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Bitcoin (BTC) Closes the Month of April at $94,181, Reverting to S2F Model Projections

2025/05/02 01:00

Bitcoin (BTC) Closes the Month of April at $94,181, Reverting to S2F Model Projections

Bitcoin (BTC) closed the month of April at $94,181, bringing it back in line with the long-term projections of the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, according to renowned analyst PlanB.

After hitting a low of $74K in early April, Bitcoin staged a V-shaped recovery, as highlighted by PlanB. This aligns with the pattern the analyst noted on March 1, referring to February’s close at $84,321 as “the dump before the pump.”

PlanB’s ‘Dump Before Pump’ Prediction Validated

At the time, PlanB predicted that Bitcoin would see a brief dip before surging again, a prediction that has since played out.

“[The] February close at $84,321 is the dump before the pump. My colored-dot chart shows V-shaped recoveries are a recurring pattern in #Bitcoin's price history. Such sharp rebounds are not anomalies but rather predictable features of Bitcoin's cyclical behavior,” he stated.

This brings Bitcoin back in line with the S2F model, which forecasts price based on Bitcoin’s programmed scarcity.

Bitcoin April Performance and S2F Alignment

As April came to an end, Bitcoin’s performance brought it closer to the projected S2F trajectory, and it also strongly reinforces the S2F model’s relevance and accuracy in forecasting during the current market cycle.

At the start of April, Bitcoin was trading around the $69,000 mark. However, by April 7, the cryptocurrency experienced a significant drop, hitting a low of $74,000.

This price decrease was attributed to a combination of factors, including concerns over the U.S. banking crisis and a decline in trading activity in Asian markets.

Nevertheless, Bitcoin managed to recover throughout the month, closing April at $94,181, representing a 27% gain from the April 7 low.

This substantial one-month performance brings Bitcoin closer to the projected S2F trajectory, which becomes steeper in the coming years as the halvings (reduction in mining reward) factor in.

It also strongly reinforces the S2F model’s relevance and accuracy in forecasting during the current market cycle.

The post Bitcoin Closed April at $94K, V-Shaped Recovery Brings It Back in Line With S2F Model appeared first on Coin Edition.

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