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在大胆的新研究更新中,方舟投资对比特币[BTC]设定了非常乐观的前景,预测加密货币可能会增加到240万美元
ARK Invest, the investment firm known for its bold predictions, has set a strikingly optimistic outlook for Bitcoin (BTC), projecting the cryptocurrency could surge to $2.4 million by 2030 in a bullish scenario.
Ark Invest是一家以其大胆预测而闻名的投资公司,为比特币(BTC)树立了非常乐观的前景,预计到2030年,在看涨的情况下,加密货币可能会飙升至240万美元。
The firm has also revised its base and bear case forecasts to $1.2 million and $500,000, respectively.
该公司还将其基本和熊案的预测分别修改为120万美元和50万美元。
3 reasons behind the Bitcoin prediction
比特币预测背后的3个原因
This ambitious forecast hinges on three key factors. First, increasing institutional allocation as asset managers and corporate treasuries deepen their involvement in Bitcoin.
这种雄心勃勃的预测取决于三个关键因素。首先,随着资产经理和企业库的资产经理和企业库的增加,他们加深了对比特币的参与。
The next is the “digital gold” narrative, positioning BTC as a potential store of value with a market cap comparable to gold’s $18 trillion.
下一个是“数字黄金”的叙述,将BTC定位为潜在的价值存储,市值与Gold的18万亿美元相当。
Finally, growing demand from emerging markets where Bitcoin could serve as a hedge against inflation plays a major role as well.
最后,新兴市场的需求不断增长,在这些新兴市场中,比特币可以作为对冲通货膨胀的对冲也起着重要作用。
Should ARK’s most bullish prediction come to fruition, it would catapult Bitcoin’s market capitalization to an astonishing $49 trillion, surpassing the combined GDP of the U.S. and China.
如果方舟最看涨的预测得以实现,它将弹射比特币的市值达到49万亿美元,超过了美国和中国的GDP。
Now, as Bitcoin continues its upward momentum, trading at $94,431.90 at press time after a 1.77% increase in the past 24 hours, the market sentiment is leaning toward the bulls.
现在,随着比特币在过去24小时内增长1.77%后,发稿时的交易量为94,431.90美元,市场情绪倾向于公牛。
Inasmuch, indicators like the RSI and CMF are suggesting stronger buying pressure than selling.
INASMUCH,RSI和CMF之类的指标表明,购买压力比出售更强大。
While ARK Invest’s $2.4 million price prediction may seem audacious, the firm’s thesis, driven by Bitcoin’s scarcity, increasing adoption, and alignment with macroeconomic trends, remains compelling.
尽管ARK Invest的240万美元的价格预测似乎大胆,但该公司的论文是由比特币的稀缺性,采用增加以及与宏观经济趋势保持一致的驱动的,仍然令人信服。
However, this dynamic presents a crucial juncture that warrants attention from both optimistic investors and skeptical observers.
但是,这种动态提出了一个至关重要的关头,值得乐观的投资者和持怀疑态度的观察者的关注。
Community reacts
社区反应
Commenting on the same, an X (formerly Twitter) user — Mantan, Founder and CEO at TeaFi Official, noted,
在对此发表评论时,X(以前为Twitter)用户 - 蒂菲官员的创始人兼首席执行官曼丹(Mantan)指出,
“That prediction grabs attention, but it’s the conviction behind it that matters. Bitcoin’s ceiling keeps rising because its fundamentals keep evolving.”
“这种预测引起了人们的注意,但重要的是它的信念很重要。比特币的天花板不断上升,因为其基本原理不断发展。”
However, there were many who were concerned by such predictions, as noted by another X user who said,
但是,有许多人对此预测感到关注,正如另一个X用户所说的那样,
“A $2.4M BTC target by 2030 implies extreme assumptions on adoption, monetary debasement, and institutional allocation. While visionary, such forecasts warrant caution—valuation models must balance enthusiasm with macroeconomic realities and risk-adjusted return expectations.”
“到2030年,一个耗资240万美元的BTC目标意味着对采用,货币贬低和机构分配的极端假设。尽管有远见的人,这种预测值得谨慎,但评估模型必须与宏观经济现实和风险调整后的回报期望之间的热情平衡。”
Will the prediction come true?
预测会成真吗?
AMBCrypto’s analysis suggests that the ongoing consolidation phase for Bitcoin may continue for another week, allowing liquidations to accumulate around the $96k mark.
Ambcrypto的分析表明,比特币的持续合并阶段可能会持续一周,从而使清算物可以累积在$ 96K的大关附近。
This buildup could pave the way for a sharp move higher, as Bitcoin is naturally drawn to liquidity.
由于比特币自然吸引了流动性,因此这种积累可能为更高的急剧移动铺平了道路。
The price may then target the $100k level, a key psychological resistance, or even reach $103k, where a significant liquidity cluster awaits.
然后,价格可能以10万美元的水平,关键的心理阻力,甚至达到103,000美元,在那里有很大的流动性集群在等待。
This potential price action highlights the importance of watching Bitcoin’s short-term movements as it nears crucial thresholds that could determine its next major move.
这种潜在的价格动作强调了观看比特币短期运动的重要性,因为它接近至关重要的阈值,这可以决定其下一个重大行动。
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