Altcoin Rally希望比特币激增后上升

从历史上看，比特币倾向于领导集会。一旦结算，其他硬币通常开始移动。这种模式在过去的公牛跑中播放了

Bitcoin recently hit a new all-time high above $111,000, sparking interest in the broader crypto market. After a small pullback from the highs, the focus is turning to altcoins, with several showing early signs of movement. Solana rose 4%, XRP lifted 1%, and Cardano saw a 2% gain. These numbers have led some to believe that the next stage of the market cycle could be near.

比特币最近在111,000美元以上的历史最高高中达到了新的高度，这引起了更广泛的加密货币市场的兴趣。从高点出现小的回调后，焦点转向山寨币，其中几个显示了早期的运动迹象。 Solana上升了4％，XRP提高了1％，Cardano的增长率为2％。这些数字使一些人相信市场周期的下一个阶段可能已经接近。

Historically, Bitcoin tends to lead a rally. Once it settles, other coins usually begin to move. This pattern has played out in past bull runs, and many traders now expect the same again. They are watching closely for any signs of capital rotating from Bitcoin into altcoins.

从历史上看，比特币倾向于领导集会。一旦结算，其他硬币通常开始移动。这种模式在过去的公牛跑中已经发挥了作用，许多交易者现在再次期望同样。他们正在密切关注从比特币旋转到Altcoins的任何资本迹象。

Bitget Research Chief Analyst Ryan Lee told CoinDesk that the start of an altcoin run may depend on a drop in Bitcoin’s market dominance. If that happens, it could open the door for coins like Solana and XRP to gain more ground. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s dominance stands at around 60.58%, according to CoinGecko.

BitGET研究主管Ryan Lee告诉Coindesk，Altcoin运行的开始可能取决于比特币市场优势的下降。如果发生这种情况，它可以为Solana和XRP等硬币打开门，以获得更多的地面。根据Coingecko的说法，在写作时，比特币的统治地位约为60.58％。

Similarly, eToro Australia analyst Reece Hobson told Decrypt that two conditions could set off an altcoin rally. First, he says more liquidity needs to flow into the system, likely through monetary easing. Second, Bitcoin dominance would need to hit the 70% range. Until then, altcoin gains may remain limited.

同样，澳大利亚Etoro分析师Reece Hobson告诉解密，有两个条件可能引发Altcoin集会。首先，他说，更多的流动性需要通过货币宽松而流入系统。其次，比特币优势需要达到70％的范围。在此之前，AltCoin的收益可能仍有受限。

Some market watchers believe the signs of an altcoin season are already appearing. According to trader Carl Moon, Bitcoin’s market share is already falling, which he says could mark the start of an altcoin breakout. His view adds to the growing belief that attention may now shift to other tokens.

一些市场观察家认为，Altcoin季节的迹象已经出现。根据Trader Carl Moon的说法，比特币的市场份额已经下降，他说这可以标志着Altcoin突破的开始。他的观点加剧了人们日益增长的信念，即关注现在可能会转移到其他代币。

However, not everyone shares the same sense of urgency. Ash Crypto took a more cautious stance, encouraging traders to be patient. He noted that in past market cycles, altcoin rallies have typically been brief, lasting just four to five months. In the last cycle, major altcoin gains took place between January and May 2021. In an earlier cycle, from 2013 to 2017, the bulk of the rally occurred between June and December. Based on those patterns, he believes another surge is likely—but timing it will require patience.

但是，并不是每个人都有相同的紧迫感。 Ash Crypto采取了更加谨慎的立场，鼓励商人耐心等待。他指出，在过去的市场周期中，Altcoin集会通常是简短的，仅持续四到五个月。在最后一个周期中，主要的Altcoin增益发生在1月至2021年5月之间。在2013年至2017年的较早周期中，大部分集会发生在6月至12月之间。基于这些模式，他认为可能会再次激增，但时机需要耐心。

Meanwhile, Mena Theodorou, co-founder of Coinstash, gave a more cautious view. He said Bitcoin is still in its price discovery phase. This stage tends to keep focus and capital centered on Bitcoin, making it less likely for altcoins to see a strong, market-wide rally in the short term. He added that while a few altcoins or sectors might still perform well, a broader move across the market is less likely just yet.

同时，Coinstash的联合创始人Mena Theodorou给出了更加谨慎的看法。他说，比特币仍处于价格发现阶段。这个阶段倾向于将注意力集中在比特币上，因此在短期内看到山寨币在市场范围内看到强大的集会的可能性较小。他补充说，虽然一些Altcoins或部门可能仍然表现良好，但整个市场的广泛举动尚不那么可能。

Traders looking for clear signals are keeping a close eye on Bitcoin’s market dominance. While some believe a drop would help altcoins, others suggest dominance might need to rise further before altcoin interest returns. This difference in view shows that even within the market, there’s no single answer.

寻找明确信号的交易者密切关注比特币的市场优势。虽然有些人认为下降会有助于山寨币，但另一些人认为，在山寨币利息回报率之前，统治力可能需要进一步上升。这种差异表明，即使在市场中，也没有一个答案。

In the meantime, Ethereum’s recent gains have added to the positive sentiment. As Ethereum climbs in market value, some see it as a signal that the market is ready for another wave of movement outside Bitcoin. However, others still urge caution.

同时，以太坊最近的收益增加了积极的情绪。随着以太坊的市场价值攀升，有些人认为这是一个信号，表明市场已准备好在比特币外部进行另一波移动。但是，其他人仍然敦促谨慎。

While excitement is growing, the full rotation into altcoins hasn’t happened yet. Traders and analysts alike are waiting to see what comes next, knowing that past cycles have always followed a similar path—first Bitcoin, then the rest. Now, all eyes are on whether that next step is just around the corner.

尽管兴奋正在增长，但尚未发生全部旋转到Altcoins。交易员和分析师都在等待看看接下来会发生什么，因为他们知道过去的周期始终遵循类似的道路 - 首先是比特币，然后是其余的。现在，所有的目光都关心下一步是否在拐角处。