山寨币很快就会登上月球吗？

山寨币相对于比特币的运行速度有多快？在 Discover Crypto 播客上，分析师 Kelly Kellam 表示，他相信情况会相对好转

Cryptocurrency prices have been rallying over the past few weeks, and altcoins have largely outperformed Bitcoin.

过去几周，加密货币价格一直在上涨，山寨币的表现很大程度上优于比特币。

On the latest episode of the Discover Crypto podcast, analyst Kelly Kellam discussed the outlook for altcoins and shared his thoughts on how to identify potential buying opportunities.

在最新一期的 Discover Crypto 播客中，分析师 Kelly Kellam 讨论了山寨币的前景，并分享了他对如何识别潜在购买机会的想法。

According to Kellam, one key metric to watch is the Bitcoin dominance chart. He pointed out a bearish divergence on the RSIs and a trend line that has been broken down from and flipped from support to resistance. This trend line now intersects with a multi-year resistance point, and the market is currently hovering right on this line.

凯勒姆表示，值得关注的一项关键指标是比特币的主导地位图表。他指出，相对强弱指数（RSI）出现看跌背离，趋势线已从支撑位跌破并翻转至阻力位。这条趋势线现在与多年阻力点相交，市场目前就徘徊在这条线上。

If altcoins are expected to rally, a breakdown in Bitcoin dominance would be a strong signal. Kellam expects a broad market rally soon and suggests that when Bitcoin dominance breaks down, it will indicate that altcoins are starting to outpace Bitcoin. He believes we are right on the verge of this happening.

如果山寨币预计会上涨，那么比特币主导地位的崩溃将是一个强烈的信号。凯勒姆预计市场很快就会出现广泛反弹，并表示当比特币的主导地位被打破时，这将表明山寨币开始超过比特币。他相信我们正处于这种情况发生的边缘。

The analyst added that the setup on the weekly chart shows a pattern that could take five to six weeks to reach the apex. If the market pushes into this apex and then rejects, a breakdown could occur before reaching the apex. Often, with these tightening patterns, the price action can break at any point after the 70% mark.

这位分析师补充说，周线图上的设置显示出一种可能需要五到六周才能达到顶峰的模式。如果市场推向这个顶点然后拒绝，那么在到达顶点之前可能会发生崩溃。通常，在这些紧缩模式下，价格走势可能会在 70% 大关之后的任何时候突破。

Moving on to specific altcoins, Kellam discussed a strategy for identifying potential buying opportunities on Crypto Banter’s The Sniper Trading show.

接下来讨论具体的山寨币，Kellam 在 Crypto Banter 的《狙击手交易》节目中讨论了识别潜在购买机会的策略。

The normal relative strength index (RSI) on the weekly chart is a powerful tool for buying altcoins, according to the analyst. Anytime the RSI enters below the 40% phase, it has historically been the best time to buy a specific altcoin. For instance, in 2021, the buy zones for Thorchain were at $3, after which it saw a massive increase to $15, marking a 45x return.

分析师表示，周线图上的正常相对强弱指数（RSI）是购买山寨币的有力工具。任何时候 RSI 进入 40% 以下的阶段，从历史上看都是购买特定山寨币的最佳时机。例如，2021 年，Thorchain 的买入区间为 3 美元，此后大幅上涨至 15 美元，回报率为 45 倍。

Currently, Thorchain and other altcoins are entering the 40% RSI zone again, signaling potential buying opportunities. He said that Render is another example where this method has proven effective. The last time Render was in the 40% RSI zone, it was priced at $1.4 and later rallied to $12.

目前，Thorchain 和其他山寨币再次进入 40% RSI 区域，预示着潜在的买入机会。他说，Render 是该方法被证明有效的另一个例子。上次 Render 处于 40% RSI 区域时，其价格为 1.4 美元，后来反弹至 12 美元。

Finally, the analyst noted that Dogecoin and Cardano are hitting similar phases, suggesting that significant movements might be imminent. He advised checking multiple altcoins to see if they are in a “sweet spot” for buying based on their RSI levels.

最后，分析师指出，狗狗币和卡尔达诺正处于相似的阶段，这表明重大走势可能即将发生。他建议根据 RSI 水平检查多种山寨币，看看它们是否处于购买的“最佳点”。