继比特币（BTC）领先之后，山寨币飙升，但专家警告谨慎

继比特币（BTC）在一些分析师所说的“有史以来最大的加密货币牛市”中处于领先地位之后，山寨币上周飙升。

Altcoins continued their rally last week, heeding Bitcoin’s (BTC) call in what some are describing as “the biggest crypto bull run ever.” However, one cryptocurrency trading expert warned to tread carefully, as all cryptocurrencies could soon start bleeding before “sending them much higher.”

山寨币上周继续上涨，响应比特币（BTC）的号召，一些人将其描述为“有史以来最大的加密货币牛市”。然而，一位加密货币交易专家警告称，要谨慎行事，因为所有加密货币可能很快就会开始下跌，然后“大幅上涨”。

In the past seven days, US-based altcoin projects such as Ripple’s XRP, IOHK’s Cardano (ADA), and Algorand’s (ALGO) took the spotlight. XRP, for example, surged by over 83% in a week, as reported by Finbold, breaking the $1 mark and eyeing $8.

在过去的 7 天里，Ripple 的 XRP、IOHK 的 Cardano (ADA) 和 Algorand 的 (ALGO) 等美国山寨币项目成为人们关注的焦点。例如，据 Finbold 报道，XRP 在一周内飙升了 83% 以上，突破了 1 美元大关，目标是 8 美元。

Meanwhile, CrypNuevo expressed his belief that this bull rally may encounter resistance and experience a “shallow pullback” in the coming days. The analyst shared this analysis on November 14, observing BTC psychological levels and TradingView’s Bitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D).

与此同时，CrypNuevo 表示，他相信这次牛市反弹可能会遇到阻力，并在未来几天经历“小幅回调”。该分析师在 11 月 14 日分享了这一分析，观察了 BTC 心理水平和 TradingView 的比特币优势指数 (BTC.D)。

This scenario could also be influenced by the S&P 500 6,000 psychological price level, pulling everything down in a market correction that is long overdue.

这种情况也可能受到标准普尔 500 指数 6,000 点心理价格水平的影响，从而在早该进行的市场调整中拉低一切。

Bitcoin (BTC) price prediction

比特币（BTC）价格预测

The analysis began with a Bitcoin price prediction, suggesting a move up, followed by a pullback to $83,000. “Not necessarily what I think it’ll happen,” CrypNuevo clarified, “but just what would give me the most trade triggers.”

该分析从比特币价格预测开始，建议比特币价格上涨，然后回落至 83,000 美元。 “不一定是我认为会发生的事情，”CrypNuevo 澄清道，“而是最能触发我交易的事情。”

According to the expert, a run to $95,000-$96,000 would present an opportunity to trigger a short against retail, anticipating BTC to reach the much-anticipated $100,000 psychological level. Essentially, this zone would act as a bull trap, generating sufficient liquidity to the downside with long liquidations.

这位专家表示，价格上涨至 95,000 美元至 96,000 美元将提供触发散户空头的机会，预计 BTC 将达到备受期待的 100,000 美元心理水平。本质上，该区域将充当牛市陷阱，通过多头清算产生足够的下行流动性。

However, the long squeeze would likely bounce up again once market makers were done with the retracement.

然而，一旦做市商完成回调，多头挤压可能会再次反弹。

Altcoins: Bleed before being sent “much higher”

山寨币：在“大幅上涨”之前先流血

Interestingly, the analyst has consistently warned of an incoming altseason, observing the BTC.D index. This notion remains valid as Bitcoin’s dominance currently hovers in CrypNuevo’s key range between 60% and 62%.

有趣的是，这位分析师通过观察 BTC.D 指数，一直警告山寨季即将到来。这一概念仍然有效，因为比特币的主导地位目前徘徊在 CrypNuevo 的 60% 到 62% 之间的关键范围内。

In his opinion, if BTC plays out as projected above, altcoins would likely follow, albeit for a “shallow pullback.” Notably, this would create a “great opportunity,” in his words, as the altseason would finally commence after this brief bleed.

在他看来，如果 BTC 的表现如上述预测，山寨币可能会跟随，尽管会出现“小幅回调”。值得注意的是，用他的话说，这将创造一个“绝佳的机会”，因为在短暂的失血之后，山寨季将最终开始。

“Then we could see alts continue to bleed – but at this pace (!) a shallow pullback rather than a deep one – presenting a great opportunity before sending them much higher.”

“然后我们可以看到山寨股继续流血——但按照这个速度（！），只是浅层回调，而不是深度回调——在将它们推高之前，这是一个很好的机会。”

It is crucial to note, however, that even professional traders and prominent analysts like CrypNuevo can be wrong. These analyses do not guarantee the market will behave as expected. Instead, they simply offer valuable insights for traders and investors to consider during their own studies.

然而，值得注意的是，即使是专业交易员和像 CrypNuevo 这样的著名分析师也可能是错误的。这些分析并不能保证市场将按预期运行。相反，它们只是为交易者和投资者在自己的研究过程中提供有价值的见解。

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