Bitcoin closes higher but fails to break out

Bitcoin closed yesterday at $95,630—its highest daily close yet—but still below the $95,000 resistance level that has acted as a ceiling since early April. This marks four previous pierces and now a fifth attempt to clear this key level. While OBV and RSI remain constructive, daily Volume continues to decline, falling further under the yellow moving average at $2.1B.

Bitcoin is now spending a full week above the daily TBO Cloud, which reinforces the current bullish structure. However, the pullback risk remains high if BTC continues to stall. A decisive close above $95K is still the main trigger to extend momentum toward $100K.

On the 4-hour timeframe, bearish signals are appearing, including a growing number of TBT Bearish Divergence alerts. These haven’t been confirmed by a TBO Close Long yet, but they are early signs of trend fatigue.

Bitcoin Dominance is flashing its first TBT Bearish Divergence Cluster on the daily chart, which is the earliest warning that BTC may begin underperforming versus the broader altcoin market. At the same time, OTHERS.D printed a second TBO Close Short, which is often a precursor to a major move. The last time two appeared in close proximity, OTHERS.D rallied 35% in just under three weeks.

Still, the risk of a whipsaw move remains if stablecoin dominance, which just printed a TBO Open Short, flips bullish. The situation is becoming more nuanced. The crypto market might be setting up for a divergence between BTC and OTHERS. However, if BTC corrects while stablecoin dominance rises, it could suppress altcoin gains even with strong reversal signals.

TOTAL and TOTAL3 are still in bullish structure, with TOTAL3 in progress of printing a TBO Open Long. OTHERS continues to flirt with long-term overhead resistance and has now pierced it five days in a row without closing above. OBV continues rising, but daily RSI is struggling to post higher highs. BVOL7D is slowly falling again toward its Bounce Zone, signaling low volatility—a pattern last seen before the big Q4 2024 rally.

After a strong move, LINK is showing mixed signals with OBV rising but RSI struggling to post higher highs. SUI, which recently surged, is now showing TBT Bearish Divergence on the 4-hour. OM printed three TBT Bullish Divergence Clusters—an interesting reversal setup. HYPE, XMR, ONDO, and MNT are all in various phases of recovery, with some now printing TBO Open Longs.

Further down the list, coins like POL, ALGO, XDC, and IOTA are putting up continuation signals with clean follow-through, while FLOKI, KAVA, WIF, RUNE, CORE, and GIGA are joining the growing list of coins showing real upside potential.

Coins Covered: Bitcoin (BTC), Bitcoin Dominance, Other Coins Dominance, Stablecoin Dominance, Ethereum (ETH), XRP, BNB, SOL, Chainlink (LINK), Seaport (SEAP), Optimism (OP), Stellar (XLM), TRB, MKR, FRAX, UNI, AAVE, LINK, IMX, HYB, SUI, MINA, TON, YGG, OM, HYPE, XMR, ONDO, MNT, POL, ALGO, XDC, IOTA, FLOKI, KAVA, WIF, RUNE, CORE, GIGA