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過去一個月,由於拋售壓力大,比特幣價格穩定下跌。儘管出現短暫的上升趨勢,但 67,000 美元附近的買盤壓力減弱,導致回調。由於市場仍存在不確定性,目前尚不清楚拋售壓力是否會推動價格走低,或者多頭是否會捍衛 61,000 美元的關鍵支撐位。最近的價格走勢表明潛在的下降三角形模式,分析師預測如果突破 61,000 美元的水平,將出現 10-15% 的回調。然而,即將到來的正面消息可能有助於市場復甦。
Bitcoin's Persistent Decline Raises Concerns, Sparking Market Uncertainty
比特幣持續下跌引發擔憂,引發市場不確定性
The cryptocurrency market has witnessed a sustained downward trend in Bitcoin prices over the past four weeks, punctuated by intensified selling pressure. This prolonged sell-off has pushed the price of Bitcoin below the $65,000 mark, triggering concerns among investors.
過去四個星期,加密貨幣市場比特幣價格持續下跌,拋售壓力加劇。持續的拋售已將比特幣價格推低至 65,000 美元大關,引發投資者擔憂。
Persistent Selling Pressure Weighs on Bitcoin
持續的拋售壓力令比特幣承壓
In the wake of the halving events, Bitcoin has faced relentless selling pressure, culminating in a significant price decline. Despite brief periods of recovery, buying pressure has waned, leading to a pullback and further downward momentum. Market analysts remain uncertain whether this selling pressure will persist, pushing prices towards the $61,000 level, or if bullish investors will intervene to defend this critical support level.
減半事件發生後,比特幣面臨持續的拋售壓力,最終導致價格大幅下跌。儘管經歷了短暫的復甦,但購買壓力已經減弱,導致回調和進一步下行勢頭。市場分析師仍不確定這種拋售壓力是否會持續存在,從而將價格推向 61,000 美元的水平,或者看漲的投資者是否會介入以捍衛這一關鍵支撐位。
Fears of Extended Losses Surface
對擴大損失的擔憂浮出水面
The ongoing decline in Bitcoin's value has stoked fears among cryptocurrency traders. Social media sentiment has shifted towards increased selling recommendations and reduced buy calls, indicating prevalent fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) in the market. However, such sentiments can also signal potential for market recovery.
比特幣價值的持續下跌引發了加密貨幣交易者的擔憂。社群媒體情緒已轉向增加賣出建議和減少買入呼籲,表明市場普遍存在恐懼、不確定性和懷疑 (FUD)。然而,這種情緒也可能預示著市場復甦的潛力。
Technical Analysis Points to Bearish Signals
技術分析指向看跌訊號
A weekly chart analysis reveals that Bitcoin has been trading below its previous resistance for four consecutive weeks, indicating a bearish trend. Should the current week close in the red, it will mark the first time since August 2023 that Bitcoin has experienced a decline for five consecutive weeks. This extended selling pressure could drag the price towards the $61,000 level.
每週圖表分析顯示,比特幣已連續四週低於先前阻力位,顯示看跌趨勢。如果本週收盤下跌,這將標誌著比特幣自 2023 年 8 月以來首次連續五週下跌。這種持續的拋售壓力可能會將價格拖向 61,000 美元的水平。
Traders Express Caution
貿易商表示謹慎
Recent data indicates a sharp decline in Bitcoin's value, accompanied by a significant decrease in transaction volume inflow. These factors underscore the lack of interest among traders and investors, potentially contributing to further price declines.
最近的數據表明,比特幣的價值急劇下跌,同時交易量流入也大幅減少。這些因素凸顯了交易者和投資者缺乏興趣,可能導致價格進一步下跌。
Hope Amidst the Challenges
挑戰中充滿希望
Despite the recent losses, there are glimmers of hope on the horizon. Positive news is anticipated shortly, which could potentially reverse the market sentiment and help Bitcoin regain its lost value.
儘管最近遭受了損失,但仍出現了一線希望。預計很快就會有積極的消息,這可能會扭轉市場情緒並幫助比特幣恢復其失去的價值。
Volatility Subsides, ETF Launch Anticipated
波動性減弱,ETF 可望推出
The volatility of Bitcoin has decreased significantly in the past week, from 70% to 50%. This decrease in volatility could indicate a period of consolidation before further market movements. Additionally, the upcoming launch of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in Hong Kong next week has drawn interest, as it could attract institutional capital from Asia.
過去一周,比特幣的波動性大幅下降,從 70% 降至 50%。波動性的下降可能表示市場進一步波動之前會經歷一段盤整期。此外,下週即將在香港推出的比特幣和以太坊現貨交易所交易基金(ETF)也引起了人們的興趣,因為它可能會吸引來自亞洲的機構資本。
Analyst Predictions: Crash Below Critical Level
分析師預測:崩盤低於臨界水平
According to analysts, Bitcoin's price has been consolidating within a range since March 2024, with the all-time high (ATH) serving as the resistance level and $61,000 acting as the support level. However, recent price action indicates a formation of lower highs, suggesting a potential descending triangle pattern. The lack of buying interest in recent sessions has led analysts to posit that a break below the $61,000 level could trigger a 10 to 15% correction in Bitcoin's price.
分析師表示,自 2024 年 3 月以來,比特幣價格一直在區間內盤整,歷史高點 (ATH) 為阻力位,61,000 美元為支撐位。然而,最近的價格走勢表明正在形成較低的高點,表明潛在的下降三角形形態。最近幾個交易日缺乏購買興趣,導致分析師認為,跌破 61,000 美元水平可能會引發比特幣價格 10% 至 15% 的回調。
Positive News Could Fuel Recovery
正面消息可能推動復甦
Amidst the bearish sentiment, some positive news is expected to emerge, which could help the crypto market recover from its recent losses. If buyers can drive the price above $67,000, there is a higher likelihood of an upward trend.
在看跌情緒中,預計會出現一些正面消息,這可能有助於加密貨幣市場從最近的損失中恢復過來。如果買家能夠將價格推至 67,000 美元以上,則上漲趨勢的可能性更大。
Conclusion
結論
Bitcoin's price has plunged due to increased selling pressure following the halving events. The market remains uncertain whether this selling pressure will continue, but technical analysis suggests a descending triangle pattern and the potential for a significant correction. However, positive news on the horizon could help the crypto market regain its momentum.
由於減半事件後拋售壓力增加,比特幣價格暴跌。市場仍不確定這種拋售壓力是否會持續,但技術分析顯示下降三角形形態和大幅回檔的可能性。然而,即將到來的正面消息可能有助於加密貨幣市場重拾動力。
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