2025 年山寨币季节预测：XRP、DOGE、Solana 引领潮流，市值超过 $10B

该预测表明，受类似于历史性事件之前观察到的模式的技术指标的推动，当前估值将增长五倍

This projection indicates a fivefold increase from current valuations, driven by technical indicators resembling patterns observed before the historic 2021 bull run. If the pattern plays out, a historic alt season could be around the corner, as highlighted by crypto analyst Sensi in the chart below on X.

这一预测表明，在类似于 2021 年历史性牛市之前观察到的技术指标的推动下，估值将比当前估值增长五倍。如果这种模式出现，历史性的山寨币季节可能即将到来，正如加密货币分析师 Sensi 在 X 的下图中所强调的那样。

Market data highlights the growing readiness for this shift. Currently, the combined valuation of cryptocurrencies, excluding Bitcoin, hovers near $1.6 trillion. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s December 2024 volatility, ranging between $90,000 and $110,000, is seen as laying a solid groundwork for a significant altcoin rally. 2025 Price predictions for altcoins suggest a bullish Q1.

市场数据突显出人们对这一转变的准备日益增强。目前，不包括比特币的加密货币总估值徘徊在 1.6 万亿美元附近。与此同时，比特币 2024 年 12 月的波动范围在 90,000 美元到 110,000 美元之间，被视为为山寨币的大幅上涨奠定了坚实的基础。 2025 年山寨币的价格预测显示第一季度看涨。

In December, the alt season index, which tracks altcoin performance relative to Bitcoin, dropped to 47 from an earlier peak of 88, according to Blockchaincenter. Simultaneously, Bitcoin dominance stabilized at 56%, signaling a potential transition from Bitcoin-led market movements to a phase dominated by altcoins.

根据 Blockchaincenter 的数据，12 月，追踪山寨币相对于比特币表现的山寨币季节指数从之前的峰值 88 跌至 47。与此同时，比特币的主导地位稳定在 56%，这表明比特币主导的市场走势可能会转变为山寨币主导的阶段。

XRP, DOGE, Solana Leads the Charge

XRP、DOGE、Solana 引领潮流

As January 2025 kicks off, optimism is driving significant upward momentum. Ripple's XRP, for instance, has surged 14% in recent sessions, while Solana (SOL), Dogecoin (DOGE), Cardano (ADA), and Avalanche (AVAX) have also posted gains between 5% and 9%. This wave of activity suggests that the altcoin correction phase might be behind us.

随着 2025 年 1 月的到来，乐观情绪正在推动显着的上升势头。例如，Ripple 的 XRP 在最近几个交易日飙升了 14%，而 Solana (SOL)、Dogecoin (DOGE)、Cardano (ADA) 和 Avalanche (AVAX) 也上涨了 5% 至 9%。这波活动表明山寨币修正阶段可能已经过去。

“On top of this, institutional adoption is expected to reach unparalleled levels,” noted a recent Steno Research report, which predicted Bitcoin and Ethereum hitting $150,000 and $8,000, respectively, by year-end. This forecast is underpinned by declining interest rates, improved liquidity, and a more favorable regulatory climate for cryptocurrencies.

Steno Research 最近的一份报告指出：“除此之外，机构采用率预计将达到无与伦比的水平。”该报告预测，到年底，比特币和以太坊的价格将分别达到 15 万美元和 8,000 美元。这一预测的基础是利率下降、流动性改善以及加密货币更有利的监管环境。

The 2025 altcoin season could be “undeniably unique” due to the prolonged influence of Bitcoin spot ETFs—a feature absent in prior bull runs. As Bitcoin dominance stabilizes, altcoins are expected to outperforme, heralding a new era for the market.

由于比特币现货 ETF 的长期影响，2025 年山寨币季节可能“无可否认是独一无二的”——这是之前牛市中所没有的特征。随着比特币主导地位的稳定，山寨币预计将跑赢大盘，预示着市场的新时代。

AI Meme Tokens Surpass $10B Market Cap

AI Meme 代币市值突破 10B 美元

The market cap of AI Meme tokens has now reached new heights, surging 25.2% over the last 24 hours and hitting $10.38 billion, with a trading volume of approximately $2.70 billion.

AI Meme 代币的市值现已达到新高，在过去 24 小时内飙升 25.2%，达到 103.8 亿美元，交易量约为 27 亿美元。

As we move forward, several key events are expected to influence the market direction, including token unlocks, the Solana ETF approval deadline, and the rise of AI-driven tokens like ai16z. These milestones will continue to shape the market narrative and potentially amplify the momentum already in play.

随着我们的前进，预计几个关键事件将影响市场方向，包括代币解锁、Solana ETF 批准截止日期以及 ai16z 等人工智能驱动代币的崛起。这些里程碑将继续塑造市场叙事，并有可能放大已有的势头。

Altcoins are now entering a critical phase. While Bitcoin’s dominance remains a crucial metric, the anticipated recovery in the alt season index hints at a forthcoming shift. Analysts argue that a stable Bitcoin price, combined with waning dominance, is often the precursor to a robust altcoin market surge.

山寨币现在正进入一个关键阶段。虽然比特币的主导地位仍然是一个关键指标，但山寨季指数的预期复苏暗示着即将发生的转变。分析师认为，稳定的比特币价格加上主导地位的减弱往往是山寨币市场强劲飙升的前兆。