分析师预测比特币 2024 年将飙升至 10 万美元，2028 年目标将达到 50 万美元

量化分析师 PlanB 预测，比特币 (BTC) 的价值将大幅飙升，预计到 2024 年底可能达到六位数。根据历史趋势，他认为 BTC 的价格将翻倍，以弥补 4 月份减半后矿工经历的收入损失。他的库存流量模型比较了流通量与年产量，进一步表明四年内的价格目标为 500,000 美元。 PlanB 维持其模型的有效性，预计在比特币采用率达到 50% 之前将出现指数回报。

Bitcoin Poised for Six-Figure Surge and $500,000 Target by 2028, Predicts Renowned Analyst PlanB

著名分析师 PlanB 预测，到 2028 年，比特币有望实现六位数的飙升，目标达到 50 万美元

Renowned quantitative analyst PlanB, widely respected for his innovative stock-to-flow (S2F) model, has issued a bold prediction: Bitcoin (BTC) is on track to reach $100,000 by the end of 2024 and soar to an astounding $500,000 within the subsequent four years.

因其创新的存量到流量（S2F）模型而广受尊敬的著名量化分析师 PlanB 发布了一个大胆的预测：比特币（BTC）有望在 2024 年底达到 10 万美元，并在随后的时间内飙升至惊人的 50 万美元。四年。

In a recently released strategy session, PlanB shared his compelling insights with his vast YouTube audience of over 157,000 subscribers. He meticulously analyzed historical patterns, particularly the impact of Bitcoin halvings on price action, to formulate his bullish forecast.

在最近发布的战略会议上，PlanB 与超过 157,000 名订阅者的庞大 YouTube 观众分享了他令人信服的见解。他仔细分析了历史模式，特别是比特币减半对价格走势的影响，以制定他的看涨预测。

"Based on previous halvings, it's highly probable that Bitcoin's price will double its current value to restore the revenue losses incurred by miners," PlanB explained. "The halving event in April witnessed a 50% reduction in mining revenue, and historically, this shortfall has been recovered within four to eight months."

PlanB 解释说：“根据之前的减半情况，比特币的价格很可能会翻倍，以弥补矿工遭受的收入损失。” “4月份的减半事件导致挖矿收入减少了50%，从历史上看，这一缺口在四到八个月内就得到了弥补。”

"This year, 2024, falls well within that recovery window. The only way for mining revenue to fully recover is for the price to double, implying a significant increase from its current level of $60,000," PlanB asserted.

PlanB 断言：“今年，即 2024 年，正好处于该复苏窗口之内。采矿收入完全恢复的唯一方法是价格翻倍，这意味着比目前 60,000 美元的水平大幅上涨。”

PlanB's S2F model, which compares the ratio of Bitcoin's circulating supply to its annual production rate, also supports his bullish outlook. "The updated S2F model maintains its target of $500,000 on average for the 2024-2028 period," PlanB revealed.

PlanB 的 S2F 模型比较了比特币的流通供应量与其年生产率的比率，也支持了他的看涨前景。 PlanB 透露：“更新后的 S2F 模型维持了 2024-2028 年期间平均 50 万美元的目标。”

"Furthermore, the model's error margin consistently decreases after halving events. This pattern indicates that the Bitcoin price tends to gradually converge with the model's predicted value. We're already witnessing this trend in the aftermath of the recent halving," PlanB noted.

PlanB 指出：“此外，模型的误差幅度在减半事件后持续下降。这种模式表明比特币价格往往逐渐与模型的预测值趋同。在最近的减半之后，我们已经见证了这一趋势。”

Regarding the timing of Bitcoin's bull market peak, PlanB projected a potential top in 2025. "Historically, bull market peaks have occurred approximately one and a half years after halving events," he explained.

关于比特币牛市见顶的时间，PlanB 预计 2025 年可能见顶。“从历史上看，牛市见顶通常发生在减半事件发生后大约一年半，”他解释道。

PlanB expressed unwavering confidence in the S2F model's validity, emphasizing that exponential returns are likely to continue until Bitcoin reaches 50% adoption, a milestone that is still considerably distant.

PlanB 对 S2F 模型的有效性表示坚定的信心，并强调指数回报可能会持续到比特币采用率达到 50% 为止，而这一里程碑仍然相当遥远。

"We are currently at a meager adoption rate of 1% to 10%. Based on this trajectory, I anticipate exponential returns in Bitcoin's future," PlanB declared.

PlanB 宣称：“我们目前的采用率仅为 1% 到 10%。根据这一轨迹，我预计比特币未来将出现指数级回报。”

Bitcoin's current trading price of $62,868 reflects a promising 6.5% increase over the past 24 hours. PlanB's insightful analysis and bullish predictions have garnered significant attention, reinforcing Bitcoin's position as a transformative asset with remarkable growth potential.

比特币目前的交易价格为 62,868 美元，在过去 24 小时内有望上涨 6.5%。 PlanB 富有洞察力的分析和乐观的预测引起了广泛关注，巩固了比特币作为具有显着增长潜力的变革性资产的地位。