阿瑟·海耶斯警告：这只是第一波，第二波崩溃即将到来

虽然加密世界正在努力适应最近几天经历的波动，但另一个警告已经到来。亿万富翁投资者阿瑟·海耶斯

Crypto billionaire Arthur Hayes made another bold prediction that a second wave will come shortly after the last crypto market crash. He believes that the current relief is only temporary and that market volatility will continue in stocks and Bitcoin and altcoin markets.

加密货币亿万富翁阿瑟·海耶斯 (Arthur Hayes) 做出了另一个大胆的预测，即在上次加密货币市场崩盘后不久，第二波浪潮将到来。他认为，目前的缓解只是暂时的，股票、比特币和山寨币市场的市场波动将持续。

Alarming statements from crypto billionaire Hayes

加密货币亿万富翁海耶斯的令人震惊的声明

While the crypto world is trying to get used to the volatility experienced in recent days, another warning has come. Billionaire investor Arthur Hayes, one of the founders of BitMEX, claimed that the markets are not yet out of danger and that a second wave of collapse is approaching.

虽然加密世界正在努力适应最近几天经历的波动，但另一个警告已经到来。 BitMEX 创始人之一、亿万富翁投资者阿瑟·海耶斯 (Arthur Hayes) 声称，市场尚未脱离危险，第二波崩盘即将到来。

As we reported at Kriptokoin.com, global stock and cryptocurrency markets have shown signs of recovery after the sharp decline experienced in the past days. Japan’s Nikkei index jumped by 10% after the previous decline, while increases were also observed in the global crypto market and US stock indices. However, this situation should not mislead investors.

正如我们在 Kriptokoin.com 上报道的那样，全球股票和加密货币市场在经历了过去几天的大幅下跌后已显示出复苏的迹象。日本日经指数继上次下跌后上涨了 10%，全球加密货币市场和美国股指也出现上涨。不过，这种情况不应误导投资者。

BitMEX veteran Arthur Hayes stated that the rise was only the “first wave” and that the markets were still in great danger. According to Hayes, the markets had overcome the first shock, but now a period is beginning in which the real problem, over-indebted investors, will emerge. He predicts that this situation will lead to a second wave of correction in traditional markets. On the other hand, a possible support package from the US Federal Reserve means that the markets could suffer more until Friday. Hayes states that the volatility of the market will continue, considering the tensions in the Middle East.

BitMEX 资深人士 Arthur Hayes 表示，此次上涨只是“第一波”，市场仍处于巨大危险之中。海耶斯表示，市场已经克服了第一次冲击，但现在一个时期即将开始，真正的问题——过度负债的投资者——将会出现。他预计，这种情况将导致传统市场出现第二波调整。另一方面，美联储可能推出的支持计划意味着周五之前市场可能会遭受更多损失。海耶斯表示，考虑到中东的紧张局势，市场的波动将持续下去。

Fear index is quite high

恐惧指数相当高

The fact that the fear index VIX rose to its fourth highest level in 40 years drew attention. ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood likened the situation to Black Monday in 1987, the Lehman crisis in 2008, and the Covid-19 crash in 2020. The situation was also aggravated by the fact that investors who carried out carry trades in Japanese yen closed their positions at the same time.

恐惧指数VIX升至40年来的第四高位，这一事实引起了人们的关注。 ARK Invest首席执行官Cathie Wood将这种情况比作1987年的黑色星期一、2008年的雷曼危机和2020年的Covid-19崩盘。进行日元套利交易的投资者平仓也加剧了这种情况同时。

Wood stated that the US employment and PMI data came in below expectations, and the interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan left investors in a difficult situation. Stating that the 10-year US bond interest rate should be around 2% according to the gold/silver ratio, Wood said that the decline in the dollar index encouraged Bitcoin purchases, but the uncertainty in the market made investors nervous.

伍德表示，美国就业和PMI数据低于预期，日本央行加息让投资者陷入困境。伍德表示，按照黄金/白银比率，10年期美国国债利率应该在2%左右，美元指数下跌鼓励了比特币购买，但市场的不确定性让投资者感到紧张。

On the other hand, the US Treasury Department’s start of a $30 billion bond buyback per month could support the crypto market. The Bitcoin price rose above $55,800, but analysts warn that the decline could continue. If the psychological resistance of $50,000 is broken again, the critical support level of $45,156 could be tested again. As a result, crypto markets are in great uncertainty. Arthur Hayes’ warning invites investors to be careful, while raising important question marks about the future of the markets.

另一方面，美国财政部开始每月 300 亿美元的债券回购可能会支撑加密货币市场。比特币价格升至 55,800 美元以上，但分析师警告称，跌势可能会持续。如果50,000美元的心理阻力再次被突破，则可能会再次测试45,156美元的关键支撑位。因此，加密货币市场存在很大的不确定性。阿瑟·海耶斯的警告要求投资者保持谨慎，同时对市场的未来提出了重要的疑问。

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