山寨币分析师：选择那些会暴涨但不会暴跌的 Meme 币

在流行的 YouTube 频道 CoinBureau（大约有 245 万订阅者）最近的更新中，加密货币山寨币分析师和 CoinBureau 节目主持人 Guy Turner 与观众分享了一些基本步骤，他们可以采取这些步骤，通过认识到“协调性”和“协调性”之间的区别，最大限度地降低拉动和抛售的风险。 ” 模因硬币和

A crypto altcoin analyst has shared three tips for picking the best meme coins to invest in, with some key advice on how to avoid getting rugged or dumped on.

一位加密货币山寨币分析师分享了选择最佳模因币进行投资的三个技巧，并提供了一些关于如何避免变得粗暴或被抛弃的关键建议。

In a recent update on popular YouTube channel CoinBureau (with some 2.45 million subscribers), Guy Turner shared with viewers the difference between “coordinated” meme coins and “community-driven” meme coins. Turner advised viewers to invest in the latter and avoid the former.

在流行的 YouTube 频道 CoinBureau（拥有约 245 万订阅者）最近的更新中，Guy Turner 与观众分享了“协调”模因币和“社区驱动”模因币之间的区别。特纳建议观众投资后者，避免前者。

“Coordinated meme coins are meme coins launched by crypto influencers and often aim to achieve a specific price or market cap,” the CoinBureau host explained. “These meme coins typically don’t yield very large returns.”

“协调模因币是由加密货币影响者推出的模因币，通常旨在实现特定的价格或市值，”CoinBureau 主持人解释道。 “这些模因币通常不会产生很大的回报。”

Turner contrasted these projects with community-driven meme currencies, which he said are those related to popular memes.

特纳将这些项目与社区驱动的模因货币进行了对比，他说这些货币与流行的模因相关。

“They do not have a specific price target or market cap they are going for, and the narrative is amusing enough to organically bring in new capital,” he added.

“他们没有具体的价格目标或市值，而且故事很有趣，足以有机地引入新资本，”他补充道。

One of the newest Ethereum meme coins — still in its presale phase, where prices are stabilized by the project’s tokenomic roadmap instead of being pushed wildly up and down on crypto exchanges, driven by the buy and sell orders of participants in an open market — is Ethereum Kai Cat ($KAI). Does it fit Turner’s criteria for a community driven program?

最新的以太坊模因硬币之一 - 仍处于预售阶段，价格由项目的代币经济路线图稳定，而不是由公开市场参与者的买卖订单驱动，在加密货币交易所上大幅上下波动 - 是以太坊凯猫（$KAI）。它符合特纳关于社区驱动计划的标准吗？

“These are the kinds of meme coins that go up by hundreds of X’s, sometimes more,” Turner said. “The caveat is that the creators of coordinated meme coins have noticed this, and they have shifted their strategy to launching a meme coin, claiming the devs have jumped ship, and then relaunching the meme coin, claiming it has been taken over by the community.”

“这些模因币的价格会上涨数百倍，有时甚至更多，”特纳说。 “需要注意的是，协调模因币的创建者已经注意到了这一点，他们已经将策略转向推出模因币，声称开发人员已经跳槽，然后重新推出模因币，声称它已被社区接管”。

“Stay away from these meme coins,” he warned.

“远离这些模因硬币，”他警告说。

But Kai Cat doesn’t seem to have a market cap goal or over-promise instant riches or fast gains. It doesn’t have a big-name YouTube or X crypto influencer endorsing it for a crypto brand sponsorship fee.

但凯猫似乎并没有设定市值目标，也没有过度承诺一夜致富或快速收益。它没有知名的 YouTube 或 X 加密货币影响者为其支付加密品牌赞助费。

For a project that has raised $250,000 in its presale, it has an appropriate amount of corresponding excitement on social media– so it’s not all likes and reposts with no funding for the actual token economy to back up the hype, a sign of a coordinated project.

对于一个在预售中筹集了 25 万美元的项目来说，它在社交媒体上有适当的相应兴奋度——因此，并不是所有的点赞和转发都没有为实际的代币经济提供资金来支持炒作，这是一个协调项目的标志。

Turner says the second rule of thumb for picking the best meme coins is:

特纳说，挑选最佳模因硬币的第二条经验法则是：

“Focus on meme coins that are related to memes and narratives that are likely to endure over time. Meme coins related to specific events and catalysts don’t always do very well and even when they do, the returns aren’t very big and don’t last for long.”

“重点关注与模因和叙事相关的模因硬币，这些模因和叙事可能会随着时间的推移而持续存在。与特定事件和催化剂相关的模因币并不总是表现很好，即使表现出色，回报也不是很大，而且不会持续很长时间。”

“Conversely– meme coins with enduring memes or narratives are likely to see many pumps and dumps that will give you opportunities to make enormous profits,” he added.

“相反，具有持久模因或叙事的模因币可能会出现许多上涨和抛售，这将为您带来赚取巨额利润的机会，”他补充道。

Basically what that means in technical terms is if it’s a popular meme on Reddit, something the average redditor would recognize and say, “Yes! I’ve seen this!” then it’s got a wide community narrative and potentially enduring meme mana behind it.

基本上，从技术角度来说，这意味着如果它是 Reddit 上的流行模因，普通 Reddit 用户会认出并说：“是的！我见过这个！”然后它背后有广泛的社区叙事和潜在的持久的迷因力量。

In Internet years, kitteh memes are as ancient as doge memes. I Should Buy A Boat Cat, for example, predates Doge. A redditor shared the very first one on Feb 2, 2012. While the very first Doge meme dates to 2010, it didn’t become popular until 2013.

在互联网时代，kitteh meme 和 doge meme 一样古老。例如，《我应该买一只船猫》早于《Doge》。一位 Reddit 用户于 2012 年 2 月 2 日分享了第一个表情包。虽然第一个 Doge meme 可以追溯到 2010 年，但它直到 2013 年才开始流行。

That may be why Ethereum Kai Cat has raised nearly $230,000 in its premarket token sale just a matter of days this spring. “Protip,” Turner said in his recent video, “Enduring memes or narratives are often those that relate to the smart contact crypto the meme coins exist on.”

这可能就是为什么以太坊 Kai Cat 在今年春天短短几天的上市前代币销售中筹集了近 23 万美元的资金。 “Protip，”特纳在他最近的视频中说，“持久的模因或叙述通常与模因硬币所在的智能接触加密相关。”

Turner shared a third rule of thumb for picking meme coins with his viewers, “Avoid aping into meme coins that just launched or are in the middle of their first pump.”

特纳与他的观众分享了挑选模因币的第三条经验法则，“避免模仿刚刚推出或正在第一次上涨的模因币。”

“Aping into a meme coin runs the risk of getting rugged, whereas aping into one that’s starting to pump [for the first time] runs the risk of getting dumped on,” he added.

他补充道：“模仿模因硬币有变得粗糙的风险，而模仿[第一次]开始上涨的硬币则有被抛弃的风险。”

CoinBureau says it’s usually best to wait until a project has had an initial pump or two to see if it still holds its capitalization and then invest.

CoinBureau 表示，通常最好等到项目完成一两次初始融资后，看看是否仍能持有资本，然后再进行投资。

One way to mitigate that risk and still get in early on a project to ride every green candle up in case it rallies is to buy tokens in presale and follow them on social media with mobile notifications on (for X accounts, follow and tap the “+” bell next to the follow button) so you can stay in step with the community when the market makes big moves.

减轻这种风险的一种方法是，在预售中购买代币，并在社交媒体上关注它们，并打开移动通知（对于 X 帐户，关注并点击“ +” 跟随按钮旁边的响铃），以便您可以在市场发生重大变动时与社区保持同步。