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Altcoin季节是否即将到来?分析师指出,周期性低点和比特币的主导地位是Altcoin Rally的潜在前体。
Altcoin season: will it stay or will it go? As Bitcoin continues its dominance, analysts are eyeing cyclical lows in the altcoin market, sparking discussions about a potential altcoin rally.
Altcoin季节:会留下还是会去?随着比特币继续进行的主导地位,分析师正在关注Altcoin市场中的周期性低点,引发了关于潜在山寨币集会的讨论。
Decoding the Altcoin Season
解码Altcoin季节
A recent analysis highlights a key indicator: the $TOTAL3ESBTC chart. This chart tracks the ratio of the total altcoin market cap to Bitcoin, excluding stablecoins. The analyst, Prometheus on X, notes that previous market cycles showed deviations below cyclical range lows just as Bitcoin entered a new price discovery phase. These deviations were marked by Bitcoin absorbing liquidity, outperforming altcoins, and then followed by an aggressive rebound in the altcoin market.
最近的分析强调了一个关键指标:总3ESBTC图表。该图表跟踪总山币市值与比特币的比率,不包括Stablecoins。分析师X上的Prometheus指出,以前的市场周期在比特币进入新的价格发现阶段时显示出低于周期性范围的偏差。这些偏差的特征是比特币吸收流动性,胜过山寨币,然后在Altcoin市场中进行了积极反弹。
The Cyclical Lows: A Repeat Performance?
周期性低:重复表现?
According to the analyst, the current cycle mirrors past trends, with Bitcoin dominance expanding and BTC pushing higher. This suggests that Bitcoin will continue to absorb liquidity for now. However, the analyst calls for the beginning of the "money printer" phase, indicating the potential for an altcoin-led breakout when BTC cools off. History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. If the analyst is right, then get ready to put on your dancing shoes.
根据分析师的说法,当前的周期反映了过去的趋势,比特币的优势扩大,BTC越来越高。这表明比特币目前将继续吸收流动性。但是,分析师要求开始“货币打印机”阶段的开始,表明BTC冷却时有可能出现由Altcoin主导的突破。历史不会重演,但经常押韵。如果分析师是正确的,请准备穿上舞鞋。
Timing is Everything
时机就是一切
The analysis also cautions against mistiming the altcoin move. While some traders associate Bitcoin's rally with altcoin growth, history indicates that altcoin rallies typically occur when Bitcoin pauses or retraces slightly. This allows liquidity to shift from Bitcoin into altcoins, triggering explosive but short-lived rallies.
该分析还警告不要将山寨币移动弄乱。尽管一些交易者将比特币与替代币增长相关联,但历史表明,当比特币暂停或稍微追溯时,山寨币集会通常发生。这使流动性可以从比特币转移到山寨币,从而触发爆炸性但短暂的集会。
Ethereum's Retail Exodus
以太坊的零售出埃及记
While altcoins are poised for a potential rally, Ethereum faces a more nuanced situation. Data reveals a decline in retail interest in ETH, with traders selling as the price stagnates. This contrasts with whale activity, which shows gradual accumulation of ETH. Meanwhile, the altcoin season index is declining significantly, signaling Bitcoin season as capital rotates to BTC.
尽管Altcoins有望进行潜在的集会,但以太坊面临的情况更为细微。数据表明,ETH零售利息的下降,交易者的价格停滞不前。这与鲸鱼活动形成鲜明对比,鲸鱼活动表明ETH的逐渐积累。同时,AltCoin季节指数正在大大下降,随着资本旋转到BTC,比特币季节标志着比特币季节。
A Contrarian View
逆势观点
It's worth noting that the crypto market is inherently unpredictable, and no analysis can guarantee future outcomes. While the analyst's insights are compelling, it's crucial to conduct thorough research and exercise caution when making investment decisions.
值得注意的是,加密市场本质上是不可预测的,没有分析可以保证未来的结果。尽管分析师的见解令人信服,但在做出投资决策时要进行彻底的研究和谨慎至关重要。
Conclusion
结论
So, will the altcoin season arrive? While uncertainty prevails, analysts' calls and cyclical lows offer a glimmer of hope for altcoin enthusiasts. Keep your eyes peeled, stay informed, and remember to enjoy the wild ride that is the crypto market!
那么,Altcoin季节会到来吗?尽管不确定性盛行,但分析师的电话和周期性低点为Altcoin爱好者带来了一丝希望。保持眼睛剥落,保持了解,并记住享受加密市场的野外旅程!
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