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交易员 Dave the Wave 援引历史 MACD 模式预测,比特币熊市低迷已达到最低点。虽然月度 MACD 显示略有收缩,但 Dave the Wave 指出,它未达到之前牛市水平,这表明 BTC 的价格可能不会进一步大幅下跌。每周 MACD 结构与 2016 年 7 月类似,恰逢减半且在价格大幅上涨之前。

Renowned Analyst Predicts Bitcoin's Bullish Momentum to Persist Despite Slight Contraction in Key Indicator
著名分析师预测,尽管关键指标略有收缩,比特币的看涨势头仍将持续
According to Dave the Wave, a highly acclaimed analyst who accurately predicted the onset of the 2021 bear market, Bitcoin (BTC) has possibly reached its price bottom based on historical patterns.
准确预测 2021 年熊市开始的广受好评的分析师 Dave the Wave 表示,根据历史模式,比特币 (BTC) 可能已触底。
Dave the Wave, followed by 190,000 followers on the social media platform X, recently observed a slight contraction in Bitcoin's monthly moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator. Traditionally, this signal indicates a temporary setback in a bullish trend.
Dave the Wave 在社交媒体平台 X 上拥有 19 万粉丝,最近观察到比特币的月度移动平均收敛分歧(MACD)指标略有收缩。传统上,该信号表明看涨趋势暂时受挫。
However, Dave the Wave believes that this signal does not suggest a significant decline in BTC's price. He points out that the MACD has not ascended to levels comparable to previous bull runs.
不过,Dave the Wave 认为,这一信号并不意味着 BTC 价格会大幅下跌。他指出,MACD 尚未升至与之前牛市相当的水平。
In a series of tweets, the analyst explained his reasoning: "There is a contraction on the BTC monthly histogram, with momentum slowing, but I don't count this definitive for price going significantly lower given: 1) the MACD had not reached the height of the line 2) a maturing market."
在一系列推文中,这位分析师解释了他的推理:“BTC 月度柱状图出现收缩,势头放缓,但我并不认为这是价格大幅下跌的决定性因素,因为:1)MACD 尚未达到线的高度 2) 成熟的市场。”
Dave the Wave's analysis also suggests that Bitcoin's monthly MACD is still far from approaching the diagonal resistance, indicating that the bull market is likely far from over.
Dave the Wave 的分析还表明,比特币的月度 MACD 仍远未接近对角线阻力,表明牛市可能还远未结束。
On the weekly timeframe, the analyst draws parallels between the current MACD structure and July 2016, a period immediately following the halving event and just before a significant bull run.
在每周时间框架上,分析师将当前的 MACD 结构与 2016 年 7 月(减半事件之后、重大牛市之前的一段时期)进行了比较。
"If I had to make a comparison of the current BTC weekly MACD to previous, I'd put it here. Note that on the MACD cross highlighted, the price low was already in," Dave the Wave stated.
“如果我必须将当前的 BTC 每周 MACD 与之前的进行比较,我会把它放在这里。请注意,在突出显示的 MACD 交叉上,价格低点已经出现,”Dave the Wave 表示。
At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $61,448. Dave the Wave's analysis provides a glimmer of hope for investors, suggesting that the recent market turbulence may not signify a prolonged bear market. Instead, it could represent a temporary pause in the ongoing bullish momentum.
截至撰写本文时,比特币交易价格为 61,448 美元。 Dave the Wave的分析为投资者带来了一线希望,表明近期的市场动荡可能并不意味着长期的熊市。相反,它可能代表持续看涨势头的暂时暂停。
As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve and mature, analysts like Dave the Wave play a vital role in deciphering complex market signals and providing valuable insights to investors. His accurate prediction of the 2021 bear market meltdown has earned him significant credibility, and his current analysis offers a compelling case for the persistence of Bitcoin's bull market.
随着加密货币市场的不断发展和成熟,像 Dave the Wave 这样的分析师在破译复杂的市场信号和为投资者提供有价值的见解方面发挥着至关重要的作用。他对 2021 年熊市崩溃的准确预测为他赢得了很高的可信度,他目前的分析为比特币牛市的持续存在提供了令人信服的理由。
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