Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2025: Will BTC Reach New All-Time Highs?

In 2025, Bitcoin displayed remarkable price strength as it continued a multi-month recovery trend, aiming for new highs. Based on the daily BTC/USD chart from May 9, 2025, Bitcoin reached an intraday apex of $103,249 and closed at $102,882. This move came after a steady climb above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), currently positioned at $91,021.

Chart: Trading View

At a glance:

Bitcoin price closed above $102,000.

The 50-day EMA offers support, currently at $91,021.

Volume increased during the breakout above $100,000.

After a period of consolidation between February and early April, where the price fluctuated between $80,000 and $92,000, a sharp rally began in mid-April and pushed the price above the psychological resistance near $100,000 by early May. Volume also increased noticeably during this breakout.

Bitcoin has now risen by more than 25% since mid-April and trades well above its 50-day EMA, showcasing short-term bullish momentum. This follows a prolonged downtrend earlier in the year, during which the price dipped to near $72,000 before rebounding.

The current structure also shows higher highs and higher lows since early April, signaling an active uptrend. The upward movement is attributed to improved liquidity conditions, renewed institutional participation, and the broader acceptance of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States. Additionally, macroeconomic factors, including easing monetary conditions and increased global demand for alternative assets, have contributed to the current price strength.

If momentum continues, the next potential resistance level could be the all-time high around $105,000. However, the market remains sensitive to regulatory shifts and macro policy updates.

Institutional Inflows and Tariff Shock Shape Bitcoin’s 2025 Trajectory

The year 2025 has seen a persistent influx of institutional capital into digital assets, largely credited with driving Bitcoin’s momentum. Over a three-week span leading up to May, digital asset funds recorded $5.5 billion in inflows, with $1.8 billion allocated directly to Bitcoin products, according to CoinShares data cited by Reuters.

Analysts pointed to U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) as a primary channel for this influx. Geoff Kendrick, head of digital asset research at Standard Chartered, estimated that institutional buyers had acquired around 3% of Bitcoin’s total supply in 2024.

This wave of capital ultimately pushed Bitcoin above the $100,000 mark in early May, coinciding with optimism over a new trade agreement between the U.S. and the U.K. The agreement maintained a 10% U.S. tariff on British imports but eased other trade restrictions. The news briefly boosted broader market sentiment, with Bitcoin advancing 4.7% to reach $101,329 on May 8.

However, this path was interrupted by a surprise move from President Donald Trump. On April 2, he announced a sweeping global tariff policy, imposing a flat 10% import duty and additional charges on trade surplus nations like China and India. In response, Bitcoin tumbled over 7% within 24 hours, sliding to an intraday low of $81,300. This move aligned with a sharp correction in equities, as the S&P 500 experienced its worst daily loss since 2020.

Despite the swift downturn, Bitcoin managed to rebound quickly. By April 4, it stabilized above the $81,000 level, even as the Nasdaq posted a 10% weekly decline. Moreover, ETF inflows resumed shortly after, and on-chain data showed rising accumulation in cold wallets. These trends hinted at early signs of Bitcoin decoupling from traditional risk assets, although analysts cautioned that more data is needed to confirm a structural shift.

Gold Surges Past $3,500 as Central Banks Drive Record Highs

In 2025, gold has continued its ascent to record highs, consolidating its role as a traditional safe-haven asset amid escalating geopolitical tensions and persistent economic uncertainties. The precious metal's surge past the $3,500 per ounce mark represents a significant milestone in its valuation throughout history.

Central banks have played a pivotal role in this upward trajectory. Their sustained purchases have structurally elevated the gold-silver price ratio, which now stands at approximately 102, up from 84.7 a year ago. This shift reflects a strategic move by central banks to diversify reserves and hedge against potential economic downturns.