XRP Price Could Reach New Highs if XRP ETFs Capture a Fraction of Bitcoin ETF Inflows

The price of XRP could reach greater heights if XRP ETFs manage to secure only a fraction of the Bitcoin ETF inflows following their approval.

The potential approval of spot XRP Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) in the United States has massive price implications. With XRP’s regulatory hurdles largely cleared and institutional appetite on the rise, the odds of approval seem to be increasing.

Interestingly, Polymarket gives an 80% chance of an XRP ETF approval this year, up from 68% just a week ago. As market participants eagerly await these products, most anticipate a bullish impact on XRP price, especially if they record success similar to Bitcoin ETFs.

XRP Price If XRP ETFs Get 15%-30% Of Bitcoin ETF Inflows

For context, data from Sosovalue indicates that Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated approximately $39 billion in net inflows since their introduction in January 2024. Now, if XRP ETFs manage to capture just 15% to 30% of that figure, then the implications for the price of XRP would be significant.

For instance, assuming that XRP ETFs attract 15% of Bitcoin’s ETF inflows, this would equate to $5.85 billion flowing into these funds. Applying a modest inflow-to-valuation multiplier of 100x, this capital injection could lead to a substantial increase in XRP’s market cap by $585 billion.

Notably, when added to the current market cap of around $130 billion, the new total valuation would reach $715 billion. Meanwhile, XRP’s circulating supply currently stands at 58.44 billion tokens. Factoring in this figure would place the price at about $12.23 per token. That represents a 450% surge from its current trading price of $2.22.

However, doubling that share to 30% of Bitcoin ETF inflows would have even more dramatic implications. This higher percentage would result in $11.7 billion in net capital moving into XRP ETFs. This capital influx would be significant enough to lead to a $1.17 trillion increase in XRP’s total valuation by applying the same 100x multiplier.

When combined with the existing $130 billion market cap, XRP’s valuation could climb to about $1.3 trillion. This new valuation yields an XRP price of $22.2, considering the supply of 58.44 billion tokens. Such an increase would mark a nearly 900% appreciation from today’s price.

XRP ETF Developments

While these projections rely on assumptions, the growing interest in XRP ETF products supports the idea that institutional investment could flood the market once approvals are granted. Bitwise CIO previously confirmed they are witnessing large demand for an XRP ETF.

Notwithstanding, the ETF scene for XRP has seen rapid developments in 2024 and 2025. Teucrium Investment Advisors took the lead by launching the Teucrium 2x Long Daily XRP ETF on April 8, providing leveraged exposure to XRP’s daily price swings.

Interestingly, ProShares also recently received the green light to launch a suite of futures-based ETFs, including leveraged and inverse offerings. However, these products rely on derivatives, not direct holdings of XRP.

Despite the momentum, no spot XRP ETF has yet been approved. Multiple firms, such as Bitwise, 21Shares, WisdomTree, and Franklin Templeton, have submitted applications.

Among them, Franklin Templeton recently encountered a setback when the U.S. SEC announced on April 29 that it was extending the review period for the company’s spot XRP ETF proposal.

Crucially, the potential conclusion of the Ripple vs. SEC case would likely boost the chances of approval. Several firms, including Bitnomial, Coinbase, and CME Group have also launched CFTC-regulated XRP futures, which could further help the cause of an XRP ETF launch.