。过去24小时内，衍生品交易量激增150.28%，总交易额达到2.8203亿美元。这一增长反映出衍生品市场对 AR 加密货币的需求不断增长。

The derivatives data indicate a generally bullish outlook. However, bearish activity is hindering growth, as seen in this week’s liquidation data. On the 23rd, high ‘shorts’ liquidations led to a green candle, reflecting optimistic sentiment.

衍生品数据显示前景普遍看涨。然而，正如本周的清算数据所示，看跌活动正在阻碍增长。 23 日，高额“空头”清算导致一根绿色蜡烛，反映出乐观情绪。

However, bearish traders attempted to halt this momentum, resulting in strong long liquidations versus weak shorts this week. Despite these bearish efforts, the current support level remains intact, and consolidation in the AR price was seen. In the broader picture, funding rate data shows that bulls have been dominant this month. If short positions continue to liquidate, bears may ultimately lose ground to the bulls.

然而，看跌交易者试图阻止这一势头，导致本周多头清算强劲，空头疲弱。尽管有这些看跌的努力，当前的支撑位仍然完好无损，并且 AR 价格出现盘整。从更广泛的角度来看，融资利率数据显示本月多头占据主导地位。如果空头头寸继续清算，空头可能最终会输给多头。

What’s Ahead for the AR Price?

AR 价格前景如何？

AR 价格前景如何？

The daily chart for the AR price reveals a strong start in Q1 and Q2 of 2024. By the end of May, the price peaked at $49.51 but then declined in June.

AR 价格的日线图显示 2024 年第一季度和第二季度的强劲开局。到 5 月底，价格达到 49.51 美元的峰值，但随后在 6 月份下跌。

Selling pressure from a developed supply zone pushed the Arweave price down to $16 by August in Q3 2024. However, bulls stepped in on August 5th, halting the decline.

来自发达供应区的抛售压力导致 Arweave 价格在 2024 年第三季度的 8 月份跌至 16 美元。然而，多头于 8 月 5 日介入，阻止了跌势。

Throughout September, the price attempted to rise but was hindered by the 200-day EMA on the daily chart.

整个 9 月，价格试图上涨，但受到日线图上 200 日均线的阻碍。

Overall, the price action is confined within a descending wedge. Depending on momentum, it could rise towards the upper boundary, potentially doubling in value.

总体而言，价格走势被限制在下降楔形内。根据动量，它可能会上升到上限，价值可能会翻倍。

Conversely, if bearish pressure persists, the AR price might fall back to the lower boundary. A breach of this lower boundary could lead to further bearish momentum.

相反，如果看跌压力持续存在，AR价格可能会回落至下限。突破这一下限可能会导致进一步的看跌势头。